Cryptic Exon Silencing Restoration

Target: TARDBP Composite Score: 0.462 Price: $0.47▼1.3% Citation Quality: Pending neurodegeneration Status: debated
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🟡 ALS / Motor Neuron Disease 🔴 Alzheimer's Disease 🔥 Neuroinflammation 🧠 Neurodegeneration
✓ All Quality Gates Passed
Quality Report Card click to collapse
C
Composite: 0.462
Top 58% of 513 hypotheses
T1 Established
Multi-source converged and validated
T0 Axiom requires manual override only
B+ Mech. Plausibility 15% 0.75 Top 38%
B+ Evidence Strength 15% 0.70 Top 34%
B Novelty 12% 0.65 Top 80%
B Feasibility 12% 0.60 Top 47%
B+ Impact 12% 0.72 Top 44%
C+ Druggability 10% 0.58 Top 60%
C+ Safety Profile 8% 0.55 Top 52%
B Competition 6% 0.68 Top 65%
B+ Data Availability 5% 0.75 Top 30%
B Reproducibility 5% 0.62 Top 49%
Evidence
15 supporting | 7 opposing
Citation quality: 100%
Debates
2 sessions B
Avg quality: 0.68
Convergence
0.63 B 3 related hypothesis share this target

From Analysis:

RNA binding protein dysregulation across ALS FTD and AD

RNA binding protein dysregulation across ALS FTD and AD

→ View full analysis & debate transcript

Hypotheses from Same Analysis (6)

These hypotheses emerged from the same multi-agent debate that produced this hypothesis.

Stress Granule Phase Separation Modulators
Score: 0.490 | Target: G3BP1
Cross-Seeding Prevention Strategy
Score: 0.451 | Target: TARDBP
Axonal RNA Transport Reconstitution
Score: 0.446 | Target: HNRNPA2B1
R-Loop Resolution Enhancement Therapy
Score: 0.428 | Target: SETX
Mitochondrial RNA Granule Rescue Pathway
Score: 0.400 | Target: SYNCRIP
Nucleolar Stress Response Normalization
Score: 0.378 | Target: NPM1

→ View full analysis & all 7 hypotheses

Description

Molecular Mechanism and Rationale

The TAR DNA-binding protein 43 (TDP-43), encoded by the TARDBP gene, serves as a critical RNA-binding protein (RBP) that orchestrates complex post-transcriptional regulatory networks essential for neuronal homeostasis. Under physiological conditions, TDP-43 functions as a master regulator of cryptic exon silencing through its preferential binding to UG-rich and GU-rich sequences located within introns and 3' untranslated regions of target transcripts. The protein's two RNA recognition motifs (RRM1 and RRM2) facilitate high-affinity binding to these regulatory sequences, while its glycine-rich C-terminal domain mediates protein-protein interactions necessary for splicing complex assembly.

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Figures & Visualizations

Pathway diagram for SYNCRIP
Pathway diagram for SYNCRIP pathway diagram
Pathway diagram for TARDBP
Pathway diagram for TARDBP pathway diagram
Score comparison (7 hypotheses)
Score comparison (7 hypotheses) score comparison
Debate overview for sda-2026-04-01-gap-v2-68d9c9c1
Debate overview for sda-2026-04-01-gap-v2-68d9c9c1 debate overview
Evidence heatmap for TARDBP (4 hypotheses)
Evidence heatmap for TARDBP (4 hypotheses) evidence heatmap
Pathway diagram for NPM1
Pathway diagram for NPM1 pathway diagram

3D Protein Structure

PDB: Open in RCSB AlphaFold model

Interactive 3D viewer powered by RCSB PDB / Mol*. Use mouse to rotate, scroll to zoom.

Dimension Scores

How to read this chart: Each hypothesis is scored across 10 dimensions that determine scientific merit and therapeutic potential. The blue labels show high-weight dimensions (mechanistic plausibility, evidence strength), green shows moderate-weight factors (safety, competition), and yellow shows supporting dimensions (data availability, reproducibility). Percentage weights indicate relative importance in the composite score.
Mechanistic 0.75 (15%) Evidence 0.70 (15%) Novelty 0.65 (12%) Feasibility 0.60 (12%) Impact 0.72 (12%) Druggability 0.58 (10%) Safety 0.55 (8%) Competition 0.68 (6%) Data Avail. 0.75 (5%) Reproducible 0.62 (5%) 0.462 composite
22 citations 22 with PMID 14 medium Validation: 100% 15 supporting / 7 opposing
Evidence Matrix — sortable by strength/year, click Abstract to expand
ClaimTypeSourceStrength ↕Year ↕PMIDsAbstract
Therapeutic reduction of ataxin-2 extends lifespan…SupportingNature MEDIUM2017PMID:28405022
TDP-43 regulates LC3ylation in neural tissue throu…SupportingActa Neuropatho… MEDIUM2024PMID:39305312
Targets and Gene Therapy of ALS (Part 1).SupportingInt J Mol Sci MEDIUM2025PMID:40362304
Selective Silencing of TDP-43 P. G376D Mutation Re…SupportingBiomolecules MEDIUM2026PMID:41897327
Axonal transport impairment as an upstream mechani…SupportingFront Neurosci MEDIUM2026PMID:41890591
A quantitative cell-based reporter links TDP-43 ag…SupportingPLoS Biol MEDIUM2026PMID:41875078
TDP-43 impairs glycolysis by sequestering hexokina…SupportingActa Neuropatho… MEDIUM2026PMID:41838122
Multi-modal dissection of cell-type specific TDP-4…SupportingNat Commun MEDIUM2026PMID:41803120
Demonstrates TDP-43-dependent cryptic splicing mec…SupportingNat Commun-2026PMID:41720774-
Identifies cryptic exon-derived peptides as potent…SupportingInflamm Regen-2026PMID:41612503-
Demonstrates antisense oligonucleotide targeting o…SupportingInt J Oral Sci-2026PMID:41540015-
Provides genetic insights into TDP-43 neurodegener…SupportingNeurol Genet-2026PMID:41883703-
Reveals TDP-43's role in splicing activation,…SupportingNucleic Acids R…-2026PMID:41521669-
Presents transcriptomic signature of TDP-43 pathol…SupportingBrain-2026PMID:41789476-
ALS-related proteinopathies: From TDP-43 to mitoch…SupportingCurr Opin Neuro…-2026PMID:41570741-
The genetics of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis.OpposingCurr Opin Neuro… MEDIUM2024PMID:38967083
TDP-43 loss and ALS-risk SNPs drive mis-splicing a…OpposingNature MEDIUM2022PMID:35197628
Credibility analysis of putative disease-causing g…OpposingPLoS One MEDIUM2013PMID:23755159
Chemical and Molecular Strategies in Restoring Aut…OpposingMolecules MEDIUM2026PMID:41900026
Excitotoxicity in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: a…OpposingBrain Commun MEDIUM2026PMID:41890274
Splicing the narrative: alternative TARDBP splicin…OpposingJ Clin Invest MEDIUM2026PMID:41837283
Failed to rescue disease phenotypes in TDP-43 mode…OpposingInt J Mol Sci-2026PMID:41751955-
Legacy Card View — expandable citation cards

