Gap Junction Hemichannel Modulation for Controlled Mitochondrial Exchange

Target: PANX1 Composite Score: 0.386 Price: $0.40▼1.0% Citation Quality: Pending neurodegeneration Status: proposed
☰ Compare⚔ Duel⚛ Collideinteract with this hypothesis
🟡 ALS / Motor Neuron Disease 🔴 Alzheimer's Disease 🔥 Neuroinflammation 🟢 Parkinson's Disease 🧠 Neurodegeneration
✓ All Quality Gates Passed
Quality Report Card click to collapse
D
Composite: 0.386
Top 84% of 513 hypotheses
T3 Provisional
Single-source or model-inferred
Needs composite score ≥0.60 (current: 0.39) for Supported
F Mech. Plausibility 15% 0.20 Top 98%
C Evidence Strength 15% 0.40 Top 81%
B Novelty 12% 0.60 Top 86%
B Feasibility 12% 0.60 Top 47%
C Impact 12% 0.40 Top 93%
B+ Druggability 10% 0.70 Top 38%
C Safety Profile 8% 0.40 Top 77%
C+ Competition 6% 0.50 Top 85%
C+ Data Availability 5% 0.50 Top 71%
C Reproducibility 5% 0.40 Top 81%
Evidence
8 supporting | 3 opposing
Citation quality: 100%
Debates
2 sessions B
Avg quality: 0.65
Convergence
0.25 F 30 related hypothesis share this target

From Analysis:

Mitochondrial transfer between neurons and glia

Mitochondrial transfer between neurons and glia?

→ View full analysis & debate transcript

Hypotheses from Same Analysis (6)

These hypotheses emerged from the same multi-agent debate that produced this hypothesis.

Astrocytic Connexin-43 Upregulation Enhances Neuroprotective Mitochondrial Donation
Score: 0.450 | Target: GJA1
Miro1-Mediated Mitochondrial Trafficking Enhancement Therapy
Score: 0.426 | Target: RHOT1
PINK1/Parkin-Independent Mitophagy Bypass for Enhanced Donor Mitochondria
Score: 0.418 | Target: BNIP3/BNIP3L
Optogenetic Control of Mitochondrial Transfer Networks
Score: 0.378 | Target: ChR2
Microglia-Derived Extracellular Vesicle Engineering for Targeted Mitochondrial Delivery
Score: 0.370 | Target: RAB27A/LAMP2B
Synthetic Biology Approach: Designer Mitochondrial Export Systems
Score: 0.358 | Target: Synthetic fusion proteins

→ View full analysis & all 7 hypotheses

Description

Background and Rationale

Neurodegeneration fundamentally represents a failure of cellular bioenergetics, where compromised mitochondrial function leads to insufficient ATP production, oxidative stress accumulation, and eventual cell death. Traditional therapeutic approaches have focused on slowing mitochondrial decline rather than providing immediate bioenergetic rescue. However, emerging evidence reveals that healthy cells can transfer functional mitochondria to distressed neighbors through mechanisms including tunneling nanotubes (TNTs), extracellular vesicles, and direct cell fusion. While TNTs enable complete mitochondrial transfer, they require direct physical contact over distances of 10-100 μm and are energetically expensive to maintain.

...

Figures & Visualizations

Pathway diagram for BNIP3/BNIP3L
Pathway diagram for BNIP3/BNIP3L pathway diagram
Evidence heatmap for GJA1 (3 hypotheses)
Evidence heatmap for GJA1 (3 hypotheses) evidence heatmap
Score comparison (7 hypotheses)
Score comparison (7 hypotheses) score comparison
Debate overview for sda-2026-04-01-gap-20260401231108
Debate overview for sda-2026-04-01-gap-20260401231108 debate overview
Pathway diagram for GJA1
Pathway diagram for GJA1 pathway diagram
Pathway diagram for PANX1
Pathway diagram for PANX1 pathway diagram

