ID: h-b9f5438c
Hypothesis

TBK1 Loss-of-Function Amplifies C1q-Mediated Synapse Elimination Through Type I IFN Hyperactivation

**Molecular Mechanism and Rationale**.
🧬 TBK1🩺 neurodegeneration🎯 Composite 72%💱 $0.60▲6.2%proposed
EvidencePending (0%)📖 18 cit🗣 1 debates 13 support 5 oppose
✓ All Quality Gates Passed
Mechanistic 0.65 (15%) Evidence 0.60 (15%) Novelty 0.70 (12%) Feasibility 0.45 (12%) Impact 0.60 (12%) Druggability 0.50 (10%) Safety 0.45 (8%) Competition 0.55 (6%) Data Avail. 0.60 (5%) Reproducible 0.65 (5%) KG Connect 0.80 (8%) 0.724 composite

🧪 Overview

Molecular Mechanism and Rationale

The molecular cascade underlying TBK1 loss-of-function-mediated synapse elimination involves a complex interplay between defective autophagy, cellular senescence, and complement-driven synaptic pruning. TBK1 (TANK-binding kinase 1) serves as a critical regulatory kinase that phosphorylates key autophagy receptors, including OPTN (optineurin) at Ser177 and p62/SQSTM1 at Ser403. These phosphorylation events are essential for the recruitment of LC3-II to autophagosomes and the subsequent clearance of ubiquitinated protein aggregates through selective autophagy. In ALS/FTD patient-derived neurons carrying TBK1 mutations (particularly those affecting the kinase domain such as G294V and E696K), this phosphorylation cascade is severely impaired, leading to accumulation of TDP-43, FUS, and SOD1 aggregates within neuronal cytoplasm.

...

🧬 Mechanism

🧬 Curated Mechanism Pathway

Curated pathway from expert analysis

flowchart TD
    A["Complement Activation"] --> B["C1q/C3b Opsonization"]
    B --> C["Synaptic Tagging"]
    C --> D["Microglial Phagocytosis"]
    D --> E["Synapse Loss"]
    F["TBK1 Modulation"] --> G["Complement Cascade Block"]
    G --> H["Reduced Synaptic Tagging"]
    H --> I["Synapse Preservation"]
    I --> J["Cognitive Protection"]
    style A fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a
    style F fill:#1a237e,stroke:#4fc3f7,color:#4fc3f7
    style J fill:#1b5e20,stroke:#81c784,color:#81c784

⚖️ Evidence

⚖️ Evidence Matrix13 supports5 contradicts
Supports
TBK1 mutations identified in ALS/FTD patients impair autophagy receptor phosphorylation
Supports
TBK1 deficiency in ALS models leads to accumulation of ubiquitinated proteins and defective mitophagy
Supports
SASP-mediated complement cascade amplification drives synapse loss in AD models through C1q upregulation
Supports
C1q-dependent excitatory and inhibitory synapse elimination observed in Alzheimer's disease mouse models
Supports
TBK1 phosphorylates autophagy receptors OPTN and p62, required for selective autophagy
Supports
TBK1-OPTN protein interaction confirmed by STRING analysis (score: 0.998)
Supports
Dynamic regulation of TBK1 lactylation shapes antiviral immune responses.
Cell Mol Immunol2026PMID:41530535
Supports
TBK1 orchestrates autophagy and endo-lysosomal pathways in human neurons.
Autophagy2026PMID:41485128
Supports
Aberrant STING signalling promotes endothelial dysfunction and neurovascular injury in diabetic retinopathy.
Diabetologia2026PMID:41419617
Supports
BTK inhibition suppresses neuroinflammation and neurodegeneration in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis.
Brain2026PMID:41710977
Supports
Restricting intracellular Salmonella proliferation by coordinating p-TBK1 mediated mitophagy and xenophagy.
Autophagy2026PMID:40660474
Supports
RIG-I Mediated Neuron-Specific IFN Type 1 Signaling in FUS-ALS Induces Neurodegeneration and Offers New Biomarker-Driven Individualized Treatment Options for (FUS-)ALS.
Adv Sci (Weinh)2026PMID:41603250
Supports
Systematic Review: Porphyromonas gingivalis Outer Membrane Vesicles From Pathogenesis to Therapeutic Implications.
Int Dent J2026PMID:41980468
Contradicts
Causal chain gap: autophagy defect to cellular senescence not directly demonstrated in ALS models
Contradicts
C1q upregulation mechanism in ALS is substantially weaker than in Alzheimer's disease
Contradicts
IFN-β secretion by TBK1-deficient neurons/glia requires direct measurement
Contradicts
CSF IFN-α/β biomarker prediction lacks validation in TBK1 mutation carriers
Contradicts
Alternative mechanism: TBK1 loss may directly affect microglial function rather than operating through neuronal senescence
📖 Linked Papers (10)Export BibTeX ↗

🏥 Translation

🧬 3D Protein Structure — TBK1

No curated PDB or AlphaFold mapping for TBK1 yet. Search RCSB →

🧠 GTEx v10 Brain ExpressionJSON

Median TPM across 13 brain regions for TBK1 from GTEx v10.

Cerebellar Hemisphere11.6 Cerebellum10.0median TPM (GTEx v10)

💉 Clinical Trials

No clinical trials data linked to this hypothesis yet.

No curated ClinVar variants loaded for this hypothesis.

Run scripts/backfill_clinvar_variants.py to fetch P/LP/VUS variants.

