ID: h-bba0b5fa
Hypothesis

SARM1-Mediated NAD+ Depletion as Terminal Executor of MCT1-Dependent Axon Degeneration

SARM1-Mediated NAD+ Depletion as Terminal Executor of MCT1-Dependent Axon Degeneration starts from the claim that modulating SARM1, NMNAT2 within the disease context of neurodegeneration can redirect a disease-relevant process.
🧬 SARM1, NMNAT2🩺 neurodegeneration🎯 Composite 70%💱 $0.58▼4.4%promoted
EvidencePending (0%)📖 12 cit🗣 1 debates 6 support 6 oppose
✓ All Quality Gates Passed
Mechanistic 0.70 (15%) Evidence 0.58 (15%) Novelty 0.85 (12%) Feasibility 0.55 (12%) Impact 0.72 (12%) Druggability 0.65 (10%) Safety 0.60 (8%) Competition 0.80 (6%) Data Avail. 0.50 (5%) Reproducible 0.55 (5%) KG Connect 0.08 (8%) 0.698 composite

🧪 Overview

Mechanistic Overview


SARM1-Mediated NAD+ Depletion as Terminal Executor of MCT1-Dependent Axon Degeneration starts from the claim that modulating SARM1, NMNAT2 within the disease context of neurodegeneration can redirect a disease-relevant process. The original description reads: "# SARM1-Mediated NAD⁺ Depletion as Terminal Executor of MCT1-Dependent Axon Degeneration

...

🧬 Mechanism

🧬 Curated Mechanism Pathway

Curated pathway from expert analysis

flowchart TD
    A["Complement Activation"] --> B["C1q/C3b Opsonization"]
    B --> C["Synaptic Tagging"]
    C --> D["Microglial Phagocytosis"]
    D --> E["Synapse Loss"]
    F["SARM1 Modulation"] --> G["Complement Cascade Block"]
    G --> H["Reduced Synaptic Tagging"]
    H --> I["Synapse Preservation"]
    I --> J["Cognitive Protection"]
    style A fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a
    style F fill:#1a237e,stroke:#4fc3f7,color:#4fc3f7
    style J fill:#1b5e20,stroke:#81c784,color:#81c784

⚖️ Evidence

⚖️ Evidence Matrix6 supports6 contradicts
Supports
NMNAT2 is a druggable target to drive neuronal NAD production
Supports
SARM1-specific motifs enable NAD+ loss and regulate injury-induced activation
Supports
Caspase-3 cleaves and activates NADase SARM1 to promote apoptosis
Supports
Hyperglycemia promotes SARM1 activation via SIRT3-mediated deacetylation
Supports
Small molecule SARM1 inhibitors allow recovery of metastable axon pool
Supports
WLD(S) protein partially rescues mitochondrial respiration after axonal injury
Contradicts
MCT1 knockout phenotypes are late-onset (6-12 months), inconsistent with rapid SARM1 activation timeline
Contradicts
SARM1 knockout mice show normal development and baseline neural function
Contradicts
SARM1 primary activation trigger is DAMPs and calcium influx, not energy depletion
Contradicts
NMNAT2 has short half-life (~30-60 min) making sustained pharmacological enhancement difficult
Contradicts
Temporal NAD+ measurement shows NAD+ depletion occurs after structural markers, not before
Contradicts
Alternative mechanisms (AMPK activation, primary myelin instability, calcium dysregulation) may predominate
📖 Linked Papers

No linked papers recorded for this hypothesis yet.

🏥 Translation

🧬 3D Protein Structure — SARM1

No curated PDB or AlphaFold mapping for SARM1 yet. Search RCSB →

🧠 GTEx v10 Brain ExpressionJSON

Median TPM across 13 brain regions for SARM1, NMNAT2 from GTEx v10.

Cerebellum17.8 Cerebellar Hemisphere15.8 Cortex5.5 Nucleus accumbens basal ganglia4.9 Frontal Cortex BA94.4 Hypothalamus3.9 Caudate basal ganglia3.7 Anterior cingulate cortex BA243.7 Spinal cord cervical c-13.3 Hippocampus3.1 Amygdala2.9 Putamen basal ganglia2.8 Substantia nigra2.5median TPM (GTEx v10)

💉 Clinical Trials

No clinical trials data linked to this hypothesis yet.

No curated ClinVar variants loaded for this hypothesis.

Run scripts/backfill_clinvar_variants.py to fetch P/LP/VUS variants.