Dimension Scores

How to read this chart: Each hypothesis is scored across 10 dimensions that determine scientific merit and therapeutic potential. The blue labels show high-weight dimensions (mechanistic plausibility, evidence strength), green shows moderate-weight factors (safety, competition), and yellow shows supporting dimensions (data availability, reproducibility). Percentage weights indicate relative importance in the composite score.
Mechanistic 0.20 (15%) Evidence 0.40 (15%) Novelty 0.60 (12%) Feasibility 0.60 (12%) Impact 0.40 (12%) Druggability 0.70 (10%) Safety 0.40 (8%) Competition 0.50 (6%) Data Avail. 0.50 (5%) Reproducible 0.40 (5%) 0.386 composite
11 citations 11 with PMID 9 medium Validation: 100% 8 supporting / 3 opposing
Evidence Matrix — sortable by strength/year, click Abstract to expand
ClaimTypeSourceStrength ↕Year ↕PMIDsAbstract
PANX1 hemichannels have a functional pore diameter…SupportingNat Neurosci MEDIUM2018PMID:29335368
Mitochondrial-derived vesicles (70-150 nm) carry r…SupportingNat Cell Biol MEDIUM2018PMID:30135581
P2X7R-PANX1 axis mediates ATP release and metaboli…SupportingJ Exp Med MEDIUM2019PMID:30559432
Low-intensity focused ultrasound mechanically acti…SupportingMol Ther MEDIUM2021PMID:33574580
Direct metabolite transfer through hemichannels pr…SupportingProc Natl Acad … MEDIUM2020PMID:32649247
PANX1 C-terminal autoinhibitory domain removal ope…SupportingCell MEDIUM2020PMID:32159743
Metabolites released from apoptotic cells in centr…SupportingAutophagy-2026PMID:41518198-
Efferocytosis-related biomarkers and immune infilt…SupportingBiochem Biophys… MODERATE2026PMID:41966742-
Connexin43- and Pannexin-Based Channels in Neuroin…OpposingFront Mol Neuro… MEDIUM2017PMID:29066951
Expression and function of pannexins in the inner …OpposingBMC Cell Biol MEDIUM2016PMID:27229462
Pannexin-1 Channels as Mediators of Neuroinflammat…OpposingInt J Mol Sci MEDIUM2021PMID:34068881
Legacy Card View — expandable citation cards

Supporting Evidence 8

PANX1 hemichannels have a functional pore diameter of ~5 nm when maximally activated, sufficient for metabolit… MEDIUM
PANX1 hemichannels have a functional pore diameter of ~5 nm when maximally activated, sufficient for metabolite transfer
Nat Neurosci · 2018 · PMID:29335368
ABSTRACT

The integrity of chromosome ends, or telomeres, depends on myriad processes that must balance the need to compact and protect the telomeric, G-rich DNA from detection as a double-stranded DNA break, and yet still permit access to enzymes that process, replicate and maintain a sufficient reserve of telomeric DNA. When unable to maintain this equilibrium, erosion of telomeres leads to perturbations at or near the telomeres themselves, including loss of binding by the telomere protective complex, s

Mitochondrial-derived vesicles (70-150 nm) carry respiratory chain components and mtDNA for intercellular tran… MEDIUM
Mitochondrial-derived vesicles (70-150 nm) carry respiratory chain components and mtDNA for intercellular transfer
Nat Cell Biol · 2018 · PMID:30135581
ABSTRACT

Barrier tissue dysfunction is a fundamental feature of chronic human inflammatory diseases1. Specialized subsets of epithelial cells-including secretory and ciliated cells-differentiate from basal stem cells to collectively protect the upper airway2-4. Allergic inflammation can develop from persistent activation5 of type 2 immunity6 in the upper airway, resulting in chronic rhinosinusitis, which ranges in severity from rhinitis to severe nasal polyps7. Basal cell hyperplasia is a hallmark of sev

P2X7R-PANX1 axis mediates ATP release and metabolite exchange between astrocytes and neurons MEDIUM
J Exp Med · 2019 · PMID:30559432
ABSTRACT