Supporting Evidence 15

Therapeutic reduction of ataxin-2 extends lifespan and reduces pathology in TDP-43 mice. MEDIUM
Nature · 2017 · PMID:28405022
ABSTRACT

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a rapidly progressing neurodegenerative disease that is characterized by motor neuron loss and that leads to paralysis and death 2-5 years after disease onset. Nearly all patients with ALS have aggregates of the RNA-binding protein TDP-43 in their brains and spinal cords, and rare mutations in the gene encoding TDP-43 can cause ALS. There are no effective TDP-43-directed therapies for ALS or related TDP-43 proteinopathies, such as frontotemporal dementia. Antisense oligonucleotides (ASOs) and RNA-interference approaches are emerging as attractive therapeutic strategies in neurological diseases. Indeed, treatment of a rat model of inherited ALS (caused by a mutation in Sod1) with ASOs against Sod1 has been shown to substantially slow disease progression. However, as SOD1 mutations account for only around 2-5% of ALS cases, additional therapeutic strategies are needed. Silencing TDP-43 itself is probably not appropriate, given its critical cellular

TDP-43 regulates LC3ylation in neural tissue through ATG4B cryptic splicing inhibition. MEDIUM
Acta Neuropathol · 2024 · PMID:39305312
ABSTRACT

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is an adult-onset motor neuron disease with a mean survival time of three years. The 97% of the cases have TDP-43 nuclear depletion and cytoplasmic aggregation in motor neurons. TDP-43 prevents non-conserved cryptic exon splicing in certain genes, maintaining transcript stability, including ATG4B, which is crucial for autophagosome maturation and Microtubule-associated proteins 1A/1B light chain 3B (LC3B) homeostasis. In ALS mice (G93A), Atg4b depletion worsens survival rates and autophagy function. For the first time, we observed an elevation of LC3ylation in the CNS of both ALS patients and atg4b-/- mouse spinal cords. Furthermore, LC3ylation modulates the distribution of ATG3 across membrane compartments. Antisense oligonucleotides (ASOs) targeting cryptic exon restore ATG4B mRNA in TARDBP knockdown cells. We further developed multi-target ASOs targeting TDP-43 binding sequences for a broader effect. Importantly, our ASO based in peptide-PMO conju

Targets and Gene Therapy of ALS (Part 1). MEDIUM
Int J Mol Sci · 2025 · PMID:40362304
ABSTRACT

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a neurodegenerative disease characterized by the selective death of motor neurons, which causes muscle atrophy. Genetic forms of ALS are recorded only in 10% of cases. However, over the past decade, studies in genetics have substantially contributed to our understanding of the molecular mechanisms underlying ALS. The identification of key mutations such as SOD1, C9orf72, FUS, and TARDBP has led to the development of targeted therapy that is gradually being introduced into clinical trials, opening up a broad range of opportunities for correcting these mutations. In this review, we aimed to present an extensive overview of the currently known mechanisms of motor neuron degeneration associated with mutations in these genes and also the gene therapy methods for inhibiting the expression of their mutant proteins. Among these, antisense oligonucleotides, RNA interference (siRNA and miRNA), and gene-editing (CRISPR/Cas9) methods are of particular interes

Selective Silencing of TDP-43 P. G376D Mutation Reverses Key Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis-Related Cellular De… MEDIUM
Selective Silencing of TDP-43 P. G376D Mutation Reverses Key Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis-Related Cellular Deficits.
Biomolecules · 2026 · PMID:41897327
ABSTRACT

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a neurodegenerative disease for which there is currently no cure. Dominant mutations in the TARDBP gene are causative of ALS. In particular, the p. G376D substitution in TDP-43 causes familial ALS and it is associated with TDP-43 mislocalization in the cytosol, increased presence of cytoplasmic aggregates, and lysosomal and mitochondrial dysfunction. We previously designed a small interfering RNA (siRNA) that specifically targets and silences the mutant allele and we demonstrated that, in patient-derived fibroblasts, it can reduce TDP-43 aggregation, decrease oxidative stress, and improve cell viability. Here, we investigated the ability of this siRNA to revert some ALS-associated pathological phenotypes in motor neurons derived from induced pluripotent stem cells (iPSCs), as motor neurons are the primary cells affected in ALS. siRNA treatment reduced TDP-43 mislocalization, enhanced lysosomal function and cell viability, and decreased oxidative s

