ID: h-1e70cd6400
Hypothesis

Rutin stabilizes a non-nucleating tau conformer through direct MAPT repeat-domain binding

Rutin engages exposed tau aggregation motifs and lowers early oligomer nucleation, with strongest support expected from cell-free seeding and structural footprinting assays.
🧬 MAPT🩺 neurodegeneration🎯 Composite 63%💱 $0.56▼10.3%proposed
EvidencePending (0%)📖 6 cit🗣 1 debates 6 support 1 oppose
✓ All Quality Gates Passed
Mechanistic 0.71 (15%) Evidence 0.55 (15%) Novelty 0.72 (12%) Feasibility 0.69 (12%) Impact 0.63 (12%) Druggability 0.46 (10%) Safety 0.69 (8%) Competition 0.58 (6%) Data Avail. 0.67 (5%) Reproducible 0.57 (5%) KG Connect 0.24 (8%) 0.627 composite

🧪 Overview

Rutin engages exposed tau aggregation motifs and lowers early oligomer nucleation, with strongest support expected from cell-free seeding and structural footprinting assays.

🧬 Mechanism

🧬 Curated Mechanism Pathway

Curated pathway from expert analysis

flowchart TD
    A["MAPT/Tau Protein<br/>Microtubule Stabilizer"]
    B["CDK5/GSK3B Activation<br/>Kinase Dysregulation"]
    C["Tau Hyperphosphorylation<br/>Ser396/Thr231/Ser202"]
    D["Tau Detachment<br/>Microtubule Destabilized"]
    E["Tau Oligomers<br/>Paired Helical Filaments"]
    F["Neurofibrillary Tangles<br/>Intraneuronal Inclusions"]
    G["Axonal Transport Failure<br/>Synaptic Dysfunction"]
    H["Neurodegeneration<br/>Tauopathy Spread"]
    A --> B
    B --> C
    C --> D
    D --> E
    E --> F
    D --> G
    G --> H
    F --> H
    style A fill:#1a237e,stroke:#4fc3f7,color:#4fc3f7
    style C fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a
    style H fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a

⚖️ Evidence

⚖️ Evidence Matrix6 supports1 contradicts
Supports
Direct tau anti-aggregation can be resolved with orthogonal biophysics and seeding assays.
Supports
MAPT mutations, tauopathy, and mechanisms of neurodegeneration.
Lab Invest2019PMID:30742061medium
Supports
Endolysosomal impairment by binding of amyloid beta or MAPT/Tau to V-ATPase and rescue via the HYAL-CD44 axis in Alzheimer disease.
Autophagy2023PMID:36843263medium
Supports
Tau-targeting antisense oligonucleotide MAPT(Rx) in mild Alzheimer's disease: a phase 1b, randomized, placebo-controlled trial.
Nat Med2023PMID:37095250medium
Supports
ELAVL4, splicing, and glutamatergic dysfunction precede neuron loss in MAPT mutation cerebral organoids.
Cell2021PMID:34314701medium
Supports
The six brain-specific TAU isoforms and their role in Alzheimer's disease and related neurodegenerative dementia syndromes.
Alzheimers Dement2024PMID:38556838medium
Contradicts
Polyphenol assay interference and poor CNS exposure could explain false-positive benefit.
📖 Linked Papers

No linked papers recorded for this hypothesis yet.

🏥 Translation

🧬 3D Protein Structure — MAPT

🧬 PDB 5O3L Click to expand

Experimental structure from RCSB PDB | Powered by Mol*

🧠 GTEx v10 Brain ExpressionJSON

Median TPM across 13 brain regions for MAPT from GTEx v10.

Cerebellum209 Cerebellar Hemisphere199 Cortex152 Frontal Cortex BA9146 Anterior cingulate cortex BA24101 Hypothalamus86.4 Amygdala73.5 Nucleus accumbens basal ganglia72.2 Hippocampus72.1 Caudate basal ganglia64.7 Putamen basal ganglia58.1 Substantia nigra56.8 Spinal cord cervical c-149.2median TPM (GTEx v10)

💉 Clinical Trials

No clinical trials data linked to this hypothesis yet.

No curated ClinVar variants loaded for this hypothesis.

Run scripts/backfill_clinvar_variants.py to fetch P/LP/VUS variants.

🔍 Search ClinVar for MAPT →

No DepMap CRISPR Chronos data found for MAPT.

Run python3 scripts/backfill_hypothesis_depmap.py to populate.

💰 Estimated Development
Cost
$0
Timeline

🏆 Tournament

🏆 Arenas / Elo

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📊 Market Indicators

7d Trend
Stable
7d Momentum
▼ 0.5%
Volatility
Low
0.0030
Events (7d)
2
Price History
▼10.3%

💾 Resource Usage

LLM Tokens
1,743
$0.0052
Total Cost
$0.0052

🔮 Predictions

🔎 Predictions vs Observations2 predictions · 0 with recorded observations
PredictionPredictedObservedStatusConf
IF iPSC‑derived cortical neurons harboring the MAPT‑P301L mutation are treated with rutin (5 µM) for 5 days THEN a measurable increase in the population of non‑nucleating tau conformers (assessed by a≥20% reduction in oligomeric tau concentration (ELISA) and ≥15% increase in the FRET signal reflecting the non‑nucleating conformer.— no observation —pending0.55
IF recombinant tau K18 (MAPT repeat domain) is incubated with rutin (10 µM) under quiescent conditions THEN a significant reduction in ThT fluorescence (≥30% decrease) will be observed within 2 h rela≥30% decrease in ThT fluorescence signal, indicating lowered nucleation of tau oligomers.— no observation —pending0.65
🔮 Falsifiable Predictions (2)
pendingconf 65%
IF recombinant tau K18 (MAPT repeat domain) is incubated with rutin (10 µM) under quiescent conditions THEN a significant reduction in ThT fluorescence (≥30% decrease) will be observed within 2 h relative to vehicle control.
Predicted outcome: ≥30% decrease in ThT fluorescence signal, indicating lowered nucleation of tau oligomers.
Falsification: No significant reduction in ThT fluorescence (≤10% decrease) after rutin treatment, implying rutin does not inhibit tau nucleation.
pendingconf 55%
IF iPSC‑derived cortical neurons harboring the MAPT‑P301L mutation are treated with rutin (5 µM) for 5 days THEN a measurable increase in the population of non‑nucleating tau conformers (assessed by a FRET biosensor) will be detected, leading to a ≥20% reduction in oligomeric tau levels measured by
Predicted outcome: ≥20% reduction in oligomeric tau concentration (ELISA) and ≥15% increase in the FRET signal reflecting the non‑nucleating conformer.
Falsification: No change or increase in oligomeric tau levels (≤5% reduction) and no shift in FRET signal, disproving the conformer stabilization hypothesis.
Metadatasource: v1_phase_c_backfill · origin_type: debate_synthesizer
sourcev1_phase_c_backfill
origin_typedebate_synthesizer
_schema_version1
📊 Evidence Profile
Evidence Balance
+0%
Certainty
0%
Debates
0
Incoming
0
Outgoing
0
0 supporting 0 contradicting 0 neutral
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