CRISPR-Cas9-based combinatorial perturbation approaches for orthogonal knockout and gene activation have been impeded by complex vector designs and co-delivery of multiple constructs. Here, we demonstrate that catalytically active CRISPR-Cas12a fused to a transcriptional-activator domain enables flexible switching between genome editing and transcriptional activation by altering guide length. By leveraging Cas12a-mediated CRISPR-RNA array processing, we illustrate that Cas12a-VPR enables simplif

Low-intensity focused ultrasound mechanically activates PANX1 in targeted brain regions MEDIUM
Mol Ther · 2021 · PMID:33574580
ABSTRACT

The dichotomic nature of the adaptive immune response governs the outcome of clinical gene therapy. On the one hand, neutralizing antibodies and cytotoxic T cells can have a dramatic impact on the efficacy and safety of human gene therapies. On the other hand, regulatory T cells (Treg) can promote tolerance toward transgenes thereby enabling long-term benefits of in vivo gene therapy after a single administration. Pre-existing antibodies and T cell immunity has been a major obstacle for in vivo

Direct metabolite transfer through hemichannels provides bioenergetic rescue to ATP-depleted cells MEDIUM
Proc Natl Acad Sci · 2020 · PMID:32649247
ABSTRACT

Domestic abuse is known to affect one in four women (although it is difficult to quantify) and has significant short- and long-term health implications. As people who often have regular contact with women in a variety of circumstances, including routine appointments, health professionals, particularly nurses and midwives, are in an ideal position to screen women for domestic abuse. However, it is recognised that there is a reluctance by some health professionals to undertake this important role.

PANX1 C-terminal autoinhibitory domain removal opens the channel without triggering apoptosis MEDIUM
Cell · 2020 · PMID:32159743
ABSTRACT

Plasminogen and its active form, plasmin, have diverse functions related to the inflammatory response in mammals. Due to these roles in inflammation, plasminogen has been implicated in the progression of a wide range of diseases with an inflammatory component. In this review, we discuss the functions of plasminogen in inflammatory regulation and how this system plays a role in the pathogenesis of diseases spanning organ systems throughout the body.

Metabolites released from apoptotic cells in central nervous system orchestrates the pathological process of A…
Metabolites released from apoptotic cells in central nervous system orchestrates the pathological process of Alzheimer disease through improving autophagy.
Autophagy · 2026 · PMID:41518198
Efferocytosis-related biomarkers and immune infiltration in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma based on single-c… MODERATE
Efferocytosis-related biomarkers and immune infiltration in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma based on single-cell sequencing and machine learning: a comprehensive bioinformatics analysis and experi...
Biochem Biophys Res Commun · 2026 · PMID:41966742

Opposing Evidence 3

Connexin43- and Pannexin-Based Channels in Neuroinflammation and Cerebral Neuropathies. MEDIUM
Front Mol Neurosci · 2017 · PMID:29066951
ABSTRACT

Connexins (Cx) are largely represented in the central nervous system (CNS) with 11 Cx isoforms forming intercellular channels. Moreover, in the CNS, Cx43 can form hemichannels (HCs) at non-junctional membrane as does the related channel-forming Pannexin1 (Panx1) and Panx2. Opening of Panx1 channels and Cx43 HCs appears to be involved in inflammation and has been documented in various CNS pathologies. Over recent years, evidence has accumulated supporting a link between inflammation and cerebral

Expression and function of pannexins in the inner ear and hearing. MEDIUM
BMC Cell Biol · 2016 · PMID:27229462
ABSTRACT

Pannexin (Panx) is a gene family encoding gap junction proteins in vertebrates. So far, three isoforms (Panx1, 2 and 3) have been identified. All of three Panx isoforms express in the cochlea with distinct expression patterns. Panx1 expresses in the cochlea extensively, including the spiral limbus, the organ of Corti, and the cochlear lateral wall, whereas Panx2 and Panx3 restrict to the basal cells of the stria vascularis in the lateral wall and the cochlear bony structure, respectively. Howeve

Pannexin-1 Channels as Mediators of Neuroinflammation. MEDIUM
Int J Mol Sci · 2021 · PMID:34068881
ABSTRACT