Axonal transport impairment as an upstream mechanism in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis pathogenesis. MEDIUM
Front Neurosci · 2026 · PMID:41890591
ABSTRACT

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a fatal neurodegenerative disorder characterized by progressive loss of upper and lower motor neurons. Despite marked genetic and pathological heterogeneity, a unifying pathogenic framework remains lacking. We propose that axonal transport impairment represents an early and convergent but genotype-modulated upstream vulnerability in ALS, contributing to distal synaptic failure, bioenergetic stress, protein aggregation, neuroinflammation, and neuronal death. Across many ALS models, including SOD1, TARDBP (TDP-43), FUS, and C9orf72, transport deficits are frequently detectable in presymptomatic stages, often preceding overt motor neuron loss or clinical manifestation, although temporal ordering varies by molecular subtype. Human data from induced pluripotent stem cell-derived motor neurons and neuroimaging in mutation carriers further support early transport dysfunction in both familial and sporadic ALS. We synthesize genetic, cellular, and systems-

A quantitative cell-based reporter links TDP-43 aggregation and dysfunction to define pathogenic mechanisms. MEDIUM
PLoS Biol · 2026 · PMID:41875078
ABSTRACT

TDP-43 pathology is a hallmark of fatal neurodegenerative disorders, including amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), frontotemporal dementia (FTD), and limbic-predominant age-related TDP-43-encephalopathy (LATE). In affected patients, cytoplasmic TDP-43 aggregates are accompanied by disruption of its normal nuclear localization and function. Because TDP-43 is an RNA binding protein that controls transcript processing, including repression of cryptic exon splicing, its loss leads to dysregulation of gene expression. Despite its central significance in disease, the connection between TDP-43 aggregation and dysfunction remains poorly understood, and models to study the underlying mechanisms are limited. Here, we characterize a robust and quantitative cell-based reporter that captures both aggregation and the resulting loss of function. Using this human biosensor cell line, we show that aggregation initiated by prion-like seeding drives progressive depletion of nuclear TDP-43 and induces si

TDP-43 impairs glycolysis by sequestering hexokinase 1 in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. MEDIUM
Acta Neuropathol · 2026 · PMID:41838122
ABSTRACT

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a fatal neurodegenerative disorder characterized by progressive motor neuron degeneration and cytoplasmic mislocalization of TDP-43. While metabolic dysfunction is increasingly recognized in ALS, the mechanistic link between impaired energy metabolism and TDP-43 pathology remains unknown. Here, we show that cytoplasmic TDP-43 directly disrupts glycolysis by targeting hexokinase 1 (HK1), the first rate-limiting enzyme of the pathway. In cells expressing a TDP-43 variant lacking its nuclear localization signal and in patient-derived iPSC motor neurons, TDP-43 accumulation in the cytoplasm reduces glycolytic capacity, indicating a neuron-intrinsic metabolic defect. Across cellular models including patient-derived neurons, TDP-43 mutant mice, and postmortem spinal cord tissue from ALS patients, we observe consistent decreases in HK1 protein level, mitochondrial association, and enzymatic activity, despite unchanged transcript levels. Mechanistically,

Multi-modal dissection of cell-type specific TDP-43 pathology in the motor cortex. MEDIUM
Nat Commun · 2026 · PMID:41803120
ABSTRACT

Cytoplasmic TDP-43 pathology is a pathological sign of ALS/ALS-FTD and a converging disease event across different genotypes, phenotypes and CNS areas. To understand this process and target it therapeutically, we need to define which cell types are affected and which cell-type specific effects make them particularly vulnerable. We coupled flow-cytometry nuclear sorting and sequencing with single-nucleus multi-omic ATAC-seq and RNA-seq and spatial transcriptomics to define the transcriptional cell type of affected neurons in the post-mortem ALS/ALS-FTD motor cortex (30 ALS, 20 ALS-FTD & 32 control samples). Here, we show that mainly excitatory cortical neurons are affected by TDP-43 pathology and define the cell types that are affected the most: intratelencephalic L2-L3-LINC00507-FREM3, L3-L5-RORB-LNX2, L3-L5-RORB-ADGRL4 & L6-THEMIS-LINC00343 neurons and extratelencephalic L5-FEZF2-NTNG1 neurons. Transcriptional aberrations by TDP-43 pathology, like cryptic exon inclusion, are cell-type

Demonstrates TDP-43-dependent cryptic splicing mechanism by identifying a neurotoxic cryptic peptide arising f…
Demonstrates TDP-43-dependent cryptic splicing mechanism by identifying a neurotoxic cryptic peptide arising from aberrant splicing.
Nat Commun · 2026 · PMID:41720774
Identifies cryptic exon-derived peptides as potential diagnostic markers for ALS, supporting the hypothesis's …
Identifies cryptic exon-derived peptides as potential diagnostic markers for ALS, supporting the hypothesis's mechanism of cryptic exon pathogenesis.
Inflamm Regen · 2026 · PMID:41612503
Demonstrates antisense oligonucleotide targeting of splicing axis, aligning with the hypothesis's therapeutic …
Demonstrates antisense oligonucleotide targeting of splicing axis, aligning with the hypothesis's therapeutic strategy.
Int J Oral Sci · 2026 · PMID:41540015
Provides genetic insights into TDP-43 neurodegeneration, supporting the molecular basis of the hypothesis.
Neurol Genet · 2026 · PMID:41883703
Reveals TDP-43's role in splicing activation, directly supporting the hypothesis's mechanistic framework.
Nucleic Acids Res · 2026 · PMID:41521669
Presents transcriptomic signature of TDP-43 pathology, providing molecular evidence for the hypothesis.
Brain · 2026 · PMID:41789476
ALS-related proteinopathies: From TDP-43 to mitochondrial proteinopathies.
Curr Opin Neurobiol · 2026 · PMID:41570741

