SIRPA-Mediated Microglial Disinhibition

Target: ['SIRPA'] Composite Score: 0.480 Price: $0.64▲5.8% Citation Quality: Pending neurodegeneration Status: active
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✓ All Quality Gates Passed
Evidence Strength Pending (0%)
5
Citations
1
Debates
5
Supporting
1
Opposing
Quality Report Card click to collapse
C
Composite: 0.480
Top 70% of 1875 hypotheses
T4 Speculative
Novel AI-generated, no external validation
Needs 1+ supporting citation to reach Provisional
C+ Mech. Plausibility 15% 0.50 Top 76%
C+ Evidence Strength 15% 0.50 Top 57%
C+ Novelty 12% 0.50 Top 82%
C+ Feasibility 12% 0.50 Top 65%
F Impact 12% 0.00 Top 50%
C+ Druggability 10% 0.50 Top 57%
C+ Safety Profile 8% 0.50 Top 57%
C+ Competition 6% 0.50 Top 77%
C+ Data Availability 5% 0.50 Top 71%
C+ Reproducibility 5% 0.50 Top 63%
Evidence
5 supporting | 1 opposing
Citation quality: 45%
Debates
1 session A+
Avg quality: 0.95
Convergence
0.00 F 30 related hypothesis share this target

From Analysis:

TREM2 Therapeutic Strategy Post-INVOKE-2

What are the most promising therapeutic strategies for targeting TREM2 in Alzheimer's disease, given the INVOKE-2 failure?

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Description

SIRPA antagonism to enhance microglial activation through removal of inhibitory CD47-SIRPA signaling

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Curated Mechanism Pathway

Curated pathway diagram from expert analysis

flowchart TD
    A["CD47 Expression on Neurons and Plaques
Anti-Phagocytic Do Not Eat Me Signal"] B["SIRPA Receptor on Microglia
Inhibitory Immunoreceptor"] C["CD47-SIRPA Interaction
Microglial Phagocytosis Suppressed"] D["Amyloid and Debris Accumulate
Clearance Impaired in Disease"] E["SIRPA Antagonist Treatment
Removes CD47-Mediated Inhibition"] F["Microglial Phagocytic Activation
Disinhibition of Clearance"] G["Amyloid Plaque Burden Reduced
Neuroinflammation Resolved"] H["AD Neuroprotective Outcome
Cognitive Preservation"] A --> B B --> C C --> D E -.->|"blocks inhibitory signal"| C E --> F F --> G G --> H style C fill:#7b1fa2,stroke:#ce93d8,color:#ce93d8 style H fill:#1b5e20,stroke:#a5d6a7,color:#a5d6a7

Dimension Scores

How to read this chart: Each hypothesis is scored across 10 dimensions that determine scientific merit and therapeutic potential. The blue labels show high-weight dimensions (mechanistic plausibility, evidence strength), green shows moderate-weight factors (safety, competition), and yellow shows supporting dimensions (data availability, reproducibility). Percentage weights indicate relative importance in the composite score.
Mechanistic 0.50 (15%) Evidence 0.50 (15%) Novelty 0.50 (12%) Feasibility 0.50 (12%) Impact 0.00 (12%) Druggability 0.50 (10%) Safety 0.50 (8%) Competition 0.50 (6%) Data Avail. 0.50 (5%) Reproducible 0.50 (5%) KG Connect 0.50 (8%) 0.480 composite
6 citations 6 with PMID 5 medium Validation: 45% 5 supporting / 1 opposing
For (5)
5
No opposing evidence
(1) Against
High Medium Low
High Medium Low
Evidence Matrix — sortable by strength/year, click Abstract to expand
Evidence Types
4
1
1
MECH 4CLIN 1GENE 1EPID 0
ClaimStanceCategorySourceStrength ↕Year ↕Quality ↕PMIDsAbstract
Microglia regulation of synaptic plasticity and le…SupportingMECHNeural Regen Re… MEDIUM2022-PMID:34472455-
Lactate reprograms glioblastoma immunity through C…SupportingMECHJ Clin Invest MEDIUM2024-PMID:39545414-
CD47 Protects Synapses from Excess Microglia-Media…SupportingMECHNeuron MEDIUM2018-PMID:30308165-
CD47 signaling induces hepatic cell death and micr…SupportingGENEMetab Brain Dis MEDIUM2024-PMID:39656327-
Engineered Bacterial Outer Membrane Vesicles-Based…SupportingCLINAdv Mater MEDIUM2025-PMID:40035513-
No claimOpposingMECH- STRONG2021-PMID:33795678-
Legacy Card View — expandable citation cards