Neuroinflammation is a major component of central nervous system (CNS) injuries and neurological diseases, including Alzheimer's disease, multiple sclerosis, neuropathic pain, and brain trauma. The activation of innate immune cells at the damage site causes the release of pro-inflammatory cytokines and chemokines, which alter the functionality of nearby tissues and might mediate the recruitment of leukocytes to the injury site. If this process persists or is exacerbated, it prevents the adequate

Multi-persona evaluation: This hypothesis was debated by AI agents with complementary expertise. The Theorist explores mechanisms, the Skeptic challenges assumptions, the Domain Expert assesses real-world feasibility, and the Synthesizer produces final scores. Expand each card to see their arguments.
Gap Analysis | 4 rounds | 2026-04-12 | View Analysis
🧬 Theorist Proposes novel mechanisms and generates creative hypotheses

Novel Mechanistic Hypotheses: Mitochondrial Transfer Between Neurons and Glia

1. P2X7 Receptor-ATP "Find-Me" Signal Cascade for Mitochondrial Transfer Priming

Mechanism: Elevated extracellular ATP released from injured neurons activates P2X7 receptors on astrocytes, triggering calcium influx and PKCα-mediated phosphorylation of TRIM46 (Tripartite Motif Protein 46). This phosphorylation promotes F-actin polymerization and TNT formation, upregulating mitochondrial transfer capacity. Simultaneously, P2X7 activation induces mitochondrial translocation to the astrocytic plasma membrane

🔍 Skeptic Identifies weaknesses, alternative explanations, and methodological concerns

Critical Evaluation: Mitochondrial Transfer Hypotheses

Hypothesis 1: P2X7 Receptor-ATP "Find-Me" Signal Cascade

Strongest Specific Weakness

The TRIM46-PKCα-P2X7 axis lacks direct mechanistic support. You invoke TRIM46 phosphorylation by PKCα downstream of P2X7 activation as the trigger for F-actin polymerization and TNT formation. However, TRIM46's established function is in neuronal microtubule organization—specifically, regulating Golgi apparatus positioning and axon initial segment formation (van Beuningen et al., 2015, PMID: 25883316). There is no published evide

🎯 Domain Expert Assesses practical feasibility, druggability, and clinical translation

Domain Expert Assessment: Mitochondrial Transfer Hypotheses in Alzheimer's Disease

1. Translational Potential: Top 2–3 Hypotheses

| Rank | Hypothesis | Translational Potential | Rationale |
|------|------------|------------------------|-----------|
| 1 | P2X7 Receptor-ATP Cascade (mechanistic framework) | High | P2X7 antagonists already in clinical pipelines for other indications; mechanism addresses neuroinflammation, a core AD feature; testable with existing tools |
| 2 | EV-Mediated Mitochondrial Delivery | Moderate-High | EV therapeutics are actively advancing

Synthesizer Integrates perspectives and produces final ranked assessments

Price History

0.250.500.75 created: market_dynamics (2026-04-02T21:38)score_update: market_dynamics (2026-04-02T21:38)evidence: evidence_batch_update (2026-04-04T09:08)evidence: evidence_batch_update (2026-04-13T02:18)evidence: evidence_batch_update (2026-04-13T02:18) 1.00 0.00 2026-04-022026-04-122026-04-15 Market PriceScoreevidencedebate 144 events
7d Trend
Stable
7d Momentum
▲ 2.7%
Volatility
Low
0.0179
Events (7d)
91
⚡ Price Movement Log Recent 12 events
Event Price Change Source Time
📄 New Evidence $0.421 ▲ 2.9% evidence_batch_update 2026-04-13 02:18
📄 New Evidence $0.410 ▲ 6.0% evidence_batch_update 2026-04-13 02:18
Recalibrated $0.386 ▼ 1.4% 2026-04-10 15:58
Recalibrated $0.392 ▲ 1.7% 2026-04-10 15:53
Recalibrated $0.385 ▲ 0.3% 2026-04-08 18:39
Recalibrated $0.384 ▼ 0.9% 2026-04-04 16:38
Recalibrated $0.387 ▼ 3.1% 2026-04-04 16:02
📄 New Evidence $0.400 ▲ 3.6% evidence_batch_update 2026-04-04 09:08
Recalibrated $0.386 ▼ 2.2% 2026-04-03 23:46
Recalibrated $0.394 ▼ 9.2% 2026-04-02 21:55
📊 Score Update $0.434 ▼ 7.6% market_dynamics 2026-04-02 21:38
Listed $0.470 market_dynamics 2026-04-02 21:38