Opposing Evidence 7

The genetics of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. MEDIUM
Curr Opin Neurol · 2024 · PMID:38967083
ABSTRACT

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) has a strong genetic basis, but the genetic landscape of ALS appears to be complex. The purpose of this article is to review recent developments in the genetics of ALS. RECENT FINDINGS: Large-scale genetic studies have uncovered more than 40 genes contributing to ALS susceptibility. Both rare variants with variable effect size and more common variants with small effect size have been identified. The most common ALS genes are C9orf72 , SOD1 , TARDBP and FUS . Some of the causative genes of ALS are shared with frontotemporal dementia, confirming the molecular link between both diseases. Access to diagnostic gene testing for ALS has to improve, as effective gene silencing therapies for some genetic subtypes of ALS are emerging, but there is no consensus about which genes to test for. SUMMARY: Our knowledge about the genetic basis of ALS has improved and the first effective gene silencing therapies for specific genetic subtypes of ALS

TDP-43 loss and ALS-risk SNPs drive mis-splicing and depletion of UNC13A. MEDIUM
Nature · 2022 · PMID:35197628
ABSTRACT

Variants of UNC13A, a critical gene for synapse function, increase the risk of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis and frontotemporal dementia1-3, two related neurodegenerative diseases defined by mislocalization of the RNA-binding protein TDP-434,5. Here we show that TDP-43 depletion induces robust inclusion of a cryptic exon in UNC13A, resulting in nonsense-mediated decay and loss of UNC13A protein. Two common intronic UNC13A polymorphisms strongly associated with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis and frontotemporal dementia risk overlap with TDP-43 binding sites. These polymorphisms potentiate cryptic exon inclusion, both in cultured cells and in brains and spinal cords from patients with these conditions. Our findings, which demonstrate a genetic link between loss of nuclear TDP-43 function and disease, reveal the mechanism by which UNC13A variants exacerbate the effects of decreased TDP-43 function. They further provide a promising therapeutic target for TDP-43 proteinopathies.

Credibility analysis of putative disease-causing genes using bioinformatics MEDIUM
PLoS One · 2013 · PMID:23755159
ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Genetic studies are challenging in many complex diseases, particularly those with limited diagnostic certainty, low prevalence or of old age. The result is that genes may be reported as disease-causing with varying levels of evidence, and in some cases, the data may be so limited as to be indistinguishable from chance findings. When there are large numbers of such genes, an objective method for ranking the evidence is useful. Using the neurodegenerative and complex disease amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) as a model, and the disease-specific database ALSoD, the objective is to develop a method using publicly available data to generate a credibility score for putative disease-causing genes. METHODS: Genes with at least one publication suggesting involvement in adult onset familial ALS were collated following an exhaustive literature search. SQL was used to generate a score by extracting information from the publications and combined with a pathogenicity analysis using bio

Chemical and Molecular Strategies in Restoring Autophagic Flux in TDP-43 Proteinopathy. MEDIUM
Molecules · 2026 · PMID:41900026
ABSTRACT

The cytoplasmic accumulation of TDP-43 aggregates remains a persistent pathological hallmark of neurodegenerative diseases, including amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), frontotemporal dementia (FTD), and limbic-predominant age-related TDP-43 encephalopathy (LATE). The cell's natural clearance mechanisms, the Ubiquitin-Proteasome System (UPS) and the autophagy-lysosome pathway (ALP), are hypothesized to fail, at least in part, due to the sequestration of key components of these pathways by pathological TDP-43 species, thereby impairing autophagosome-lysosome fusion and lysosomal competence. Classical autophagic activators (e.g., rapamycin) can initiate upstream steps in the pathway but cannot address downstream flux bottlenecks, limiting their ability to restore effective TDP-43 clearance. This review revisits classical strategies and discusses newer approaches to modulate TDP-43 clearance, including transcription factor EB (TFEB) activators, proteolysis-targeting chimeras (PROTACs),

Excitotoxicity in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: a key pathogenic mechanism. MEDIUM
Brain Commun · 2026 · PMID:41890274
ABSTRACT

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis is a complex neurodegenerative disease affecting motor neurons, characterized by the involvement of various factors, including oxidative stress, inflammatory processes, glutamate excitotoxicity, mitochondrial dysfunction, protein aggregation, axonal transport abnormalities, and apoptosis. The complexity of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis arises from its multifactorial aetiology involving diverse genetic, protein, metabolic, and cellular alterations. Mutations of different genes, such as SOD1, C9ORF72, TARDBP, and FUS, have been identified as critical contributors to disease pathophysiology through their facilitation of aberrant protein misfolding and aggregation. All these factors disrupt glutamate homeostasis, leading to calcium-mediated neurotoxicity. Under oxidative stress, motor neurons exhibit a diminished capacity to regulate calcium influx, along with impaired functioning of the mitochondria and endoplasmic reticulum, further compromising cellular int

Splicing the narrative: alternative TARDBP splicing and its relation to neurodegeneration in ALS and FTD. MEDIUM
J Clin Invest · 2026 · PMID:41837283
ABSTRACT

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and frontotemporal dementia (FTD) are progressive neurodegenerative diseases characterized by the nuclear clearance and cytoplasmic aggregation of transactive response DNA/RNA-binding protein of 43 kDa (TDP43). Alternative splicing of TARDBP, the gene encoding TDP43, leads to a surprising diversity of RNA and protein isoforms with unique functions and potential implications for disease pathogenesis. Here, we review the production, properties, and functional consequences of alternative splicing in the development of ALS and FTD, focusing primarily on TDP43 due to its integral connection with the pathogenesis of sporadic as well as familial forms of these diseases. We synthesize current evidence on the biology of alternative TARDBP splicing, highlight key questions regarding its role in TDP43 proteinopathies such as ALS and FTD, and touch on the larger phenomenon of alternative splicing and its relationship to disease.

