[Senate] Causal-mechanism replication challenge: stake tokens on edge survival done

← Hypothesis Diversity
Open prediction markets on each top-100 causal edge: 'Will this edge survive the next replication runner cycle?' Markets resolve based on q-er-replication-runner output. Reward calibrated forecasters. Penalize edges that consistently fail to replicate.

Completion Notes

Auto-completed by supervisor after successful deploy to main

Git Commits (2)

Squash merge: orchestra/task/b4e04fba-triage-50-failed-tool-calls-by-skill-and (95 commits) (#1011)2026-04-27
[Senate] Causal-mechanism replication challenge: 100 prediction markets on top causal edges [task:04ae031e-e931-40a8-8472-4f8997ec9a16] (#1007)2026-04-27

Sibling Tasks in Quest (Hypothesis Diversity) ↗