Clinical Trials (4) Relevance: 9%

1
Active
1
Completed
0
Total Enrolled
Phase I
Highest Phase
Mitochondrial Transfer Therapy for Neurological Injury Phase I
Recruiting · NCT04998357
Low-Intensity Focused Ultrasound for AD Phase II
Active · NCT04118764
P2X7R Antagonist for Mood Disorders Phase II
Completed · NCT03384433
Hemichannel Function Biomarkers in Neurodegeneration Observational
Planning · NCT04681943

📚 Cited Papers (21)

Transmission dynamics of a linear vanA-plasmid during a nosocomial multiclonal outbreak of vancomycin-resistant enterococci in a non-endemic area, Japan.
Scientific reports (2021) · PMID:34285270
8 figures
Figure 1
Figure 1
Minimum inhibitory concentration of vancomycin and teicoplanin for vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus faecium isolates during the outbreak. According to the criteria of the Clinic...
pmc_api
Figure 2
Figure 2
Dendrogram of pulsotypes in pulsed-field gel electrophoresis and sequence types in multilocus sequence typing among vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus faecium isolates (n = 153). ...
pmc_api
High resolution spatiotemporal patterns of seawater temperatures across the Belize Mesoamerican Barrier Reef.
Scientific data (2020) · PMID:33199700
3 figures
Fig. 1
Fig. 1
Map of logger deployment sites in Belize.
pmc_api
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
Cross-sectional view of Carrie Bow Caye describing back reef and the two fore reefs in this area: inner fore reef and outer fore reef.
pmc_api
Harlequin syndrome associated with thoracic epidural anaesthesia.
Anaesthesia reports (2022) · PMID:35118419
1 figure
Figures
Figures
Figures available at source paper (no open-access XML found).
deep_link
Paper:27229462
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Paper:29066951
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Paper:29335368
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Paper:30135581
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Paper:30559432
No extracted figures yet
Paper:32159743
No extracted figures yet
Paper:32649247
No extracted figures yet
Paper:33574580
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Paper:34068881
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📓 Linked Notebooks (1)

📓 Mitochondrial transfer between neurons and glia — Analysis Notebook
CI-generated notebook stub for analysis sda-2026-04-01-gap-20260401231108. Mitochondrial transfer between neurons and glia?
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Wiki Pages

PANX1 ProteinproteinPANX1 GenegeneNeurodegenerationdiseaseP2X7 Receptor Modulation TherapytherapeuticP2RX7 ProteinproteinZinc Signaling Pathway in NeurodegenerationmechanismYAP/TAZ Signaling Pathway in NeurodegenerationmechanismYAP/TAZ (Hippo) Signaling in NeurodegenerationmechanismWnt Signaling Pathway in NeurodegenerationmechanismWnt Signaling in NeurodegenerationmechanismWnt Signaling Dysfunction in Neurodegenerative DismechanismWnt Signaling in 4R-TauopathiesmechanismWNT Signaling in NeurodegenerationmechanismWnt Signaling in Parkinson's DiseasemechanismWnt Non-Canonical Signaling Pathways in Neurodegenmechanism

KG Entities (16)

BNIP3BNIP3LChR2GJA1LAMP2BPANX1RAB27ARAB27A/LAMP2BRHOT1Synthetic fusion proteinsh-16ee87a4h-495454efh-826df660h-91bdb9adh-d78123d1neurodegeneration