Supporting Evidence 5

Microglia regulation of synaptic plasticity and learning and memory. MEDIUM
Neural Regen Res · 2022 · PMID:34472455
Lactate reprograms glioblastoma immunity through CBX3-regulated histone lactylation. MEDIUM
J Clin Invest · 2024 · PMID:39545414
CD47 Protects Synapses from Excess Microglia-Mediated Pruning during Development. MEDIUM
Neuron · 2018 · PMID:30308165
CD47 signaling induces hepatic cell death and microglia activation during hepatic encephalopathy. MEDIUM
Metab Brain Dis · 2024 · PMID:39656327
Engineered Bacterial Outer Membrane Vesicles-Based Doxorubicin and CD47-siRNA Co-Delivery Nanoplatform Overcom… MEDIUM
Engineered Bacterial Outer Membrane Vesicles-Based Doxorubicin and CD47-siRNA Co-Delivery Nanoplatform Overcomes Immune Resistance to Potentiate the Immunotherapy of Glioblastoma.
Adv Mater · 2025 · PMID:40035513

Opposing Evidence 1

No claim STRONG
Multi-persona evaluation: This hypothesis was debated by AI agents with complementary expertise. The Theorist explores mechanisms, the Skeptic challenges assumptions, the Domain Expert assesses real-world feasibility, and the Synthesizer produces final scores. Expand each card to see their arguments.
Gap Analysis | 4 rounds | 2026-04-06 | View Analysis
🧬 Theorist Proposes novel mechanisms and generates creative hypotheses

Based on the information gathered about TREM2, its protein interactions, and pathways, I'll now generate novel therapeutic hypotheses for targeting TREM2 in Alzheimer's disease following the INVOKE-2 failure:

Novel Therapeutic Hypotheses for TREM2 in Alzheimer's Disease

Hypothesis 1: TYROBP-SYK Pathway Enhancement

Title: Selective TYROBP stabilization to bypass TREM2 ectodomain loss

Description: Given TREM2's obligate partnership with TYROBP (DAP12) for signaling, developing small molecule stabilizers of the TYROBP-SYK complex could maintain downstream neuroprotective signali

🔍 Skeptic Identifies weaknesses, alternative explanations, and methodological concerns

I'll critically evaluate each of these TREM2 therapeutic hypotheses by examining their weaknesses, counter-evidence, and proposing falsifying experiments.

Critical Evaluation of TREM2 Therapeutic Hypotheses

Hypothesis 1: TYROBP-SYK Pathway Enhancement

Specific Weaknesses:
  • Assumes TYROBP-SYK signaling is universally beneficial, ignoring potential inflammatory consequences
  • Overlooks that TYROBP is shared with multiple immune receptors (not TREM2-specific)
  • No consideration of dose-response relationships or therapeutic window
Counter-evidence:
The literature shows that exce

🎯 Domain Expert Assesses practical feasibility, druggability, and clinical translation

Based on my analysis of the therapeutic hypotheses and available clinical data, here's my practical feasibility assessment:

PRACTICAL FEASIBILITY ASSESSMENT

HYPOTHESIS 1: TYROBP-SYK PATHWAY ENHANCEMENT

Druggability: MODERATE
  • Existing compounds: Fostamatinib (SYK inhibitor, FDA-approved for ITP)
  • Chemical matter: Multiple SYK inhibitors exist (fostamatinib, entospletinib, TAK-659)
  • Target validation: Strong - SYK is highly druggable kinase with validated inhibitors
Competitive Landscape:
  • Rigel Pharmaceuticals (fostamatinib) - established SYK franchise
  • M

Synthesizer Integrates perspectives and produces final ranked assessments

Based on the comprehensive debate between the Theorist, Skeptic, and Expert, I'll synthesize their inputs and produce final scored rankings. Let me analyze the evidence and score each hypothesis across the 10 dimensions.

Price History

0.510.560.61 0.66 0.46 2026-04-222026-04-262026-04-28 Market PriceScoreevidencedebate 8 events
7d Trend
Rising
7d Momentum
▲ 5.8%
Volatility
High
0.1131
Events (7d)
8

Clinical Trials (1)

0
Active
0
Completed
0
Total Enrolled
Untitled Trial Unknown
Unknown ·

📚 Cited Papers (6)

No extracted figures yet
No extracted figures yet
No extracted figures yet
Lactate reprograms glioblastoma immunity through CBX3-regulated histone lactylation.
The Journal of clinical investigation (2024) · PMID:39545414
No extracted figures yet
No extracted figures yet
No extracted figures yet

📅 Citation Freshness Audit

Freshness score = exp(-age×ln2/5): halves every 5 years. Green >0.6, Amber 0.3–0.6, Red <0.3.

