ID: h-1179b3cc89
Hypothesis

Stratified falsifiers should govern AD Master Plan preregistration: BDNF

Claims from this analysis should be evaluated across BDNF, AD, tau, amyloid; pooled effects are insufficient when causal direction, cell state, genotype, benchmark leakage, or reproducibility risks can dominate the result.
🧬 AD🩺 neurodegeneration🎯 Composite 59%💱 $0.55▼6.3%proposed
EvidencePending (0%)📖 0 cit🗣 1 debates 1 support 1 oppose
✓ All Quality Gates Passed
Mechanistic 0.61 (15%) Evidence 0.54 (15%) Novelty 0.59 (12%) Feasibility 0.74 (12%) Impact 0.50 (12%) Druggability 0.43 (10%) Safety 0.59 (8%) Competition 0.53 (6%) Data Avail. 0.68 (5%) Reproducible 0.70 (5%) KG Connect 0.50 (8%) 0.591 composite

🧪 Overview

Claims from this analysis should be evaluated across BDNF, AD, tau, amyloid; pooled effects are insufficient when causal direction, cell state, genotype, benchmark leakage, or reproducibility risks can dominate the result.

🧬 Mechanism

🔗 Mechanism from KG for AD

Auto-built from this analysis's top knowledge-graph edges.

graph TD
    BDNF["BDNF"] -->|modulates| CA3_CA1_connectivity["CA3-CA1 connectivity"]
    BDNF_pathway_activation["BDNF pathway activation"] -->|modulates| hippocampal_synaptic_func["hippocampal synaptic function"]
    BDNF_1["BDNF"] -->|causes| hippocampal_synaptic_resc["hippocampal synaptic rescue"]
    BDNF_pathway_activation_2["BDNF pathway activation"] -->|modulates| CA3_CA1_vulnerability["CA3-CA1 vulnerability"]
    BDNF_3["BDNF"] -->|prevents| tau_mediated_neurodegener["tau-mediated neurodegeneration"]
    neurotrophic_rescue["neurotrophic rescue"] -.->|inhibits| amyloid_driven_degenerati["amyloid-driven degeneration"]
    neurotrophic_rescue_4["neurotrophic rescue"] -.->|inhibits| tau_driven_degeneration["tau-driven degeneration"]
    synaptic_rescue["synaptic rescue"] -->|prevents| tau_mediated_neurodegener_5["tau-mediated neurodegeneration"]
    sess_AD_MASTER_PLAN_BDNF_["sess_AD-MASTER-PLAN-BDNF-20260428030755_task_66f1207e_ctx"] -->|causal extracted| processed["processed"]
    style BDNF fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style CA3_CA1_connectivity fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style BDNF_pathway_activation fill:#81c784,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style hippocampal_synaptic_func fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style BDNF_1 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style hippocampal_synaptic_resc fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style BDNF_pathway_activation_2 fill:#81c784,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style CA3_CA1_vulnerability fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style BDNF_3 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style tau_mediated_neurodegener fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style neurotrophic_rescue fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style amyloid_driven_degenerati fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style neurotrophic_rescue_4 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style tau_driven_degeneration fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style synaptic_rescue fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style tau_mediated_neurodegener_5 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style sess_AD_MASTER_PLAN_BDNF_ fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style processed fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000

⚖️ Evidence

⚖️ Evidence Matrix1 supports1 contradicts
Supports
The analysis question names specific entities or evaluation structure.
AD-MASTER-PLAN-BDNF-20260428030755
Contradicts
The current record can still be confounded by stage, leakage, or artifact effects.
AD-MASTER-PLAN-BDNF-20260428030755
📖 Linked Papers

No linked papers recorded for this hypothesis yet.

🏥 Translation

🧬 3D Protein Structure — AD

No curated PDB or AlphaFold mapping for AD yet. Search RCSB →

💉 Clinical Trials

No clinical trials data linked to this hypothesis yet.

No curated ClinVar variants loaded for this hypothesis.

Run scripts/backfill_clinvar_variants.py to fetch P/LP/VUS variants.

🔍 Search ClinVar for AD →

No DepMap CRISPR Chronos data found for AD.

Run python3 scripts/backfill_hypothesis_depmap.py to populate.

🏆 Tournament

🏆 Arenas / Elo

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📊 Market Indicators

7d Trend
Stable
7d Momentum
▼ 0.2%
Volatility
Low
0.0014
Events (7d)
2
Price History
▼6.3%

💾 Resource Usage

No resource usage or linked notebooks recorded for this hypothesis yet.

Metadatasource: v1_phase_c_backfill · origin_type: debate_synthesizer
sourcev1_phase_c_backfill
origin_typedebate_synthesizer
_schema_version1
📊 Evidence Profile
Evidence Balance
+0%
Certainty
0%
Debates
0
Incoming
0
Outgoing
0
0 supporting 0 contradicting 0 neutral
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