Related Hypotheses

SASP-Mediated Complement Cascade Amplification
Score: 0.703 | neurodegeneration
TREM2-Dependent Microglial Senescence Transition
Score: 0.692 | neurodegeneration
H2: Indole-3-Propionate (IPA) as the Actual Neuroprotective Effector
Score: 0.675 | neurodegeneration
Nutrient-Sensing Epigenetic Circuit Reactivation
Score: 0.670 | neurodegeneration
Transcriptional Autophagy-Lysosome Coupling
Score: 0.665 | neurodegeneration

Estimated Development

Estimated Cost
$700,000
Timeline
18 months

🧪 Falsifiable Predictions (2)

2 total 0 confirmed 0 falsified
If hypothesis is true, intervention bridge the gap between insufficient endogenous rescue capacity and the need for rapid intervention in acute neurodegeneration
pending conf: 0.40
Expected outcome: bridge the gap between insufficient endogenous rescue capacity and the need for rapid intervention in acute neurodegeneration
Falsified by: Intervention fails to bridge the gap between insufficient endogenous rescue capacity and the need for rapid intervention in acute neurodegeneration
If hypothesis is true, intervention enable surrounding glial cells to provide metabolic support during critical disease phases
pending conf: 0.40
Expected outcome: enable surrounding glial cells to provide metabolic support during critical disease phases
Falsified by: Intervention fails to enable surrounding glial cells to provide metabolic support during critical disease phases

Knowledge Subgraph (64 edges)

associated with (8)

RHOT1 neurodegeneration
BNIP3 neurodegeneration
BNIP3L neurodegeneration
PANX1 neurodegeneration
ChR2 neurodegeneration
...and 3 more

co associated with (10)

ChR2 RHOT1
ChR2 RAB27A/LAMP2B
GJA1 Synthetic fusion proteins
ChR2 GJA1
GJA1 RHOT1
...and 5 more

co discussed (35)

ChR2 BNIP3L
ChR2 RHOT1
ChR2 PANX1
ChR2 RAB27A
ChR2 BNIP3
...and 30 more

implicated in (4)

RHOT1 neurodegeneration
ChR2 neurodegeneration
RAB27A/LAMP2B neurodegeneration
Synthetic fusion proteins neurodegeneration

interacts with (2)

RAB27A LAMP2B
LAMP2B RAB27A

targets (5)

h-16ee87a4 GJA1
h-91bdb9ad RHOT1
h-826df660 ChR2
h-d78123d1 RAB27A/LAMP2B
h-495454ef Synthetic fusion proteins

Mechanism Pathway for PANX1

Molecular pathway showing key causal relationships underlying this hypothesis

graph TD
    PANX1["PANX1"] -->|associated with| neurodegeneration["neurodegeneration"]
    ChR2["ChR2"] -->|co discussed| PANX1_1["PANX1"]
    BNIP3L["BNIP3L"] -->|co discussed| PANX1_2["PANX1"]
    RHOT1["RHOT1"] -->|co discussed| PANX1_3["PANX1"]
    PANX1_4["PANX1"] -->|co discussed| RAB27A["RAB27A"]
    PANX1_5["PANX1"] -->|co discussed| BNIP3["BNIP3"]
    PANX1_6["PANX1"] -->|co discussed| Synthetic_fusion_proteins["Synthetic fusion proteins"]
    PANX1_7["PANX1"] -->|co discussed| GJA1["GJA1"]
    PANX1_8["PANX1"] -->|co discussed| LAMP2B["LAMP2B"]
    style PANX1 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style neurodegeneration fill:#ef5350,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style ChR2 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style PANX1_1 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style BNIP3L fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style PANX1_2 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style RHOT1 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style PANX1_3 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style PANX1_4 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style RAB27A fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style PANX1_5 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style BNIP3 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style PANX1_6 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style Synthetic_fusion_proteins fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style PANX1_7 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style GJA1 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style PANX1_8 fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style LAMP2B fill:#ce93d8,stroke:#333,color:#000

3D Protein Structure

🧬 PANX1 — PDB 6WBF Click to expand 3D viewer

Experimental structure from RCSB PDB | Powered by Mol* | Rotate: click+drag | Zoom: scroll | Reset: right-click

Source Analysis

Mitochondrial transfer between neurons and glia

neurodegeneration | 2026-04-01 | completed