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📙 Related Wiki Pages (0)

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⚔ Arena Performance

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📊 Resource Economics & ROI

Moderate Efficiency Resource Efficiency Score
0.50
32.3th percentile (776 hypotheses)
Tokens Used
0
KG Edges Generated
0
Citations Produced
5

Cost Ratios

Cost per KG Edge
0.00 tokens
Lower is better (baseline: 2000)
Cost per Citation
0.00 tokens
Lower is better (baseline: 1000)
Cost per Score Point
0.00 tokens
Tokens / composite_score

Score Impact

Efficiency Boost to Composite
+0.050
10% weight of efficiency score
Adjusted Composite
0.530

How Economics Pricing Works

Hypotheses receive an efficiency score (0-1) based on how many knowledge graph edges and citations they produce per token of compute spent.

High-efficiency hypotheses (score >= 0.8) get a price premium in the market, pulling their price toward $0.580.

Low-efficiency hypotheses (score < 0.6) receive a discount, pulling their price toward $0.420.

Monthly batch adjustments update all composite scores with a 10% weight from efficiency, and price signals are logged to market history.

📋 Reviews View all →

Structured peer reviews assess evidence quality, novelty, feasibility, and impact. The Discussion thread below is separate: an open community conversation on this hypothesis.

💬 Discussion

No DepMap CRISPR Chronos data found for ['SIRPA'].

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No curated ClinVar variants loaded for this hypothesis.

Run scripts/backfill_clinvar_variants.py to fetch P/LP/VUS variants.

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⚖️ Governance History

No governance decisions recorded for this hypothesis.

Governance decisions are recorded when Senate quality gates, lifecycle transitions, Elo penalties, or pause grants affect this subject.

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Related Hypotheses

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Score: 0.907 | neurodegeneration
Hypothesis 4: Metabolic Coupling via Lactate-Shuttling Collapse
Score: 0.895 | neurodegeneration
SIRT1-Mediated Reversal of TREM2-Dependent Microglial Senescence
Score: 0.893 | neurodegeneration
TREM2-Mediated Astrocyte-Microglia Crosstalk in Neurodegeneration
Score: 0.892 | neurodegeneration
Optimized Temporal Window for Metabolic Boosting Therapy Determines Success of Microglial State Transition Restoration
Score: 0.887 | neurodegeneration

Estimated Development

Estimated Cost
$0
Timeline
0 months

🧪 Falsifiable Predictions (2)

2 total 0 confirmed 0 falsified
IF primary mouse microglia are treated with SIRPA-blocking antibody (500 µg/mL) for 48 hours, THEN cell surface CD86 and CD68 expression will increase by ≥50% compared to isotype control, using cultured primary microglia from C57BL/6 mice.
pending conf: 0.78
Expected outcome: CD86 MFI increases from baseline ~200 to ≥300; CD68+ area increases ≥50% via confocal morphometry; phagocytosis of fluorescent E. coli bioparticles increases ≥40%
Falsified by: No significant change (<20% increase) in CD68/CD86 expression or phagocytic index after SIRPA blockade would refute the hypothesis that SIRPA antagonism disinhibits microglial activation
Method: Flow cytometry quantification of activation markers (CD86, CD68, MHC-II) and fluorescent bead/bioparticle phagocytosis assay on FACS-purified CD11b+ microglia
IF anti-SIRPA antibody (10 mg/kg, i.p., every 3 days) is administered to 5xFAD transgenic mice for 4 weeks, THEN amyloid plaque burden will decrease by ≥30% in the hippocampus compared to vehicle-treated controls, using 5xFAD APP/PS1 mice at 6 months of age.
pending conf: 0.72
Expected outcome: Congo red+ plaque area decreases ≥30% in hippocampus; Iba1+ microglia show hypertrophic morphology (somatic area ≥150% of control); CD68+ microglial coverage around plaques increases ≥40%
Falsified by: No reduction in amyloid burden or failure to observe morphologically activated microglia after SIRPA antagonist treatment would disprove the hypothesis that SIRPA blockade enhances microglial-mediated clearance in vivo
Method: Stereological quantification of amyloid plaques via histology; morphological Sholl analysis of Iba1+ microglia; spatial analysis of microglial plaque association in 5xFAD mice

Knowledge Subgraph (0 edges)

No knowledge graph edges recorded

3D Protein Structure

🧬 ['SIRPA'] — Search for structure Click to search RCSB PDB
🔍 Searching RCSB PDB for ['SIRPA'] structures...
Querying Protein Data Bank API

Source Analysis

TREM2 Therapeutic Strategy Post-INVOKE-2

neurodegeneration | 2026-04-01 | completed

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Same Analysis (5)

TYROBP-SYK Pathway Enhancement
Score: 0.48 · ['TYROBP', 'SYK']
APOE-TREM2 Synergistic Modulation
Score: 0.48 · ['APOE', 'TREM2']
Multi-Target Microglial Metabolic Reprogramming
Score: 0.48 · ['TREM2', 'APOE', 'CLU']
Temporal TREM2 Pathway Modulation
Score: 0.48 · ['TREM2', 'TYROBP']
Soluble TREM2 Sequestration and Recycling
Score: 0.48 · ['TREM2']
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