ID: h-36d21444fd
Hypothesis

G2019S Amplifies Lysosomal Volume-Sensing Through Membrane Microdomain Partitioning (H5)

G2019S increases LRRK2 affinity for negatively charged, curved membranes (PI4P-enriched lysosomal membranes during swelling).
🧬 LRRK2,PI4P🩺 neurodegeneration🎯 Composite 56%💱 $0.54▼5.1%proposed
EvidencePending (0%)📖 0 cit🗣 1 debates 3 support 2 oppose
✓ All Quality Gates Passed
Mechanistic 0.40 (15%) Evidence 0.45 (15%) Novelty 0.68 (12%) Feasibility 0.70 (12%) Impact 0.52 (12%) Druggability 0.48 (10%) Safety 0.58 (8%) Competition 0.72 (6%) Data Avail. 0.52 (5%) Reproducible 0.50 (5%) KG Connect 0.50 (8%) 0.560 composite

🧪 Overview

G2019S increases LRRK2 affinity for negatively charged, curved membranes (PI4P-enriched lysosomal membranes during swelling). This is not a kinase catalytic change but a localization change that amplifies local RAB10 phosphorylation. dSTORM microscopy can quantify membrane density differences between G2019S and WT.

🧬 Mechanism

🧬 Curated Mechanism Pathway

Curated pathway from expert analysis

flowchart TD
    A["LRRK2 Mutation<br/>Kinase Hyperactivity"]
    B["PI4P Phosphorylation<br/>Lipid Kinase Substrate"]
    C["Lysosomal Membrane<br/>Lipid Composition"]
    D["Endomembrane<br/>Trafficking Defect"]
    E["Autophagy-Lysosome<br/>Pathway Impairment"]
    F["Neuronal<br/>Degeneration"]
    A --> B
    B --> C
    C --> D
    D --> E
    E --> F
    style A fill:#6a1b9a,stroke:#ce93d8,color:#ce93d8
    style F fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a

⚖️ Evidence

⚖️ Evidence Matrix3 supports2 contradicts
Supports
LRRK2 membrane localization requires PI4P
Supports
Lysosomal swelling increases PI4P on limiting membrane
Supports
G2019S accelerates LRRK2 autophosphorylation on S1292 (membrane-associated site)
Contradicts
G2019S is in kinase domain—structural mechanism for membrane affinity change unexplained
Contradicts
S1292 evidence is indirect marker of membrane association, not direct mechanism
📖 Linked Papers

No linked papers recorded for this hypothesis yet.

🏥 Translation

🧬 3D Protein Structure — LRRK2

🧬 PDB 6VP6 Click to expand

Experimental structure from RCSB PDB | Powered by Mol*

🧠 GTEx v10 Brain ExpressionJSON

Median TPM across 13 brain regions for LRRK2,PI4P from GTEx v10.

Frontal Cortex BA93.5 Cortex3.3 Spinal cord cervical c-13.1 Anterior cingulate cortex BA242.8 Substantia nigra2.7 Hypothalamus2.6 Nucleus accumbens basal ganglia2.5 Amygdala2.5 Caudate basal ganglia2.4 Cerebellum2.1 Hippocampus1.8 Cerebellar Hemisphere1.8 Putamen basal ganglia1.8median TPM (GTEx v10)

💉 Clinical Trials

No clinical trials data linked to this hypothesis yet.

No curated ClinVar variants loaded for this hypothesis.

Run scripts/backfill_clinvar_variants.py to fetch P/LP/VUS variants.

🔍 Search ClinVar for LRRK2,PI4P →

No DepMap CRISPR Chronos data found for LRRK2,PI4P.

Run python3 scripts/backfill_hypothesis_depmap.py to populate.

🏆 Tournament

🏆 Arenas / Elo

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📊 Market Indicators

7d Trend
Stable
7d Momentum
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Volatility
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Events (7d)
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💾 Resource Usage

No resource usage or linked notebooks recorded for this hypothesis yet.

🔮 Predictions

🔎 Predictions vs Observations2 predictions · 0 with recorded observations
PredictionPredictedObservedStatusConf
IF G2019S knock-in mouse embryonic fibroblasts (MEFs) are treated with VPS34 inhibitor (SAR405, 100nM, 2h) to reduce PI4P synthesis, THEN the amplitude of lysosomal volume-dependent RAB10 phosphorylatVPS34 inhibition will preferentially attenuate volume-sensing-induced RAB10 phosphorylation in G2019S cells, demonstrating that G2019S amplification depends on — no observation —pending0.58
IF primary human fibroblasts harboring G2019S LRRK2 are subjected to hyperosmotic stress (200mM sucrose, 30 min) to induce lysosomal swelling, THEN phospho-RAB10 (T73) levels at isolated lysosomal memLysosome-associated phospho-RAB10 (T73) will be significantly elevated (>50%) in G2019S cells vs. WT controls after osmotic stress, with LRRK2 showing increased— no observation —pending0.65
🔮 Falsifiable Predictions (2)
pendingconf 65%
IF primary human fibroblasts harboring G2019S LRRK2 are subjected to hyperosmotic stress (200mM sucrose, 30 min) to induce lysosomal swelling, THEN phospho-RAB10 (T73) levels at isolated lysosomal membranes will increase by >50% compared to age-matched WT fibroblasts, within 60 minutes of stress ons
Predicted outcome: Lysosome-associated phospho-RAB10 (T73) will be significantly elevated (>50%) in G2019S cells vs. WT controls after osmotic stress, with LRRK2 showing
Falsification: Phospho-RAB10 levels at lysosomal fractions do not differ between G2019S and WT fibroblasts after osmotic challenge (difference <20%), or LRRK2 shows equal membrane partitioning regardless of genotype
pendingconf 58%
IF G2019S knock-in mouse embryonic fibroblasts (MEFs) are treated with VPS34 inhibitor (SAR405, 100nM, 2h) to reduce PI4P synthesis, THEN the amplitude of lysosomal volume-dependent RAB10 phosphorylation will be reduced to <30% of vehicle-treated G2019S MEFs, whereas VPS34 inhibition in WT MEFs will
Predicted outcome: VPS34 inhibition will preferentially attenuate volume-sensing-induced RAB10 phosphorylation in G2019S cells, demonstrating that G2019S amplification d
Falsification: VPS34 inhibition reduces RAB10 phosphorylation equally in G2019S and WT MEFs (>70% reduction in both), indicating G2019S does not specifically amplify PI4P-dependent lysosomal volume-sensing.
Metadatasource: v1_phase_c_backfill · origin_type: debate_synthesizer
sourcev1_phase_c_backfill
origin_typedebate_synthesizer
_schema_version1
📊 Evidence Profile
Evidence Balance
+0%
Certainty
0%
Debates
0
Incoming
0
Outgoing
0
0 supporting 0 contradicting 0 neutral
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