ID: h-1111ac0598
Hypothesis

C9orf72 DPRs Impair Autophagy Receptor Docking on Stress Granules

The hexanucleotide repeat expansion (GGGGCC) in the C9orf72 gene represents the most prevalent genetic cause of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and frontotemporal dementia (FTD), accounting for approximately 40% of familial ALS cases.
🧬 C9orf72, p62/SQSTM1, OPTN🩺 neurodegeneration🎯 Composite 72%💱 $0.60▼16.3%proposed
EvidencePending (0%)📖 0 cit🗣 1 debates 4 support 2 oppose
✓ All Quality Gates Passed
Mechanistic 0.70 (15%) Evidence 0.72 (15%) Novelty 0.68 (12%) Feasibility 0.78 (12%) Impact 0.82 (12%) Druggability 0.75 (10%) Safety 0.58 (8%) Competition 0.70 (6%) Data Avail. 0.82 (5%) Reproducible 0.72 (5%) KG Connect 0.50 (8%) 0.717 composite

🧪 Overview

Molecular Mechanism and Rationale

The hexanucleotide repeat expansion (GGGGCC) in the C9orf72 gene represents the most prevalent genetic cause of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and frontotemporal dementia (FTD), accounting for approximately 40% of familial ALS cases and 25% of familial FTD cases. This expansion undergoes repeat-associated non-ATG (RAN) translation, generating five distinct dipeptide repeat proteins (DPRs): poly-glycine-proline (poly-GP), poly-glycine-arginine (poly-GR), poly-proline-arginine (poly-PR), poly-glycine-alanine (poly-GA), and poly-proline-alanine (poly-PA). Among these, the arginine-rich DPRs (poly-GR and poly-PR) exhibit the highest toxicity due to their cationic nature and propensity for protein-protein interactions.

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🧬 Mechanism

🧬 Curated Mechanism Pathway

Curated pathway from expert analysis

flowchart TD
    A["C9orf72 GGGGCC Repeat<br/>Hexanucleotide Expansion"]
    B["Loss-of-Function<br/>Haploinsufficiency"]
    C["Toxic DPR Proteins<br/>Poly-GR, Poly-PR, Poly-GA"]
    D["Stress Granule<br/>DPR Accumulation"]
    E["Autophagy Receptor<br/>p62/OPTN/NDP52 Blocked"]
    F["RNA Foci Toxicity<br/>Sense/Antisense Transcripts"]
    G["Impaired Autophagic Flux<br/>Aggregate Clearance Failure"]
    H["TDP-43 Mislocalization<br/>ALS/FTD Pathology"]
    A --> B
    A --> C
    A --> F
    C --> D
    D --> E
    B --> G
    E --> G
    G --> H
    style A fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a
    style H fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a

⚖️ Evidence

⚖️ Evidence Matrix4 supports2 contradicts
Supports
C9orf72 expansions account for ~40% of familial ALS and ~25% of familial FTD
Supports
Poly-GR, poly-PR, and poly-GA DPRs localize to SGs and alter SG dynamics
Supports
C9orf72 ASO programs in clinical trials establish regulatory precedent and validated pharmacodynamic biomarkers
Supports
p62 and OPTN are themselves ALS-associated genes with mutations causing disease
Contradicts
C9orf72 haploinsufficiency confounds interpretation of DPR effects in patient cells
Contradicts
DPR functional heterogeneity unaddressed - poly-GR/PR and poly-GA have distinct biophysical properties
📖 Linked Papers

No linked papers recorded for this hypothesis yet.

🏥 Translation

🧬 3D Protein Structure — C9ORF72

No curated PDB or AlphaFold mapping for C9ORF72 yet. Search RCSB →

🧠 GTEx v10 Brain ExpressionJSON

Median TPM across 13 brain regions for C9orf72, p62/SQSTM1, OPTN from GTEx v10.

Cerebellar Hemisphere74.9 Cerebellum67.7 Frontal Cortex BA939.9 Spinal cord cervical c-137.2 Cortex36.7 Hypothalamus30.4 Anterior cingulate cortex BA2430.1 Substantia nigra30.1 Nucleus accumbens basal ganglia29.4 Caudate basal ganglia27.3 Amygdala25.5 Putamen basal ganglia24.9 Hippocampus23.0median TPM (GTEx v10)

💉 Clinical Trials (1)

0
Active
0
Completed
0
Total Enrolled
Unknown·

No curated ClinVar variants loaded for this hypothesis.

Run scripts/backfill_clinvar_variants.py to fetch P/LP/VUS variants.

