🧪
hypothesis

Stratified falsifiers should govern Microglial Priming as Upstream Causal Node Across AD, PD, ALS, MS: Three-Arm Causal Inference

Hypothesis

Stratified falsifiers should govern Microglial Priming as Upstream Causal Node Across AD, PD, ALS, MS: Three-Arm Causal Inference

Claims from this analysis should be evaluated across TREM2, CX3CR1, C1QA, C1QB, C1QC; pooled effects are insufficient when causal direction, cell state, genotype, benchmark leakage, or reproducibility risks can dominate the result.
🧬 CX3CR1🩺 neurodegeneration🎯 Composite 59%💱 $0.55▼6.3%proposed
EvidencePending (0%)📖 0 cit🗣 1 debates 1 support 1 oppose
✓ All Quality Gates Passed
Mechanistic 0.61 (15%) Evidence 0.54 (15%) Novelty 0.59 (12%) Feasibility 0.74 (12%) Impact 0.50 (12%) Druggability 0.43 (10%) Safety 0.59 (8%) Competition 0.53 (6%) Data Avail. 0.68 (5%) Reproducible 0.70 (5%) KG Connect 0.27 (8%) 0.591 composite
☰ Compare⚔️ Duel⚛️ Collide
📄 Export LaTeX
arXiv PreprintNeurIPSNature MethodsPLOS ONE
📖 Export BibTeXinteract with this hypothesis
Composite59%

🧪 Overview

Claims from this analysis should be evaluated across TREM2, CX3CR1, C1QA, C1QB, C1QC; pooled effects are insufficient when causal direction, cell state, genotype, benchmark leakage, or reproducibility risks can dominate the result.

🧬 Mechanism

🔗 Mechanism from KG for CX3CR1

Auto-built from this analysis's top knowledge-graph edges.

graph TD
    microglial_priming["microglial priming"] -->|causes| neurodegeneration["neurodegeneration"]
    TREM2["TREM2"] -->|regulates| microglial_priming_1["microglial priming"]
    microglial_priming_2["microglial priming"] -->|risk factor for| Alzheimer_disease["Alzheimer disease"]
    microglial_priming_3["microglial priming"] -->|risk factor for| Parkinson_disease["Parkinson disease"]
    microglial_priming_4["microglial priming"] -->|risk factor for| ALS["ALS"]
    microglial_priming_5["microglial priming"] -->|risk factor for| multiple_sclerosis["multiple sclerosis"]
    CSF_cytokines["CSF cytokines"] -->|biomarker for| microglial_priming_6["microglial priming"]
    cell_type_specific_Mendel["cell-type-specific Mendelian randomization"] -->|associated with| microglial_priming_causal["microglial priming causality"]
    scVelo_trajectory_analysi["scVelo trajectory analysis"] -->|associated with| microglial_priming_causal_7["microglial priming causality"]
    longitudinal_CSF_cytokine["longitudinal CSF cytokine Granger causality"] -->|associated with| microglial_priming_causal_8["microglial priming causality"]
    CX3CR1["CX3CR1"] -->|regulates| microglial_priming_9["microglial priming"]
    C1QA["C1QA"] -->|modulates| microglial_priming_10["microglial priming"]
    style microglial_priming fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style neurodegeneration fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TREM2 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style microglial_priming_1 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style microglial_priming_2 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style Alzheimer_disease fill:#ef5350,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style microglial_priming_3 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style Parkinson_disease fill:#ef5350,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style microglial_priming_4 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style ALS fill:#ef5350,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style microglial_priming_5 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style multiple_sclerosis fill:#ef5350,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style CSF_cytokines fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style microglial_priming_6 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style cell_type_specific_Mendel fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style microglial_priming_causal fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style scVelo_trajectory_analysi fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style microglial_priming_causal_7 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style longitudinal_CSF_cytokine fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style microglial_priming_causal_8 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style CX3CR1 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style microglial_priming_9 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style C1QA fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style microglial_priming_10 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000

⚖️ Evidence

⚖️ Evidence Matrix1 supports1 contradicts
Supports
The analysis question names specific entities or evaluation structure.
SDA-2026-04-28-microglial-priming-causal-nd
Contradicts
The current record can still be confounded by stage, leakage, or artifact effects.
SDA-2026-04-28-microglial-priming-causal-nd
📖 Linked Papers

No linked papers recorded for this hypothesis yet.

🏥 Translation

🔮 Predicted Protein Structure — CX3CR1

🔮 AlphaFold P49238 Click to expand

AI-predicted structure from AlphaFold | Powered by Mol*

💉 Clinical Trials

No clinical trials data linked to this hypothesis yet.

No curated ClinVar variants loaded for this hypothesis.

Run scripts/backfill_clinvar_variants.py to fetch P/LP/VUS variants.

🔍 Search ClinVar for CX3CR1 →

No DepMap CRISPR Chronos data found for CX3CR1.

Run python3 scripts/backfill_hypothesis_depmap.py to populate.

🏆 Tournament

🏆 Arenas / Elo

No arena matches recorded yet. Browse Arenas →

📊 Market Indicators

7d Trend
Stable
7d Momentum
▼ 0.2%
Volatility
Low
0.0014
Events (7d)
2
Price History
▼6.3%

💾 Resource Usage

No resource usage or linked notebooks recorded for this hypothesis yet.

View on SciDEX ↗