Failed to rescue disease phenotypes in TDP-43 model mice, challenging the effectiveness of targeted interventi…
Failed to rescue disease phenotypes in TDP-43 model mice, challenging the effectiveness of targeted interventions.
Int J Mol Sci · 2026 · PMID:41751955
Multi-persona evaluation: This hypothesis was debated by AI agents with complementary expertise. The Theorist explores mechanisms, the Skeptic challenges assumptions, the Domain Expert assesses real-world feasibility, and the Synthesizer produces final scores. Expand each card to see their arguments.
Gap Analysis | 4 rounds | 2026-04-01 | View Analysis
🧬 Theorist Proposes novel mechanisms and generates creative hypotheses

Novel Therapeutic Hypotheses for RNA Binding Protein Dysregulation in Neurodegeneration

1. Stress Granule Phase Separation Modulators

Target: G3BP1/2, TIA1, TIAR Mechanism: Pharmacological modulation of liquid-liquid phase separation dynamics to prevent pathological stress granule persistence and restore RNA homeostasis. Description: Small molecules that enhance stress granule dissolution kinetics could prevent the chronic sequestration of RNA-binding proteins and maintain cytoplasmic RNA processing. This approach targets the biophysical properties of ribonucleoprotein conden

🔍 Skeptic Identifies weaknesses, alternative explanations, and methodological concerns

Critical Evaluation of RNA Binding Protein Therapeutic Hypotheses

1. Stress Granule Phase Separation Modulators

Specific Weaknesses:

  • Temporal specificity problem: No evidence provided for when to intervene - early stress granules may be protective while persistent ones are pathological
  • Target selectivity: G3BP1/2 knockout is embryonic lethal (PMID: 28424515), suggesting these proteins have essential functions that blanket inhibition would disrupt
  • Dosage sensitivity: Phase separation is exquisitely sensitive to protein concentration; small perturbations could cause

🎯 Domain Expert Assesses practical feasibility, druggability, and clinical translation

Druggability Assessment of RNA Binding Protein Therapeutic Hypotheses

1. Stress Granule Phase Separation Modulators (Confidence: 0.55)

Druggability Assessment: MODERATE

Target proteins: G3BP1/2, TIA1, TIAR are challenging targets due to:
  • Lack of deep binding pockets (intrinsically disordered regions dominate)
  • Phase separation driven by weak multivalent interactions
  • Essential cellular functions make selective modulation difficult
Chemical Matter:
  • Existing tool compounds:
  • ISRIB (integrated stress response inhibitor, targets eIF2B) - modulates upstream str

Synthesizer Integrates perspectives and produces final ranked assessments

Price History

0.250.500.75 created: post_process (2026-04-02 01:34)evidence: market_dynamics_seed (2026-04-02 18:16)score_update: post_process (2026-04-02T02:55)score_update: post_process (2026-04-02T04:15)debate: debate_engine (2026-04-02T05:35)debate: debate_engine (2026-04-02T06:56)debate: debate_engine (2026-04-02T08:16)score_update: market_dynamics (2026-04-02T09:36)debate: debate_engine (2026-04-02T10:57)score_update: market_dynamics (2026-04-02T12:17)evidence: evidence_update (2026-04-02T13:37)evidence: evidence_batch_update (2026-04-03T01:06)evidence: evidence_batch_update (2026-04-03T01:06)evidence: evidence_batch_update (2026-04-04T09:08)evidence: evidence_batch_update (2026-04-13T02:18)evidence: evidence_batch_update (2026-04-13T02:18) 1.00 0.00 2026-04-022026-04-122026-04-15 Market PriceScoreevidencedebate 166 events
7d Trend
Stable
7d Momentum
▲ 1.1%
Volatility
Low
0.0185
Events (7d)
97
⚡ Price Movement Log Recent 15 events
Event Price Change Source Time
📄 New Evidence $0.487 ▲ 1.5% evidence_batch_update 2026-04-13 02:18
📄 New Evidence $0.480 ▲ 3.8% evidence_batch_update 2026-04-13 02:18
Recalibrated $0.462 ▼ 0.9% 2026-04-12 05:13
Recalibrated $0.467 ▼ 1.2% 2026-04-10 15:58
Recalibrated $0.472 ▲ 1.4% 2026-04-10 15:53
Recalibrated $0.466 ▼ 1.9% 2026-04-08 18:39
Recalibrated $0.475 ▼ 0.4% 2026-04-06 04:04
Recalibrated $0.477 ▼ 0.7% 2026-04-04 16:38
Recalibrated $0.480 ▼ 1.5% 2026-04-04 16:02
📄 New Evidence $0.487 ▲ 1.9% evidence_batch_update 2026-04-04 09:08
Recalibrated $0.478 ▼ 37.0% 2026-04-03 23:46
📄 New Evidence $0.759 ▲ 0.6% evidence_batch_update 2026-04-03 01:06
Recalibrated $0.754 ▲ 7.7% market_dynamics 2026-04-03 01:06
📄 New Evidence $0.700 ▲ 2.2% evidence_batch_update 2026-04-03 01:06
Recalibrated $0.685 ▲ 36.7% market_dynamics 2026-04-03 01:06

