Enteric α-synuclein misfolding spreads retrogradely via vagal afferents to DMV, then progressively to SNc (Braak stages III-VI). While anatomically compelling, the central assumption that enteric pathology is the initiating event is contested. Overexpression artifacts dominate animal models; vagotomy protection is inconsistently replicated. Best therapeutic strategy: transcutaneous vagus nerve stimulation (t-VNS) for desynchronization rather than blocking physical propagation.
Curated pathway from expert analysis
flowchart TD
A["SNCA Alpha-Synuclein<br/>Presynaptic Protein"]
B["SNCA Misfolding<br/>Environmental Stress"]
C["SNCA Oligomers<br/>Toxic Protofibrils"]
D["Mitochondrial Pore<br/>Membrane Disruption"]
E["Lewy Body Formation<br/>Cytoplasmic Inclusions"]
F["Dopaminergic Neuron<br/>Dysfunction/Death"]
G["Nigrostriatal Degeneration<br/>Motor Symptoms"]
H["SNCA A53T/A30P/E46K<br/>Familial PD Mutations"]
A --> B
B --> C
C --> D
C --> E
D --> F
E --> F
F --> G
H -.->|"accelerates"| B
style A fill:#1a237e,stroke:#4fc3f7,color:#4fc3f7
style C fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a
style G fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a
style H fill:#7b1fa2,stroke:#ce93d8,color:#ce93d8

Median TPM across 13 brain regions for SNCA/p-SNCA (Ser129)/GBA/LRRK2 from GTEx v10.
No curated ClinVar variants loaded for this hypothesis.
Run scripts/backfill_clinvar_variants.py to fetch P/LP/VUS variants.
No DepMap CRISPR Chronos data found for SNCA.
Run python3 scripts/backfill_hypothesis_depmap.py to populate.
| Prediction | Predicted | Observed | Status | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF enteric α-synuclein pathology (phosphorylated Ser129 aggregates) is experimentally seeded in the gastric wall of non-human primates followed by comprehensive neuropathological assessment at 18 mont | p-SNCA aggregates present in DMV with confirmed vagal axonal transport markers (NFL, phosphorylated neurofilament), quantified as ≥15 aggregates per DMV section | — no observation — | pending | 0.40 |
| IF early-stage Parkinson's disease patients (Hoehn-Yahr stage 1-2) receive transcutaneous vagus nerve stimulation (t-VNS, 25 Hz, 30 min daily) for 12 months, THEN their longitudinal DAT-scan binding r | DAT-scan binding ratio decline ≤15% in t-VNS group vs. ≥30% in sham group over 12 months, with corresponding slower MDS-UPDRS Part III progression | — no observation — | pending | 0.35 |