ID: h-0ca883fab0
Hypothesis

C1q has spatially distinct functions, with synapse-bound C1q primarily nucleating complement-dependent pruning and microglia-associated C1q potentially modulating effector state through receptor-speci

The strongest spatial model is a split between substrate marking at synapses and state modulation at microglia.
🧬 C1QA,C1QB,C1QC,C4A,C4B,C3,ITGAM,ITGB2,LAIR1🩺 neurodegeneration🎯 Composite 63%💱 $0.57▼10.1%proposed
EvidencePending (0%)📖 0 cit🗣 1 debates 3 support 2 oppose
✓ All Quality Gates Passed
Mechanistic 0.74 (15%) Evidence 0.64 (15%) Novelty 0.76 (12%) Feasibility 0.69 (12%) Impact 0.59 (12%) Druggability 0.41 (10%) Safety 0.57 (8%) Competition 0.71 (6%) Data Avail. 0.63 (5%) Reproducible 0.58 (5%) KG Connect 0.50 (8%) 0.630 composite

🧪 Overview

The strongest spatial model is a split between substrate marking at synapses and state modulation at microglia. The synaptic arm is well grounded, but the microglial surface-signaling arm remains insufficiently demonstrated in CNS microglia and must be tested under complement-defined conditions that isolate location from ligand identity and microglial state.

🧬 Mechanism

🧬 Curated Mechanism Pathway

Curated pathway from expert analysis

flowchart TD
    A["Stressed Synapse<br/>C1q Ligand Exposed"]
    B["C1q Deposition<br/>Synaptic Tagging"]
    C["C3 Cleavage<br/>C3b Opsonization"]
    D["CR3 Recognition<br/>Microglial Receptor"]
    E["Synaptic Pruning<br/>Phagocytic Engulfment"]
    F["Synapse Loss<br/>Circuit Disruption"]
    G["Cognitive Decline<br/>Memory Impairment"]
    A --> B
    B --> C
    C --> D
    D --> E
    E --> F
    F --> G
    style A fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a
    style G fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a

⚖️ Evidence

⚖️ Evidence Matrix3 supports2 contradicts
Supports
Synaptic C1q/C3/CR3 pruning is strongly supported in development and disease models, consistent with a location-specific synaptic function.
Supports
Microglial CR3-mediated engulfment downstream of synaptic complement deposition supports a substrate-marking role for synaptic C1q.
Supports
Noncanonical C1q receptor signaling exists in myeloid cells, making a microglial signaling arm biologically plausible.
Contradicts
Direct evidence for a distinct cascade-independent microglial surface-signaling program driven by C1q in resident CNS microglia is limited.
Contradicts
Apparent location effects may instead arise from unmeasured ligand identity, complement fragment exposure, or pre-existing microglial state.
📖 Linked Papers

No linked papers recorded for this hypothesis yet.

🏥 Translation

🧬 3D Protein Structure — C1QA

🧬 PDB 1PK6 Click to expand

Experimental structure from RCSB PDB | Powered by Mol*

🧠 GTEx v10 Brain ExpressionJSON

Median TPM across 13 brain regions for C1QA,C1QB,C1QC,C4A,C4B,C3,ITGAM,ITGB2,LAIR1 from GTEx v10.

Spinal cord cervical c-174.7 Substantia nigra38.2median TPM (GTEx v10)

💉 Clinical Trials

No clinical trials data linked to this hypothesis yet.

No curated ClinVar variants loaded for this hypothesis.

Run scripts/backfill_clinvar_variants.py to fetch P/LP/VUS variants.

🔍 Search ClinVar for C1QA,C1QB,C1QC,C4A,C4B,C3,ITGAM,ITGB2,LAIR1 →

No DepMap CRISPR Chronos data found for C1QA,C1QB,C1QC,C4A,C4B,C3,ITGAM,ITGB2,LAIR1.

Run python3 scripts/backfill_hypothesis_depmap.py to populate.

💰 Estimated Development
Cost
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Timeline

🏆 Tournament

🏆 Arenas / Elo

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📊 Market Indicators

7d Trend
Stable
7d Momentum
▼ 0.5%
Volatility
Low
0.0030
Events (7d)
2
Price History
▼10.1%

💾 Resource Usage

LLM Tokens
19,754
$0.0593
Total Cost
$0.0593

🔮 Predictions

🔎 Predictions vs Observations2 predictions · 0 with recorded observations
PredictionPredictedObservedStatusConf
IF microglia-specific C1q is deleted using Cx3cr1-CreERT2 while neuronal/astrocyte C1q is preserved, THEN microglial activation markers (CD68, MHCII) and pro-inflammatory cytokine profiling will show Significant reduction in CD68+ phagocytic microglia and decreased IL-1β/TNF-α transcript levels in the hippocampus of microglia-C1q KO mice compared to controls— no observation —pending0.55
IF LAIR1 is selectively blocked on microglia via anti-LAIR1 Fab fragments while complement C3 is simultaneously inhibited, THEN microglial process dynamics and arbor complexity will remain altered (inLAIR1 blockade + C3 inhibition will result in impaired microglial process velocity (>30% reduction) and reduced branch complexity (Sholl analysis) while synapti— no observation —pending0.40
🔮 Falsifiable Predictions (2)
pendingconf 55%
IF microglia-specific C1q is deleted using Cx3cr1-CreERT2 while neuronal/astrocyte C1q is preserved, THEN microglial activation markers (CD68, MHCII) and pro-inflammatory cytokine profiling will show significant alteration compared to C1q-flox controls, within 3 months post-tamoxifen induction in 5x
Predicted outcome: Significant reduction in CD68+ phagocytic microglia and decreased IL-1β/TNF-α transcript levels in the hippocampus of microglia-C1q KO mice compared t
Falsification: No change in microglial activation state or cytokine profile when microglia-specific C1q is deleted; microglial state remains dependent on non-microglial C1q sources only.
pendingconf 40%
IF LAIR1 is selectively blocked on microglia via anti-LAIR1 Fab fragments while complement C3 is simultaneously inhibited, THEN microglial process dynamics and arbor complexity will remain altered (indicating receptor-specific signaling) while synaptic complement tagging and engulfment remain suppre
Predicted outcome: LAIR1 blockade + C3 inhibition will result in impaired microglial process velocity (>30% reduction) and reduced branch complexity (Sholl analysis) whi
Falsification: Blocking LAIR1 reproduces the same pruning phenotype as C3 inhibition, indicating LAIR1 operates downstream of complement rather than as a separate microglial state modulator.
Metadatasource: v1_phase_c_backfill · origin_type: debate_synthesizer
sourcev1_phase_c_backfill
origin_typedebate_synthesizer
_schema_version1
📊 Evidence Profile
Evidence Balance
+0%
Certainty
0%
Debates
0
Incoming
0
Outgoing
0
0 supporting 0 contradicting 0 neutral
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