🔍 Search ClinVar for C9orf72, p62 →

No DepMap CRISPR Chronos data found for C9orf72, p62.

Run python3 scripts/backfill_hypothesis_depmap.py to populate.

💰 Estimated Development
Cost
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Timeline

🏆 Tournament

🏆 Arenas / Elo

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📊 Market Indicators

7d Trend
Falling
7d Momentum
▼ 2.7%
Volatility
Low
0.0045
Events (7d)
5
Price History
▼16.3%

💾 Resource Usage

LLM Tokens
27,898
$0.0837
Total Cost
$0.0837

🔮 Predictions

🔎 Predictions vs Observations3 predictions · 0 with recorded observations
PredictionPredictedObservedStatusConf
IF C9-ALS/FTD patient-derived motor neurons are treated with ASOs targeting C9orf72 repeat transcripts to reduce DPR production below 30% of baseline levels, THEN autophagic clearance of stress granulSG half-life reduced from ~45 minutes in C9-motor neurons to ~20 minutes (matching isogenic controls) following ASO treatment, with >70% of stress granules show— no observation —pending0.72
IF poly-GA or poly-GR dipeptide repeat proteins are expressed in neuronal cells at levels comparable to C9-ALS patient neurons, THEN p62/SQSTM1 and OPTN protein levels co-recruited to ubiquitinated stQuantifiable reduction in p62/SQSTM1 and OPTN fluorescence intensity at stress granules by immunofluorescence microscopy, with simultaneous measurement of SG nu— no observation —pending0.78
IF poly-GA sterically occludes the UBA domain of p62/SQSTM1, THEN expression of a p62 mutant with a UBA domain engineered to resist DPR binding (W138A/Y143A mutations that disrupt DPR binding while rep62-ΔUBA^DPR-resistant motor neurons will exhibit ≥60% rescue of p62 foci co-localizing with ubiquitin on stress granules compared to parental C9orf72 lines, wi— no observation —pending0.72
🔮 Falsifiable Predictions (3)
pendingconf —
IF poly-GA or poly-GR dipeptide repeat proteins are expressed in neuronal cells at levels comparable to C9-ALS patient neurons, THEN p62/SQSTM1 and OPTN protein levels co-recruited to ubiquitinated stress granules will be significantly reduced (by >50%) compared to GFP-expressing controls, using CRI
Predicted outcome: Quantifiable reduction in p62/SQSTM1 and OPTN fluorescence intensity at stress granules by immunofluorescence microscopy, with simultaneous measuremen
Falsification: If p62/SQSTM1 and OPTN recruitment to ubiquitinated stress granules remains unchanged (within 10% of control) despite high intracellular DPR levels, the steric occlusion mechanism is disproven. If red
pendingconf —
IF C9-ALS/FTD patient-derived motor neurons are treated with ASOs targeting C9orf72 repeat transcripts to reduce DPR production below 30% of baseline levels, THEN autophagic clearance of stress granules will be restored to wild-type levels, as measured by decreased SG half-life and increased colocal
Predicted outcome: SG half-life reduced from ~45 minutes in C9-motor neurons to ~20 minutes (matching isogenic controls) following ASO treatment, with >70% of stress gra
Falsification: If ASO-mediated DPR reduction fails to restore SG clearance rates (remains >30 minutes half-life) and p62/LAMP2 colocalization does not increase despite confirmed DPR knockdown (>70%), the DPR-recepto
pendingconf —
IF poly-GA sterically occludes the UBA domain of p62/SQSTM1, THEN expression of a p62 mutant with a UBA domain engineered to resist DPR binding (W138A/Y143A mutations that disrupt DPR binding while retaining ubiquitin binding) will rescue recruitment of p62 to ubiquitinated stress granules in C9orf7
Predicted outcome: p62-ΔUBA^DPR-resistant motor neurons will exhibit ≥60% rescue of p62 foci co-localizing with ubiquitin on stress granules compared to parental C9orf72
Falsification: If the DPR-resistant p62 mutant fails to restore p62 recruitment to stress granules OR if p62 recruitment is restored but stress granule clearance remains impaired, then simple steric occlusion of the
Metadatasource: v1_phase_c_backfill · origin_type: debate_synthesizer
sourcev1_phase_c_backfill
origin_typedebate_synthesizer
_schema_version1
📊 Evidence Profile
Evidence Balance
+0%
Certainty
0%
Debates
0
Incoming
0
Outgoing
0
0 supporting 0 contradicting 0 neutral
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