Clinical Trials (13) Relevance: 57%

0
Active
0
Completed
4,139
Total Enrolled
PHASE1
Highest Phase
Neurofilament Light Chain And Voice Acoustic Analyses In Dementia Diagnosis N/A
RECRUITING · NCT06339190 · Monash University
1,000 enrolled · 2021-08-01 · → 2025-12
This cohort study aims to determine if a blood test can aid with diagnosing dementia in anyone presenting with cognitive complaints to a single healthcare network. The investigators will measure level
Neurodegenerative Diseases Dementia
Venepuncture
Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS) Families Project N/A
RECRUITING · NCT03865420 · Columbia University
300 enrolled · 2018-09-11 · → 2027-01
This program provides family members of individuals with familial ALS the opportunity to contribute to research focused on learning more about why motor neuron degeneration begins and how or why it pr
ALS
An Innovative Method in SAliva Samples for the Early Differential Diagnosis of High-impact NeuroDegenerative Diseases Through Raman Spectroscopy N/A
ENROLLING_BY_INVITATION · NCT06875739 · Fondazione Don Carlo Gnocchi Onlus
310 enrolled · 2025-02-14 · → 2026-10-01
The aim of the study is to validate a salivary test that allows for rapid and accurate objective diagnosis in the context of neurodegenerative diseases, a complex of diseases that includes Alzheimer's
Neurodegenerative Disorders Parkinson Disease Alzheimer Disease
Intermittent Calorie Restriction, Insulin Resistance, and Biomarkers of Brain Function NA
COMPLETED · NCT02460783 · National Institute on Aging (NIA)
129 enrolled · 2015-06-22 · → 2022-01-14
Background: \- Insulin removes sugar from the blood to use for energy. Insulin resistance means that cells may not respond to insulin normally. It can lead to serious diseases. Researchers want to se
Alzheimer's Disease Obesity Diabetes Mellitus
Boost (R) 5-2 diet Healthy Living Diet
Personalized Antisense Oligonucleotide Therapy for A Single Participant With TARDBP ALS PHASE1
ACTIVE_NOT_RECRUITING · NCT07095712 · n-Lorem Foundation
1 enrolled · 2024-11-25 · → 2025-11
This research project entails delivery of a personalized antisense oligonucleotide (ASO) drug designed for a single participant with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) due to a pathogenic variant in
Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis
nL-TARD-001
Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Registry in Thailand N/A
RECRUITING · NCT07175935 · Chulalongkorn University
100 enrolled · 2025-03-01 · → 2030-12-31
This is a prospective, observational, multicenter registry designed to collect comprehensive clinical, genetic, and outcome data from patients diagnosed with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) across
ALS (Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis)
Neurodegenerative Alzheimer's Disease and Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (NADALS) Basket Trial PHASE1
COMPLETED · NCT05189106 · Massachusetts General Hospital
17 enrolled · 2022-12-05 · → 2025-04-24
This is an open-label, biomarker-driven basket trial of baricitinib in people with subjective cognitive disorder, mild cognitive impairment, Alzheimer's disease (AD), Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (AL
Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Alzheimer Disease Mild Cognitive Impairment
Baricitinib
Clinical Characteristics, Natural History, Health Care Measures, and Genetic Screening in Patients With ALS N/A
COMPLETED · NCT05852405 · Ambulanzpartner Soziotechnologie APST GmbH
2,000 enrolled · 2021-08-01 · → 2024-12-31
Patients with sporadic ALS (sALS), which refers to those without a family history of ALS, are typically not subjected to genetic investigations as part of their standard care. Therefore, their mutatio
Motor Neuron Disease, Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis
RAPA-501 Therapy for ALS PHASE2
RECRUITING · NCT04220190 · Rapa Therapeutics LLC
41 enrolled · 2025-01-02 · → 2026-07-01
RAPA-501-ALS is a phase 2/3 expansion cohort study of RAPA-501 autologous hybrid TREG/Th2 cells in patients living with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (pwALS).
Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis
RAPA-501 Autologous T stem cells
MAD Phase I Study to Investigate Contraloid Acetate PHASE1
COMPLETED · NCT03955380 · Prof. Dr. Dieter Willbold
24 enrolled · 2018-12-12 · → 2019-04-03
This is a single-center multiple-ascending-dose clinical trial assessing the safety and tolerability of oral dosing of Contraloid acetate in healthy volunteers. The study drug Contraloid (alias RD2, a
Alzheimer Dementia Alzheimer Disease
Contraloid
Cerebrovascular Reactivity and Oxygen Metabolism as Markers of Neurodegeneration After Traumatic Brain Injury N/A
UNKNOWN · NCT04820881 · Washington D.C. Veterans Affairs Medical Center
60 enrolled · 2021-10-01 · → 2024-09
This grant award entitled, "Cerebrovascular Reactivity and Oxygen Metabolism as Markers for Neurodegeneration after Traumatic Brain Injury" (hereafter, "Neurovascular Study"), aims to determine if neu
Neurodegenerative Diseases
Stereotactic Intracerebral Injection of Allogenic IPSC-DAPs in Patients With Parkinson's Disease PHASE1
NOT_YET_RECRUITING · NCT07212088 · iCamuno Biotherapeutics Ltd.
12 enrolled · 2026-02-28 · → 2027-12-15
Parkinson's disease is a progressive neurodegenerative disorder characterized by high morbidity due to the limited regenerative capacity of dopaminergic neurons in the brain. Current drug treatments p
Parkinson Disease
ALC01 therapy
MRI Biomarkers in ALS N/A
COMPLETED · NCT02405182 · University of Alberta
145 enrolled · 2014-09 · → 2019-03
Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a disabling and rapidly progressive neurodegenerative disorder. There is no treatment that significantly slows progression. Increasing age is an important risk f
Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis ALS Motor Neuron Diseases
Magnetic Resonance Imaging

📚 Cited Papers (46)