🔍 Search ClinVar for TBK1 →

No DepMap CRISPR Chronos data found for TBK1.

Run python3 scripts/backfill_hypothesis_depmap.py to populate.

💰 Estimated Development
Cost
$0
Timeline
2.0 years

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📊 Market Indicators

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Events (7d)
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Total Cost
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🔮 Predictions

🔎 Predictions vs Observations4 predictions · 0 with recorded observations
PredictionPredictedObservedStatusConf
IF TBK1 is selectively deleted in microglia (but not neurons) THEN we will observe significantly elevated Type I IFN signaling (increased IFN-β secretion and STAT1 phosphorylation) followed by increasElevated IFN-β (>2-fold increase), increased p-STAT1 levels, C1q upregulation (>1.5-fold), and 30-50% increase in PSD95/C1q co-localization or synapse eliminati— no observation —pending0.75
IF TBK1-deficient neurons/microglia exhibit increased IFN-β secretion AND we block the Type I IFN receptor (IFNAR1) THEN C1q upregulation and synapse elimination will be prevented or significantly redComplete or partial (>50%) blockade of C1q protein induction and normalization of synapse density (PSD95+ puncta) to control levels in TBK1-deficient cultures w— no observation —pending0.72
IF TBK1-floxed mice are crossed with CreERT2 drivers to achieve microglial-specific or neuronal-specific TBK1 deletion AND mice are treated with vehicle or IFNAR blocking antibody BEFORE onset of behaConditional TBK1 deletion in microglia (CX3CR1-CreERT2) or neurons (CamKIIa-CreERT2) will cause elevated IFN-β in CSF, increased C1q deposition at synapses, and— no observation —pending0.70
IF TBK1 is deleted/genetically inactivated in neurons and glia using CRISPR-Cas9 in iPSC-derived neuron-microglia co-cultures THEN measurable IFN-β secretion will increase ≥2-fold above baseline, C1q TBK1-deficient co-cultures will exhibit significantly elevated IFN-β concentrations (≥2-fold by ELISA), increased C1q gene expression (≥1.5-fold by qPCR) and pr— no observation —pending0.75
🔮 Falsifiable Predictions (4)
pendingconf —
IF TBK1 is selectively deleted in microglia (but not neurons) THEN we will observe significantly elevated Type I IFN signaling (increased IFN-β secretion and STAT1 phosphorylation) followed by increased C1q protein levels and enhanced synapse elimination compared to controls using primary microglia-
Predicted outcome: Elevated IFN-β (>2-fold increase), increased p-STAT1 levels, C1q upregulation (>1.5-fold), and 30-50% increase in PSD95/C1q co-localization or synapse
Falsification: If microglia-specific TBK1 deletion does NOT lead to elevated IFN-β/STAT1 signaling or C1q upregulation, OR if synapse elimination occurs despite no IFN/C1q changes, the hypothesis that TBK1 acts thro
pendingconf —
IF TBK1-deficient neurons/microglia exhibit increased IFN-β secretion AND we block the Type I IFN receptor (IFNAR1) THEN C1q upregulation and synapse elimination will be prevented or significantly reduced compared to TBK1-deficient cells with intact IFN signaling, using primary cortical cultures fro
Predicted outcome: Complete or partial (>50%) blockade of C1q protein induction and normalization of synapse density (PSD95+ puncta) to control levels in TBK1-deficient
Falsification: If pharmacological or genetic blockade of IFNAR1 signaling does NOT prevent C1q upregulation or synapse elimination in TBK1-deficient cells, the hypothesis that Type I IFN hyperactivation mediates C1q
pendingconf —
IF TBK1 is deleted/genetically inactivated in neurons and glia using CRISPR-Cas9 in iPSC-derived neuron-microglia co-cultures THEN measurable IFN-β secretion will increase ≥2-fold above baseline, C1q protein levels will increase ≥1.5-fold, and excitatory synapse density will decrease ≥30% compared t
Predicted outcome: TBK1-deficient co-cultures will exhibit significantly elevated IFN-β concentrations (≥2-fold by ELISA), increased C1q gene expression (≥1.5-fold by qP
Falsification: TBK1 loss fails to increase IFN-β secretion or C1q expression, or synapse elimination occurs even with IFN-β/IFNAR blockade, or C1q knockdown does not reduce synapse loss—any of these would disprove t
pendingconf —
IF TBK1-floxed mice are crossed with CreERT2 drivers to achieve microglial-specific or neuronal-specific TBK1 deletion AND mice are treated with vehicle or IFNAR blocking antibody BEFORE onset of behavioral deficits THEN the IFNAR blockade group will show ≥40% reduction in cortical/hippocampal C1q p
Predicted outcome: Conditional TBK1 deletion in microglia (CX3CR1-CreERT2) or neurons (CamKIIa-CreERT2) will cause elevated IFN-β in CSF, increased C1q deposition at syn
Falsification: Microglial-specific TBK1 deletion alone fails to produce IFN-β elevation or C1q upregulation, or anti-IFNAR treatment does not prevent C1q increase or synapse loss, or neuronal-specific TBK1 deletion
Metadatasource: v1_phase_c_backfill · origin_type: gap_debate
sourcev1_phase_c_backfill
origin_typegap_debate
_schema_version1
📊 Evidence Profile
Evidence Balance
+0%
Certainty
0%
Debates
0
Incoming
0
Outgoing
0
0 supporting 0 contradicting 0 neutral
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