ID: h-434c5d45f5
Hypothesis

Dual-Mechanism Model: G2019S Increases Both Baseline AND Signal-Dependent Phosphorylation (H2)

G2019S has two separable effects: (1) increases catalytic efficiency at baseline (higher floor), AND (2) increases LRRK2 membrane affinity upon lysosomal stress, amplifying volume-sensing signals.
🧬 LRRK2🩺 neurodegeneration🎯 Composite 55%💱 $0.53▼4.3%proposed
EvidencePending (0%)📖 0 cit🗣 1 debates 3 support 2 oppose
✓ All Quality Gates Passed
Mechanistic 0.50 (15%) Evidence 0.55 (15%) Novelty 0.58 (12%) Feasibility 0.48 (12%) Impact 0.65 (12%) Druggability 0.42 (10%) Safety 0.60 (8%) Competition 0.68 (6%) Data Avail. 0.52 (5%) Reproducible 0.52 (5%) KG Connect 0.56 (8%) 0.550 composite

🧪 Overview

G2019S has two separable effects: (1) increases catalytic efficiency at baseline (higher floor), AND (2) increases LRRK2 membrane affinity upon lysosomal stress, amplifying volume-sensing signals. These may be pharmacologically separable. Membrane-association mutants could distinguish these mechanisms.

🧬 Mechanism

🧬 Curated Mechanism Pathway

Curated pathway from expert analysis

flowchart TD
    A["LRRK2 Mutation<br/>Autosomal Dominant PD"]
    B["Kinase Domain<br/>Hyperactivity"]
    C["Rab Protein<br/>Phosphorylation Cascade"]
    D["Lysosomal<br/>Dysfunction"]
    E["Autophagy<br/>Block"]
    F["Dopaminergic<br/>Neuron Loss"]
    G["Therapeutic Target<br/>Kinase Inhibitors"]
    A --> B
    B --> C
    C --> D
    D --> E
    E --> F
    B --> G
    G --> C
    style A fill:#6a1b9a,stroke:#ce93d8,color:#ce93d8
    style F fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a
    style G fill:#1b5e20,stroke:#a5d6a7,color:#a5d6a7

⚖️ Evidence

⚖️ Evidence Matrix3 supports2 contradicts
Supports
Cryo-EM structures show G2019S widens the activation segment
Supports
G2019S increases both cytosolic and membrane-bound LRRK2 activity
Supports
The Cell Biology of LRRK2 in Parkinson's Disease.
Mol Cell Biol2021PMID:33526455
Contradicts
Activation segment widening affects catalytic function, not membrane affinity
Contradicts
Membrane-association mutants may disrupt other interactions

🏥 Translation

🧬 3D Protein Structure — LRRK2

🧬 PDB 6VP6 Click to expand

Experimental structure from RCSB PDB | Powered by Mol*

🧠 GTEx v10 Brain ExpressionJSON

Median TPM across 13 brain regions for LRRK2 from GTEx v10.

Frontal Cortex BA93.5 Cortex3.3median TPM (GTEx v10)

💉 Clinical Trials

No clinical trials data linked to this hypothesis yet.

No curated ClinVar variants loaded for this hypothesis.

Run scripts/backfill_clinvar_variants.py to fetch P/LP/VUS variants.

🔍 Search ClinVar for LRRK2 →

No DepMap CRISPR Chronos data found for LRRK2.

Run python3 scripts/backfill_hypothesis_depmap.py to populate.

🏆 Tournament

🏆 Arenas / Elo

No arena matches recorded yet. Browse Arenas →

📊 Market Indicators

7d Trend
Stable
7d Momentum
▼ 0.2%
Volatility
Low
0.0072
Events (7d)
2
Price History
▼4.3%

💾 Resource Usage

No resource usage or linked notebooks recorded for this hypothesis yet.

🔮 Predictions

🔎 Predictions vs Observations2 predictions · 0 with recorded observations
PredictionPredictedObservedStatusConf
IF HEK293T cells expressing equivalent levels of GFP-tagged G2019S or wild-type LRRK2 are treated with 10 mM LLOME (leucyl-leucine methyl ester) for 60 minutes to induce lysosomal stress, THEN G2019S-Membrane fractionation will reveal ≥2-fold enrichment of G2019S LRRK2 in the membrane fraction post-LLOME treatment, with membrane-associated G2019S representin— no observation —pending0.72
IF primary neurons from G2019S LRRK2 knock-in mice are compared to age-matched wild-type neurons under basal culture conditions (no pharmacological stress), THEN G2019S neurons will exhibit significanG2019S neurons will show ≥50% higher LRRK2-S1292 autophosphorylation and ≥40% higher Rab10-T72 phosphorylation compared to wild-type controls under baseline con— no observation —pending0.78
🔮 Falsifiable Predictions (2)
pendingconf 78%
IF primary neurons from G2019S LRRK2 knock-in mice are compared to age-matched wild-type neurons under basal culture conditions (no pharmacological stress), THEN G2019S neurons will exhibit significantly higher LRRK2 autophosphorylation at S1292 and increased phosphorylation of the Rab GTPase substr
Predicted outcome: G2019S neurons will show ≥50% higher LRRK2-S1292 autophosphorylation and ≥40% higher Rab10-T72 phosphorylation compared to wild-type controls under ba
Falsification: No significant difference (p>0.05) in LRRK2-S1292 or Rab10-T72 phosphorylation between G2019S and wild-type neurons under baseline conditions, indicating G2019S does not elevate basal catalytic activi
pendingconf 72%
IF HEK293T cells expressing equivalent levels of GFP-tagged G2019S or wild-type LRRK2 are treated with 10 mM LLOME (leucyl-leucine methyl ester) for 60 minutes to induce lysosomal stress, THEN G2019S-expressing cells will show significantly greater membrane-associated LRRK2 fraction (≥2-fold increas
Predicted outcome: Membrane fractionation will reveal ≥2-fold enrichment of G2019S LRRK2 in the membrane fraction post-LLOME treatment, with membrane-associated G2019S r
Falsification: G2019S and wild-type LRRK2 show equivalent membrane association (≤1.2-fold difference) after lysosomal stress, indicating the G2019S mutation does not specifically enhance membrane affinity under stre
Metadatasource: v1_phase_c_backfill · origin_type: debate_synthesizer
sourcev1_phase_c_backfill
origin_typedebate_synthesizer
_schema_version1
📊 Evidence Profile
Evidence Balance
+0%
Certainty
0%
Debates
0
Incoming
0
Outgoing
0
0 supporting 0 contradicting 0 neutral
Public annotations (0)Annotate on Hypothes.is →
No public annotations yet.