Selective Silencing of TDP-43 P. G376D Mutation Reverses Key Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis-Related Cellular Deficits.
Biomolecules (2026) · PMID:41897327
1 figure
Figures
Figures
Figures available at source paper (no open-access XML found).
deep_link
ALS-related proteinopathies: From TDP-43 to mitochondrial proteinopathies.
Current opinion in neurobiology (2026) · PMID:41570741
1 figure
Figures
Figures
Figures available at source paper (no open-access XML found).
deep_link
Chemical and Molecular Strategies in Restoring Autophagic Flux in TDP-43 Proteinopathy.
Molecules (Basel, Switzerland) (2026) · PMID:41900026
3 figures
Figure 1
Figure 1
The vicious cycle of TDP-43-mediated proteostatic collapse. TDP-43 aggregates actively contribute to pathology rather than merely serving as passive metabolic waste. They sequester...
pmc_api
Figure 2
Figure 2
Nested metabolic hierarchy of therapeutic interventions of TDP-43 proteinopathy. The schematic illustrates the transition from broad metabolic regulation to more precise targeting....
pmc_api
The Genetics of TDP-43 Type C Neurodegeneration: A Whole-Genome Sequencing Study and Literature Review.
Neurology. Genetics (2026) · PMID:41883703
1 figure
Figure 1
Figure 1
Imaging and Pathological Data for the TDP-C Cases With Rare Genetic Variants of Interest (A) Neuroimaging for the probable TDP-C case of svPPA with FIG4 variant. These MRI-based ...
pmc_api
Excitotoxicity in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: a key pathogenic mechanism.
Brain communications (2026) · PMID:41890274
4 figures
Graphical Abstract
Graphical Abstract
No caption available
pmc_api
Figure 1
Figure 1
ALS exhibits differential vulnerability among motor systems. Motor neurons innervating limb muscles are highly vulnerable to degeneration, contributing to progressive motor declin...
pmc_api
Credibility analysis of putative disease-causing genes using bioinformatics.
PloS one (2013) · PMID:23755159
3 figures
Figure 1
Figure 1
Overview of credibility analysis method.
pmc_api
Figure 2
Figure 2
Credibility Analysis webpage.
pmc_api
Paper:23755159
No extracted figures yet
Paper:28405022
No extracted figures yet
Paper:35197628
No extracted figures yet
Paper:38967083
No extracted figures yet
Paper:39305312
No extracted figures yet
Paper:40362304
No extracted figures yet

📓 Linked Notebooks (1)

📓 RNA binding protein dysregulation across ALS FTD and AD — Analysis Notebook
CI-generated notebook stub for analysis sda-2026-04-01-gap-v2-68d9c9c1. RNA binding protein dysregulation across ALS FTD and AD
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Wiki Pages

TARDBP — TAR DNA Binding Protein 43geneYoga Therapy for NeurodegenerationtherapeuticYAP/TEAD Pathway Modulators for NeurodegenerationtherapeuticWnt Signaling Modulators for Neurodegenerationtherapeuticvitamin-d-therapy-neurodegenerationtherapeuticVitamin B Complex Therapy for NeurodegenerationtherapeuticVIP/VPAC Receptor Modulators for NeurodegenerationtherapeuticUrolithin A for NeurodegenerationtherapeuticUrolithin A for Neurodegenerationtherapeutictudca-udca-neurodegenerationtherapeuticTRPM8 Agonists for NeurodegenerationtherapeuticTriple Incretin Agonists (GLP-1/GIP/Glucagon) for therapeuticTREM2 Agonist Therapy for NeurodegenerationtherapeuticTranscranial Magnetic Stimulation Therapy for NeurtherapeuticTLR7/8/9 Antagonists for Neurodegenerationtherapeutic

KG Entities (34)

ALSAPOE4C9ORF72FUSG3BP1HNRNPA2B1Mitochondrial dynamics / bioenergeticsNPM1Nucleophosmin / ribosome biogenesisR-loop_accumulationR-loop_resolutionRNA transport / hnRNP processingRNA_homeostasisSETXSYNCRIPSenataxin / R-loop resolution / DNA-RNA TARDBPTDP-43TREM2axonal_RNA_transport

Dependency Graph (1 upstream, 5 downstream)

Depends On
Serine/Arginine-Rich Protein Kinase Modulationbuilds_on (0.6)
Depended On By
Cross-Seeding Prevention Strategybuilds_on (1.0)Axonal RNA Transport Reconstitutionbuilds_on (1.0)R-Loop Resolution Enhancement Therapybuilds_on (1.0)Glycine-Rich Domain Competitive Inhibitionbuilds_on (1.0)RNA-Binding Competition Therapy for TDP-43 Cross-Seedingrefines (0.5)

Linked Experiments (10)

Mechanism: C9orf72 Hexanucleotide Repeat Expansion in ALS/FTDvalidation | tests | 0.46FTLD-Tau vs FTLD-TDP In Vivo Biomarker Differentiationclinical | tests | 0.46Pre-Symptomatic Detection and Intervention Timing in Genetic Prion Diseasevalidation | tests | 0.46Mechanism: Progranulin Loss and TDP-43 Pathology in FTDvalidation | tests | 0.46Environmental Exposure Causal Attribution in ALS — Experiment Designvalidation | tests | 0.46Progranulin Replacement Therapy for FTD — Vector Development and Validationclinical | tests | 0.46ALS Progression Rate Heterogeneity — mechanism and biomarker predictorsclinical | tests | 0.46TDP-43 PET Ligand Development for FTD and ALSclinical | tests | 0.46FXTAS Phenotypic Penetrance: Why Only 40% of FMR1 Premutation Carriers Develop Fvalidation | tests | 0.46Frontal and Temporal Lobe Selective Vulnerability in FTD — Mechanisms and Therapvalidation | tests | 0.46

Related Hypotheses

Cross-Seeding Prevention Strategy
Score: 0.451 | neurodegeneration
Glycine-Rich Domain Competitive Inhibition
Score: 0.429 | neurodegeneration
RNA-Binding Competition Therapy for TDP-43 Cross-Seeding
Score: 0.374 | neurodegeneration

Estimated Development

Estimated Cost
$85M
Timeline
6.0 years

🧪 Falsifiable Predictions (4)

