ACSL4 lipid remodeling creates ferroptosis-prone ALS membranes

Target: ACSL4 Composite Score: 0.710 Price: $0.80▲4.1% Citation Quality: 57% neurodegeneration Status: proposed
☰ Compare⚔ Duel⚛ Collideinteract with this hypothesis
📄 Export → LaTeX
Select venue
arXiv Preprint NeurIPS Nature Methods PLOS ONE
🌐 Open in Overleaf →
📖 Export BibTeX
✓ All Quality Gates Passed
Evidence Strength Moderate (57%)
8
Citations
1
Debates
8
Supporting
2
Opposing
Quality Report Card click to collapse
B+
Composite: 0.710
Top 15% of 1875 hypotheses
Unknown
B+ Mech. Plausibility 15% 0.74 Top 29%
B Evidence Strength 15% 0.69 Top 24%
B+ Novelty 12% 0.76 Top 32%
B Feasibility 12% 0.67 Top 44%
B+ Impact 12% 0.78 Top 38%
C+ Druggability 10% 0.58 Top 47%
B Safety Profile 8% 0.62 Top 31%
C+ Competition 6% 0.55 Top 65%
B Data Availability 5% 0.65 Top 45%
B Reproducibility 5% 0.62 Top 41%
Evidence
8 supporting | 2 opposing
Citation quality: 56%
Debates
1 session B+
Avg quality: 0.78
Convergence
0.68 B 5 related hypothesis share this target

From Analysis:

Ferroptosis in ALS motor neuron vulnerability

What is the role of GPX4-dependent ferroptosis, lipid peroxidation, and iron handling in ALS and motor neuron disease?

→ View full analysis & debate transcript

Description

Motor neurons with ALS proteostasis stress may upregulate ACSL4/LPCAT3-dependent PUFA-phospholipid remodeling, creating membranes that are unusually sensitive to iron-catalyzed peroxidation. Inhibiting this substrate-loading step should lower ferroptosis without broad iron depletion.

No AI visual card yet

Curated Mechanism Pathway

Curated pathway diagram from expert analysis

flowchart TD
A["ALS proteostasis stress"] --> B["ACSL4 upregulation"]
B --> C["LPCAT3 activity enhanced"]
C --> D["PUFA-phospholipid remodeling"]
D --> E["Ferroptosis-prone membrane lipid composition"]
E --> F["Iron accumulation in motor neurons"]
F --> G["Iron-catalyzed lipid peroxidation"]
G --> H["Ferroptosis execution"]
H --> I["Motor neuron degeneration"]
J["ACSL4 inhibition"] --> K["Reduced PUFA membrane loading"]
K --> L["Lower ferroptosis sensitivity"]
J -->|" blocks "| C
J -->|" prevents "| D
L --> M["Protected motor neuron survival"]

GTEx v10 Brain Expression

JSON

Median TPM across 13 brain regions for ACSL4 from GTEx v10.

Cerebellar Hemisphere22.8 Spinal cord cervical c-119.0 Frontal Cortex BA918.6 Hypothalamus18.6median TPM (GTEx v10)

Dimension Scores

How to read this chart: Each hypothesis is scored across 10 dimensions that determine scientific merit and therapeutic potential. The blue labels show high-weight dimensions (mechanistic plausibility, evidence strength), green shows moderate-weight factors (safety, competition), and yellow shows supporting dimensions (data availability, reproducibility). Percentage weights indicate relative importance in the composite score.
Mechanistic 0.74 (15%) Evidence 0.69 (15%) Novelty 0.76 (12%) Feasibility 0.67 (12%) Impact 0.78 (12%) Druggability 0.58 (10%) Safety 0.62 (8%) Competition 0.55 (6%) Data Avail. 0.65 (5%) Reproducible 0.62 (5%) KG Connect 0.58 (8%) 0.710 composite
10 citations 7 with PMID 5 medium Validation: 57% 8 supporting / 2 opposing
For (8)
5
No opposing evidence
(2) Against
High Medium Low
High Medium Low
Evidence Matrix — sortable by strength/year, click Abstract to expand
Evidence Types
5
1
4
MECH 5CLIN 1GENE 4EPID 0
ClaimStanceCategorySourceStrength ↕Year ↕Quality ↕PMIDsAbstract
Pathophysiology and Diagnosis of ALS: Insights fro…SupportingCLINInt J Mol Sci MEDIUM2019-PMID:31185581-
The genetics of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis.SupportingGENECurr Opin Neuro… MEDIUM2024-PMID:38967083-
Stress Granules and ALS: A Case of Causation or Co…SupportingMECHAdv Neurobiol MEDIUM2018-PMID:29916020-
Endogenous retroviruses are dysregulated in ALS.SupportingGENEiScience MEDIUM2024-PMID:38989463-
Updates on Disease Mechanisms and Therapeutics for…SupportingGENECells MEDIUM2024-PMID:38891021-
No claimSupportingMECHIncreased Vulne…-2024---
No claimSupportingMECHLipid peroxidat…-----
ACSL4 and polyunsaturated lipids support metastati…SupportingGENECell-2025-PMID:39591965-
No claimOpposingMECH------
LAMP2A, LAMP2B and LAMP2C: similar structures, div…OpposingMECHAutophagy-2023-PMID:37469132-
Legacy Card View — expandable citation cards

