{"hypothesis_id":"h-var-8412ce00a4","title":"Dual-Circuit Tau Vulnerability Cascade","current_price":0.5561,"baseline_score":0.774251,"total_signal_delta":-0.1982,"signals":[{"signal_type":"elo_signal","label":"Elo Tournament","event_count":8,"net_delta":0.6746,"direction":"up","last_applied":"2026-04-15T17:40:40.419039-07:00","first_applied":"2026-04-12T15:49:06.729548-07:00"},{"signal_type":"snapshot","label":"snapshot","event_count":22,"net_delta":0.5158,"direction":"up","last_applied":"2026-04-27T02:53:40.490622-07:00","first_applied":"2026-04-08T18:44:37.927291-07:00"},{"signal_type":"debate","label":"Debate (legacy)","event_count":6,"net_delta":-0.3896,"direction":"down","last_applied":"2026-04-07T16:21:34.843651-07:00","first_applied":"2026-04-07T06:48:34.843651-07:00"},{"signal_type":"recalibration","label":"Recalibration","event_count":7,"net_delta":-0.3707,"direction":"down","last_applied":"2026-04-13T03:33:45.652119-07:00","first_applied":"2026-04-08T18:39:49.746356-07:00"},{"signal_type":"debate_signal","label":"Debate Quality","event_count":3,"net_delta":-0.3424,"direction":"down","last_applied":"2026-04-28T04:47:25.545401-07:00","first_applied":"2026-04-12T17:15:44.800805-07:00"},{"signal_type":"refresh","label":"Price Refresh","event_count":90,"net_delta":-0.3255,"direction":"down","last_applied":"2026-04-17T23:06:01.804847-07:00","first_applied":"2026-04-12T15:50:11.259384-07:00"},{"signal_type":"novelty_signal","label":"Research Novelty","event_count":9,"net_delta":-0.2101,"direction":"down","last_applied":"2026-06-09T05:07:56.520275-07:00","first_applied":"2026-04-16T22:26:04.664987-07:00"},{"signal_type":"evidence","label":"Evidence","event_count":7,"net_delta":0.1771,"direction":"up","last_applied":"2026-04-13T02:18:49.033985-07:00","first_applied":"2026-04-07T08:08:34.843651-07:00"},{"signal_type":"analysis_complete","label":"analysis_complete","event_count":1,"net_delta":0.136,"direction":"up","last_applied":"2026-04-17T04:12:12.187963-07:00","first_applied":"2026-04-17T04:12:12.187963-07:00"},{"signal_type":"participant_signal","label":"Participant Signal","event_count":1,"net_delta":-0.076,"direction":"down","last_applied":"2026-04-23T10:39:39.660230-07:00","first_applied":"2026-04-23T10:39:39.660230-07:00"},{"signal_type":"market_trade","label":"market_trade","event_count":3,"net_delta":0.0594,"direction":"up","last_applied":"2026-04-07T16:23:34.843651-07:00","first_applied":"2026-04-07T09:13:34.843651-07:00"},{"signal_type":"elo_recalibration","label":"elo_recalibration","event_count":2,"net_delta":0.0539,"direction":"up","last_applied":"2026-04-27T05:57:02.129408-07:00","first_applied":"2026-04-20T13:26:27.546023-07:00"},{"signal_type":"clinical_relevance_signal","label":"Clinical Relevance","event_count":13,"net_delta":-0.0482,"direction":"down","last_applied":"2026-06-25T19:17:49.984522-07:00","first_applied":"2026-04-30T16:00:35.108161-07:00"},{"signal_type":"resource_efficiency_signal","label":"Resource Efficiency","event_count":11,"net_delta":-0.0362,"direction":"down","last_applied":"2026-06-26T19:19:38.286501-07:00","first_applied":"2026-04-17T09:10:21.407986-07:00"},{"signal_type":"reproducibility_signal","label":"Reproducibility","event_count":10,"net_delta":-0.025,"direction":"down","last_applied":"2026-06-22T07:11:14.774594-07:00","first_applied":"2026-04-12T23:36:10.670576-07:00"},{"signal_type":"score_update","label":"Score Update","event_count":3,"net_delta":0.0217,"direction":"up","last_applied":"2026-04-07T13:40:34.843651-07:00","first_applied":"2026-04-07T08:08:34.843651-07:00"},{"signal_type":"elo_surprise","label":"Elo Surprise","event_count":2,"net_delta":-0.0216,"direction":"down","last_applied":"2026-04-15T10:27:46.454192-07:00","first_applied":"2026-04-12T18:57:58.839440-07:00"},{"signal_type":"kg_connectivity_signal","label":"KG Connectivity","event_count":1,"net_delta":0.0139,"direction":"up","last_applied":"2026-04-12T19:06:45.562231-07:00","first_applied":"2026-04-12T19:06:45.562231-07:00"},{"signal_type":"competitive_landscape_signal","label":"Competitive Landscape","event_count":1,"net_delta":-0.0108,"direction":"down","last_applied":"2026-04-12T22:55:21.450020-07:00","first_applied":"2026-04-12T22:55:21.450020-07:00"},{"signal_type":"paper_signal","label":"Paper Evidence","event_count":2,"net_delta":0.0055,"direction":"up","last_applied":"2026-04-15T16:37:09.262034-07:00","first_applied":"2026-04-12T17:23:06.065198-07:00"},{"signal_type":"ci_snapshot","label":"ci_snapshot","event_count":3,"net_delta":0.0,"direction":"neutral","last_applied":"2026-04-21T07:11:53.075119-07:00","first_applied":"2026-04-12T06:42:00.194342-07:00"}]}