ID: h-cf3596a8f7
Hypothesis

Selective c-Abl Inhibition Promotes α-Synuclein Clearance via Autophagy

c-Abl kinase is activated in PD substantia nigra and phosphorylates parkin at Tyr143, inhibiting its E3 ligase activity and impairing ubiquitination of α-synuclein substrates.
🧬 ABL1/c-Abl🩺 neurodegeneration🎯 Composite 58%💱 $0.55▼7.5%proposed
EvidencePending (0%)📖 0 cit🗣 1 debates 3 support 2 oppose
✓ All Quality Gates Passed
Mechanistic 0.65 (15%) Evidence 0.68 (15%) Novelty 0.52 (12%) Feasibility 0.55 (12%) Impact 0.72 (12%) Druggability 0.75 (10%) Safety 0.58 (8%) Competition 0.65 (6%) Data Avail. 0.62 (5%) Reproducible 0.60 (5%) KG Connect 0.50 (8%) 0.580 composite

🧪 Overview

c-Abl kinase is activated in PD substantia nigra and phosphorylates parkin at Tyr143, inhibiting its E3 ligase activity and impairing ubiquitination of α-synuclein substrates. Selective c-Abl inhibitors (K0706) block parkin inactivation, enhancing degradation of pathological substrates. Phase 2 nilotinib trial showed safety but modest efficacy, suggesting that next-generation selective inhibitors may be needed for meaningful benefit.

🧬 Mechanism

🧬 Curated Mechanism Pathway

Curated pathway from expert analysis

flowchart TD
    A["c-Abl / ABL1<br/>Kinase Activation"]
    B["Mitochondrial<br/>Apoptosis"]
    C["Alpha-Synuclein<br/>Phosphorylation"]
    D["Parkinson<br/>Pathology"]
    E["Therapeutic<br/>Inhibition"]
    F["Synuclein Clearance<br/>Restoration"]
    G["Neuroprotection<br/>Disease Modification"]
    A --> B
    A --> C
    B --> D
    C --> D
    E --> A
    E --> F
    F --> G
    D --> G
    style A fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a
    style D fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a
    style G fill:#1b5e20,stroke:#a5d6a7,color:#a5d6a7

⚖️ Evidence

⚖️ Evidence Matrix3 supports2 contradicts
Supports
c-Abl activity elevated in PD substantia nigra and MPTP models
Supports
c-Abl phosphorylates parkin, inhibiting its E3 ligase function
Supports
Nilotinib reduces α-synuclein in mouse models
Contradicts
Phase 2 trial of nilotinib in PD shows safety but modest efficacy
Contradicts
Selective inhibitors (K0706) not yet validated in human trials
📖 Linked Papers

No linked papers recorded for this hypothesis yet.

🏥 Translation

🧬 3D Protein Structure — ABL1

No curated PDB or AlphaFold mapping for ABL1 yet. Search RCSB →

🧠 GTEx v10 Brain ExpressionJSON

Median TPM across 13 brain regions for ABL1/c-Abl from GTEx v10.

Spinal cord cervical c-140.0median TPM (GTEx v10)

💉 Clinical Trials

No clinical trials data linked to this hypothesis yet.

No curated ClinVar variants loaded for this hypothesis.

Run scripts/backfill_clinvar_variants.py to fetch P/LP/VUS variants.

🔍 Search ClinVar for ABL1 →

No DepMap CRISPR Chronos data found for ABL1.

Run python3 scripts/backfill_hypothesis_depmap.py to populate.

🏆 Tournament

🏆 Arenas / Elo

No arena matches recorded yet. Browse Arenas →

📊 Market Indicators

7d Trend
Stable
7d Momentum
▼ 0.6%
Volatility
Low
0.0062
Events (7d)
3
Price History
▼7.5%

💾 Resource Usage

No resource usage or linked notebooks recorded for this hypothesis yet.

🔮 Predictions

🔎 Predictions vs Observations2 predictions · 0 with recorded observations
PredictionPredictedObservedStatusConf
IF patients with idiopathic Parkinson's disease receive orally administered selective c-Abl inhibitor (K0706 at doses achieving >80% target engagement, e.g., 300mg daily) for 6 months, THEN cerebrospi≥25% reduction in CSF α-synuclein concentration; ≥5-point improvement in MDS-UPDRS Part III score— no observation —pending0.55
IF A53T SNCA transgenic mice (Line 61) receive chronic oral K0706 (30mg/kg/day) for 8 weeks beginning at 12 months of age, THEN markers of autophagic flux (LC3-II/LC3-I ratio, p62 degradation rate) wi≥50% increase in LC3-II/LC3-I ratio; ≥40% reduction in α-synuclein pSer129 immunoreactive aggregates in nigrostriatal tissue— no observation —pending0.60
🔮 Falsifiable Predictions (2)
pendingconf 60%
IF A53T SNCA transgenic mice (Line 61) receive chronic oral K0706 (30mg/kg/day) for 8 weeks beginning at 12 months of age, THEN markers of autophagic flux (LC3-II/LC3-I ratio, p62 degradation rate) will increase by ≥50% in substantia nigra pars compacta tissue and striatal α-synuclein aggregate burd
Predicted outcome: ≥50% increase in LC3-II/LC3-I ratio; ≥40% reduction in α-synuclein pSer129 immunoreactive aggregates in nigrostriatal tissue
Falsification: No increase in autophagic flux markers (LC3-II/LC3-I ratio change <20%) AND no reduction in α-synuclein aggregate load (<15% change) in K0706-treated mice compared to vehicle controls, despite adequat
pendingconf 55%
IF patients with idiopathic Parkinson's disease receive orally administered selective c-Abl inhibitor (K0706 at doses achieving >80% target engagement, e.g., 300mg daily) for 6 months, THEN cerebrospinal fluid α-synuclein concentrations will decrease by ≥25% from baseline and motor disability scores
Predicted outcome: ≥25% reduction in CSF α-synuclein concentration; ≥5-point improvement in MDS-UPDRS Part III score
Falsification: No statistically significant reduction in CSF α-synuclein (<10% change) AND no improvement in motor scores (≤2-point change) in the treatment arm compared to placebo, despite confirmed target engageme
Metadatasource: v1_phase_c_backfill · origin_type: debate_synthesizer
sourcev1_phase_c_backfill
origin_typedebate_synthesizer
_schema_version1
📊 Evidence Profile
Evidence Balance
+0%
Certainty
0%
Debates
0
Incoming
0
Outgoing
0
0 supporting 0 contradicting 0 neutral
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