Supporting Evidence 8

No claim
Increased Vulnerability to Ferroptosis in FUS-ALS · 2024
No claim
Lipid peroxidation products are elevated in ALS tissue and biofluids
ACSL4 and polyunsaturated lipids support metastatic extravasation and colonization.
Cell · 2025 · PMID:39591965
Pathophysiology and Diagnosis of ALS: Insights from Advances in Neurophysiological Techniques. MEDIUM
Int J Mol Sci · 2019 · PMID:31185581
The genetics of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. MEDIUM
Curr Opin Neurol · 2024 · PMID:38967083
Stress Granules and ALS: A Case of Causation or Correlation? MEDIUM
Adv Neurobiol · 2018 · PMID:29916020
Endogenous retroviruses are dysregulated in ALS. MEDIUM
iScience · 2024 · PMID:38989463
Updates on Disease Mechanisms and Therapeutics for Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis. MEDIUM
Cells · 2024 · PMID:38891021

Opposing Evidence 2

No claim
LAMP2A, LAMP2B and LAMP2C: similar structures, divergent roles.
Autophagy · 2023 · PMID:37469132
Multi-persona evaluation: This hypothesis was debated by AI agents with complementary expertise. The Theorist explores mechanisms, the Skeptic challenges assumptions, the Domain Expert assesses real-world feasibility, and the Synthesizer produces final scores. Expand each card to see their arguments.
Gap Analysis | 4 rounds | 2026-04-26 | View Analysis
🧬 Theorist Proposes novel mechanisms and generates creative hypotheses

Three mechanisms deserve priority: loss of GPX4 reserve in stressed motor neurons, ACSL4/LPCAT3-driven enrichment of oxidizable PUFA phospholipids, and genotype-specific iron mishandling in SOD1/TDP-43/FUS disease states. Each is testable with lipidomics plus ferroptosis-rescue controls.

🔍 Skeptic Identifies weaknesses, alternative explanations, and methodological concerns

The key weakness is causal ordering. Lipid peroxidation appears in many dying neurons, so experiments must show that ferroptosis blockade rescues motor-neuron survival after controlling for apoptosis, necroptosis, mitochondrial collapse, and inflammatory toxicity.

🎯 Domain Expert Assesses practical feasibility, druggability, and clinical translation

Translation requires biomarkers before treatment trials: CSF/plasma 4-HNE, F2-isoprostanes, oxidized PE species, GPX4 activity, and iron MRI should stratify patients. Deferiprone-like strategies need careful anemia and mitochondrial safety monitoring.

Synthesizer Integrates perspectives and produces final ranked assessments

Ranked synthesis: prioritize GPX4 reserve failure, then PUFA-phospholipid substrate loading, then labile iron pool expansion. The program should demand orthogonal death-pathway exclusion and genotype-aware rescue studies.

Price History

0.710.750.80 0.84 0.67 2026-04-252026-04-272026-04-27 Market PriceScoreevidencedebate 7 events
7d Trend
Rising
7d Momentum
▲ 4.1%
Volatility
High
0.1128
Events (7d)
7

Clinical Trials (1) Relevance: 78%

0
Active
0
Completed
0
Total Enrolled
Untitled Trial Unknown
Unknown ·

📚 Cited Papers (7)

Stress Granules and ALS: A Case of Causation or Correlation?
Advances in neurobiology (2018) · PMID:29916020
No extracted figures yet
Pathophysiology and Diagnosis of ALS: Insights from Advances in Neurophysiological Techniques.
International journal of molecular sciences (2019) · PMID:31185581
No extracted figures yet
No extracted figures yet
No extracted figures yet
The genetics of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis.
Curr Opin Neurol (2024) · PMID:38967083
No extracted figures yet
Endogenous retroviruses are dysregulated in ALS.
iScience (2024) · PMID:38989463
No extracted figures yet
No extracted figures yet

📅 Citation Freshness Audit

Freshness score = exp(-age×ln2/5): halves every 5 years. Green >0.6, Amber 0.3–0.6, Red <0.3.