4 total 0 confirmed 0 falsified
If hypothesis is true, intervention inform dosing strategies and expected therapeutic responses
pending conf: 0.70
Expected outcome: inform dosing strategies and expected therapeutic responses
Falsified by: Intervention fails to inform dosing strategies and expected therapeutic responses
If hypothesis is true, intervention employ dose-escalation designs with intensive CSF sampling to establish pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic relationships and target engagement
pending conf: 0.70
Expected outcome: employ dose-escalation designs with intensive CSF sampling to establish pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic relationships and target engagement
Falsified by: Intervention fails to employ dose-escalation designs with intensive CSF sampling to establish pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic relationships and target engagement
If hypothesis is true, intervention enhance the activity of compensatory RBPs such as hnRNP A1, hnRNP A2/B1, or PTBP1, which possess overlapping but distinct RNA-binding specificities that could partially compensate for TDP-43 loss
pending conf: 0.70
Expected outcome: enhance the activity of compensatory RBPs such as hnRNP A1, hnRNP A2/B1, or PTBP1, which possess overlapping but distinct RNA-binding specificities that could partially compensate for TDP-43 loss
Falsified by: Intervention fails to enhance the activity of compensatory RBPs such as hnRNP A1, hnRNP A2/B1, or PTBP1, which possess overlapping but distinct RNA-binding specificities that could partially compensate for TDP-43 loss
If hypothesis is true, intervention suppress locomotory defects and extend lifespan by 25-40%
pending conf: 0.70
Expected outcome: suppress locomotory defects and extend lifespan by 25-40%
Falsified by: Intervention fails to suppress locomotory defects and extend lifespan by 25-40%

Knowledge Subgraph (73 edges)

associated with (4)

HNRNPA2B1 neurodegeneration
SETX neurodegeneration
SYNCRIP neurodegeneration
NPM1 neurodegeneration

catalyzes (1)

SETX R-loop_resolution

co associated with (15)

G3BP1 SETX
G3BP1 NPM1
G3BP1 TARDBP
G3BP1 HNRNPA2B1
HNRNPA2B1 SETX
...and 10 more

co discussed (31)

SETX TARDBP
SETX HNRNPA2B1
SETX NPM1
SETX SYNCRIP
SETX G3BP1
...and 26 more

controls (2)

G3BP1 stress_granule_formation
nucleolar_function ribosome_biogenesis

disrupted in (1)

RNA_homeostasis neurodegeneration

dysregulated in (1)

cryptic_exon_silencing ALS

implicated in (7)

h-4fabd9ce neurodegeneration
h-97aa8486 neurodegeneration
h-8196b893 neurodegeneration
h-c463d225 neurodegeneration
h-1e2bd420 neurodegeneration
...and 2 more

maintains (2)

axonal_RNA_transport synaptic_function
R-loop_resolution genomic_stability

mediates (1)

HNRNPA2B1 axonal_RNA_transport

mutation causes (1)

FUS R-loop_accumulation

participates in (4)

HNRNPA2B1 RNA transport / hnRNP processing
SETX Senataxin / R-loop resolution / DNA-RNA hybrid
SYNCRIP Mitochondrial dynamics / bioenergetics
NPM1 Nucleophosmin / ribosome biogenesis

regulates (3)

TDP-43 cryptic_exon_silencing
stress_granule_formation RNA_homeostasis
NPM1 nucleolar_function

Mechanism Pathway for TARDBP

Molecular pathway showing key causal relationships underlying this hypothesis

graph TD
    SETX["SETX"] -->|co discussed| TARDBP["TARDBP"]
    TARDBP_1["TARDBP"] -->|co discussed| HNRNPA2B1["HNRNPA2B1"]
    TARDBP_2["TARDBP"] -->|co discussed| NPM1["NPM1"]
    TARDBP_3["TARDBP"] -->|co discussed| SYNCRIP["SYNCRIP"]
    APOE4["APOE4"] -->|co discussed| TARDBP_4["TARDBP"]
    TARDBP_5["TARDBP"] -->|co discussed| TREM2["TREM2"]
    NPM1_6["NPM1"] -->|co discussed| TARDBP_7["TARDBP"]
    TARDBP_8["TARDBP"] -->|co discussed| SETX_9["SETX"]
    HNRNPA2B1_10["HNRNPA2B1"] -->|co discussed| TARDBP_11["TARDBP"]
    SYNCRIP_12["SYNCRIP"] -->|co discussed| TARDBP_13["TARDBP"]
    G3BP1["G3BP1"] -->|co associated with| TARDBP_14["TARDBP"]
    HNRNPA2B1_15["HNRNPA2B1"] -->|co associated with| TARDBP_16["TARDBP"]
    NPM1_17["NPM1"] -->|co associated with| TARDBP_18["TARDBP"]
    SETX_19["SETX"] -->|co associated with| TARDBP_20["TARDBP"]
    SYNCRIP_21["SYNCRIP"] -->|co associated with| TARDBP_22["TARDBP"]
    style SETX fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TARDBP fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TARDBP_1 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style HNRNPA2B1 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TARDBP_2 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style NPM1 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TARDBP_3 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style SYNCRIP fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style APOE4 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TARDBP_4 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TARDBP_5 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TREM2 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style NPM1_6 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TARDBP_7 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TARDBP_8 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style SETX_9 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style HNRNPA2B1_10 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TARDBP_11 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style SYNCRIP_12 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TARDBP_13 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style G3BP1 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TARDBP_14 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style HNRNPA2B1_15 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TARDBP_16 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style NPM1_17 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TARDBP_18 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style SETX_19 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TARDBP_20 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style SYNCRIP_21 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style TARDBP_22 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000

3D Protein Structure

🧬 TARDBP — PDB 4BS2 Click to expand 3D viewer

Experimental structure from RCSB PDB | Powered by Mol* | Rotate: click+drag | Zoom: scroll | Reset: right-click

Source Analysis

RNA binding protein dysregulation across ALS FTD and AD

neurodegeneration | 2026-04-01 | completed