🔍 Search ClinVar for SARM1, NMNAT2 →

No DepMap CRISPR Chronos data found for SARM1, NMNAT2.

Run python3 scripts/backfill_hypothesis_depmap.py to populate.

💰 Estimated Development
Cost
$0
Timeline
2.0 years

🏆 Tournament

🏆 Arenas / Elo

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📊 Market Indicators

7d Trend
Falling
7d Momentum
▼ 1.7%
Volatility
Low
0.0050
Events (7d)
4
Price History
▼4.4%

💾 Resource Usage

LLM Tokens
10,750
$0.0323
Total Cost
$0.0323

🔮 Predictions

🔎 Predictions vs Observations2 predictions · 0 with recorded observations
PredictionPredictedObservedStatusConf
IF SARM1 is genetically ablated (SARM1 knockout) in neurons with MCT1 knockdown, THEN significant preservation of axonal integrity will be observed compared to MCT1 knockdown alone, using primary neurAxon degeneration rate will be reduced by >60% in SARM1 KO neurons with MCT1 knockdown compared to wild-type neurons with MCT1 knockdown, as measured by time-to— no observation —pending0.85
IF nicotinamide (NAD+ precursor) is applied exogenously to axons undergoing MCT1 inhibition, THEN catastrophic NAD+ depletion and subsequent axon degeneration will be prevented, using mouse sciatic neNAD+ levels in axons will remain >70% of baseline at 48 hours post-MCT1 inhibition when nicotinamide is present, and axon morphology will be preserved (branch d— no observation —pending0.80
🔮 Falsifiable Predictions (2)
pendingconf —
IF SARM1 is genetically ablated (SARM1 knockout) in neurons with MCT1 knockdown, THEN significant preservation of axonal integrity will be observed compared to MCT1 knockdown alone, using primary neuronal cultures from SARM1 KO mice transfected with MCT1 siRNA and axonal fragmentation assessed via l
Predicted outcome: Axon degeneration rate will be reduced by >60% in SARM1 KO neurons with MCT1 knockdown compared to wild-type neurons with MCT1 knockdown, as measured
Falsification: SARM1 knockout provides NO protective effect against MCT1 knockdown-induced axon degeneration (degeneration rates are equivalent between genotypes), indicating SARM1 is not the terminal executor of MC
pendingconf —
IF nicotinamide (NAD+ precursor) is applied exogenously to axons undergoing MCT1 inhibition, THEN catastrophic NAD+ depletion and subsequent axon degeneration will be prevented, using mouse sciatic nerve explants or primary neuronal cultures treated with MCT1 inhibitor (AR-C155858) with or without 1
Predicted outcome: NAD+ levels in axons will remain >70% of baseline at 48 hours post-MCT1 inhibition when nicotinamide is present, and axon morphology will be preserved
Falsification: NAD+ supplementation does NOT prevent axon degeneration induced by MCT1 inhibition, indicating the degeneration mechanism operates independently of NAD+ depletion and SARM1 activation; or NAD+ is depl

📖 References (8)

  1. NMNAT2 is a druggable target to drive neuronal NAD production.
    Nat Commun (2024)
  2. SARM1-specific motifs in the TIR domain enable NAD+ loss and regulate injury-induced SARM1 activation.
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2016)
  3. Caspase-3 cleaves and activates the NADase SARM1 to promote apoptosis, linking two cell death mechanisms.
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2026)
  4. Hyperglycemia promotes SIRT3-mediated deacetylation of SARM1 to exacerbate diabetic peripheral neuropathy in mice.
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2026)
  5. Small Molecule SARM1 Inhibitors Recapitulate the SARM1(-/-) Phenotype and Allow Recovery of a Metastable Pool of Axons Fated to Degenerate.
    Cell Rep (2021)
  6. The axon-protective WLD(S) protein partially rescues mitochondrial respiration and glycolysis after axonal injury.
    J Mol Neurosci (2015)
  7. MCT1 Deletion in Oligodendrocyte Lineage Cells Causes Late-Onset Hypomyelination and Axonal Degeneration.
    Cell reports (2022)
  8. Targeting the programmed axon degeneration pathway as a potential therapeutic for Charcot-Marie-Tooth disease.
    Brain research (2021)
Metadatasource: v1_phase_c_backfill · origin_type: gap_debate
sourcev1_phase_c_backfill
origin_typegap_debate
_schema_version1
📊 Evidence Profile
Evidence Balance
+0%
Certainty
0%
Debates
0
Incoming
0
Outgoing
0
0 supporting 0 contradicting 0 neutral
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