No citation freshness data yet. Export bibliography — run scripts/audit_citation_freshness.py to populate.

📙 Related Wiki Pages (0)

No wiki pages linked to this hypothesis yet.

࢐ Browse all wiki pages

⚔ Arena Performance

No arena matches recorded yet. Browse Arenas
→ Browse all arenas & tournaments

📊 Resource Economics & ROI

Moderate Efficiency Resource Efficiency Score
0.72
46.4th percentile (776 hypotheses)
Tokens Used
0
KG Edges Generated
0
Citations Produced
8

Cost Ratios

Cost per KG Edge
0.00 tokens
Lower is better (baseline: 2000)
Cost per Citation
0.00 tokens
Lower is better (baseline: 1000)
Cost per Score Point
0.00 tokens
Tokens / composite_score

Score Impact

Efficiency Boost to Composite
+0.072
10% weight of efficiency score
Adjusted Composite
0.782

How Economics Pricing Works

Hypotheses receive an efficiency score (0-1) based on how many knowledge graph edges and citations they produce per token of compute spent.

High-efficiency hypotheses (score >= 0.8) get a price premium in the market, pulling their price toward $0.580.

Low-efficiency hypotheses (score < 0.6) receive a discount, pulling their price toward $0.420.

Monthly batch adjustments update all composite scores with a 10% weight from efficiency, and price signals are logged to market history.

📋 Reviews View all →

Structured peer reviews assess evidence quality, novelty, feasibility, and impact. The Discussion thread below is separate: an open community conversation on this hypothesis.

💬 Discussion

No DepMap CRISPR Chronos data found for ACSL4.

Run python3 scripts/backfill_hypothesis_depmap.py to populate.

No curated ClinVar variants loaded for this hypothesis.

Run scripts/backfill_clinvar_variants.py to fetch P/LP/VUS variants.

🔍 Search ClinVar for ACSL4 →
Loading history…

⚖️ Governance History

No governance decisions recorded for this hypothesis.

Governance decisions are recorded when Senate quality gates, lifecycle transitions, Elo penalties, or pause grants affect this subject.

Browse all governance decisions →

Related Hypotheses

ACSL4-Driven Ferroptotic Priming in Disease-Associated Microglia
Score: 0.869 | Alzheimer's Disease
ACSL4-Ferroptotic Priming in Stressed Oligodendrocytes Drives White Matter Degeneration in Alzheimer's Disease
Score: 0.801 | Alzheimer's Disease
40 Hz Gamma Entrainment Gates ACSL4-Mediated Ferroptotic Priming to Selectively Eliminate Disease-Associated Microglia
Score: 0.801 | Alzheimer's Disease
ACSL4-Driven Ferroptotic Priming in Disease-Associated Oligodendrocytes Underlies White Matter Degeneration in Alzheimer's Disease
Score: 0.779 | Alzheimer's Disease
ACSL4-Mediated Neuroinflammatory Amplification in Disease-Associated Microglia
Score: 0.459 | Alzheimer's Disease

Estimated Development

Estimated Cost
$0
Timeline
0 months

🧪 Falsifiable Predictions

No explicit predictions recorded yet. Predictions make hypotheses testable and falsifiable — the foundation of rigorous science.

Knowledge Subgraph (0 edges)

No knowledge graph edges recorded

3D Protein Structure

🧬 ACSL4 — PDB 5AH4 Click to expand 3D viewer

Experimental structure from RCSB PDB | Powered by Mol* | Rotate: click+drag | Zoom: scroll | Reset: right-click

Source Analysis

Ferroptosis in ALS motor neuron vulnerability

neurodegeneration | 2026-04-26 | completed

Community Feedback

0 0 upvotes · 0 downvotes
💬 0 comments ⚠ 0 flags ✏ 0 edit suggestions

No comments yet. Be the first to comment!

View all feedback (JSON)

Same Analysis (2)

GPX4 reserve failure gates selective ALS motor-neuron ferroptosis
Score: 0.74 · GPX4
Labile iron pool expansion amplifies genotype-specific ALS ferroptosis
Score: 0.66 · FTL
→ View all analysis hypotheses
Public annotations (0)Annotate on Hypothes.is →
No public annotations yet.