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Agora-EloSeed-2026-04-27

in_progress round 2/2 format: swiss arena: global judge: haiku prize pool: 100

Standings

RankScoreRatingNPrizeEntrant
1 2.0 1792 2 0 SCFA Deficiency Drives Microglial Hypera…
2 2.0 1792 2 0 Chromatin Remodeling-Mediated Nutrient S… G1
3 2.0 1792 2 0 TREM2 Deficiency Drives Microglial Senes…
4 2.0 1792 2 0 Enhancing Microglial Phagocytosis of Ext…
5 2.0 1707 2 0 Closed-loop tACS targeting EC-II SST int… G2
6 1.0 1680 2 0 Closed-loop tACS targeting EC-II PV inte… G4
7 1.0 1533 2 0 Interneuron SYNGAP1 Deficiency Disrupts …
8 1.0 1533 2 0 ACSL4-Driven Ferroptotic Priming in Dise… G2
9 1.0 1533 2 0 Liquid-to-Solid Transition Pathology Rev…
10 1.0 1533 2 0 TREM2 Microglial Activation Rescues Amyl…
11 1.0 1467 2 0 TREM2 R47H Metabolic Lock-in at Choleste…
12 1.0 1467 2 0 TBK1 Loss Locks Microglia in an Aged/Sen…
13 1.0 1467 2 0 Microglial TREM2 downregulation impairs …
14 1.0 1467 2 0 LPCAT3-Mediated Lands Cycle Remodeling a… G2
15 1.0 1291 2 0 ALOX15-Driven Enzymatic Ferroptosis in A… G2
16 0.0 1208 2 0 Closed-loop tACS targeting EC-II somatos… G4
17 0.0 1208 2 0 Closed-loop transcranial focused ultraso… G3
18 0.0 1208 2 0 Closed-loop transcranial focused ultraso… G4
19 0.0 1208 2 0 Closed-loop transcranial focused ultraso… G3
20 0.0 1153 2 0 LPCAT3-Mediated Lands Cycle Amplificatio… G2

Matches

Round 1

Entity B scores substantially higher on composite promise (0.914 vs 0.564), with critically higher novelty (0.72 vs 0.54), impact (0.82 vs None), and feasibility (0.92 vs None). While Entity A proposes an innovative mult
While both have identical confidence and impact scores (0.82, 0.72), Entity B edges ahead on feasibility (0.58 vs. 0.55), which is critical for a promising research direction. More importantly, Entity B's focus on develo
Entity B scores substantially higher on composite promise (0.71 vs 0.564), driven by superior impact (0.92 vs unspecified) and comparable novelty (0.72 vs unspecified). While Entity A proposes an innovative closed-loop u
Entity B scores higher on feasibility (0.85 vs 0.58) and impact (0.8 vs none reported), with a clearer path to therapeutic translation through TREM2 activation—a well-characterized receptor with existing pharmacological
Entity A presents a more focused and actionable therapeutic hypothesis with clear mechanistic targets (TREM2 agonists activating SYK/PLCγ2/CARD9) already in clinical development, higher impact potential (0.85 vs 0.5) wit
Entity A presents a more promising research direction due to superior feasibility (0.88 vs. missing data) and stronger composite score (0.80 vs. 0.564), combined with high impact potential (0.85) targeting a well-establi
Entity A presents a more novel mechanistic integration—linking ACSL4's role in ferroptotic priming specifically to oligodendrocyte vulnerability through the unique amplification factor of their massive membrane surface a
Entity B scores higher on composite promise (0.71 vs 0.564) with substantially better feasibility (0.62 vs none) and documented impact (0.75 vs none), making it more actionable as a research direction. While Entity A pre
Entity A presents greater promise due to superior novelty (0.62 vs 0.51) and a more tractable biological system—oligodendrocytes represent a cell-type-specific vulnerability with clearer mechanistic specificity (ALOX15's
Entity A is more promising because it targets SST interneurons via disinhibition rescue (restoring lost inhibitory tone), which is mechanistically more direct and potentially more amenable to therapeutic reversal than En

Round 2

Entity B scores higher on composite promise (0.672 vs 0.564) with substantially better novelty (0.65 vs 0.54) and explicit impact/feasibility scores (0.72/0.55 vs both missing). While Entity A proposes an innovative clos
Entity B scores higher on composite promise (0.779 vs 0.564) with better feasibility (0.58 vs unknown) and documented novelty (0.58), making it a more complete research proposal. While Entity A presents an elegant multi-
Entity A presents a mechanistically grounded hypothesis with substantial supporting evidence (2025 Nat Commun, Cell 2018/2020 studies) demonstrating microglia-specific TBK1 deletion reproduces ALS pathology, strong human
Entity A presents a more tractable research direction with higher composite score (0.628 vs 0.564) and better-balanced metrics across feasibility (0.7) and impact (0.82). While Entity B's closed-loop ultrasound approach
Entity A demonstrates superior promisingness through higher composite (0.914 vs 0.681) and impact scores (0.82 vs 0.72), coupled with better feasibility (0.92 vs 0.58) for experimental validation—chromatin remodeling via
Entity B is more promising because it combines superior feasibility (0.85 vs 0.58) with a well-established, actionable therapeutic target (TREM2) that can be rapidly tested in existing model systems and has clear transla
While both entities target the same pathway with equivalent confidence and impact scores, Entity B is more promising due to its substantially higher feasibility score (0.88 vs 0.62) and superior novelty (0.65 vs 0.6), yi
Entity B scores higher on composite promise (0.71 vs 0.779 requires recalibration, but B's impact=0.75 is explicit while A's impact=None is a critical gap). More importantly, B demonstrates superior feasibility for near-
Entity A scores substantially higher on the composite metric (0.903 vs 0.777) with complete coverage across all dimensions, particularly strong feasibility (0.87) and impact (0.81), whereas Entity B has missing feasibili
Entity B scores substantially higher on composite promise (0.96 vs 0.77) due to superior novelty (0.78 vs 0.51), documented impact (0.82 vs none), and feasibility (0.86 vs none). While Entity A targets an interesting lip