ID: h-0a073f51c0
Hypothesis

A post-trigger CDK5-dominant kinase feedback loop maintains dendritic phospho-tau missorting

Transient Aβ exposure activates local kinase programs, especially CDK5/p25 and possibly GSK3β, that keep tau phosphorylated at missorting-associated epitopes.
🧬 MAPT,CDK5,CAPN1,GSK3B🩺 neurodegeneration🎯 Composite 59%💱 $0.55▼7.4%proposed
EvidencePending (0%)📖 7 cit🗣 1 debates 7 support 2 oppose
✓ All Quality Gates Passed
Mechanistic 0.72 (15%) Evidence 0.63 (15%) Novelty 0.54 (12%) Feasibility 0.82 (12%) Impact 0.52 (12%) Druggability 0.46 (10%) Safety 0.35 (8%) Competition 0.49 (6%) Data Avail. 0.69 (5%) Reproducible 0.64 (5%) KG Connect 0.50 (8%) 0.590 composite

🧪 Overview

Transient Aβ exposure activates local kinase programs, especially CDK5/p25 and possibly GSK3β, that keep tau phosphorylated at missorting-associated epitopes. This would create a cell-autonomous phospho-tau maintenance state that survives Aβ withdrawal.

🧬 Mechanism

🧬 Curated Mechanism Pathway

Curated pathway from expert analysis

flowchart TD
    A["Target Gene: MAPTCDK5CAPN1GSK3B"]
    B["Molecular Mechanism<br/>Pathway Activation"]
    C["Cellular Phenotype<br/>Neuronal / Glial Response"]
    D["Network Effect<br/>Circuit-Level Consequence"]
    E["Disease Relevance<br/>Neurodegeneration Link"]
    A --> B --> C --> D --> E
    style A fill:#1a237e,stroke:#4fc3f7,color:#4fc3f7
    style E fill:#1b5e20,stroke:#81c784,color:#81c784

⚖️ Evidence

⚖️ Evidence Matrix7 supports2 contradicts
Supports
CDK5 is a well-established driver of tau aggregation and can support a durable post-insult phosphorylation state.
Supports
Aβ-induced tau missorting is established, making kinase-locked persistence a plausible second step.
Supports
MAPT mutations, tauopathy, and mechanisms of neurodegeneration.
Lab Invest2019PMID:30742061medium
Supports
Endolysosomal impairment by binding of amyloid beta or MAPT/Tau to V-ATPase and rescue via the HYAL-CD44 axis in Alzheimer disease.
Autophagy2023PMID:36843263medium
Supports
Tau-targeting antisense oligonucleotide MAPT(Rx) in mild Alzheimer's disease: a phase 1b, randomized, placebo-controlled trial.
Nat Med2023PMID:37095250medium
Supports
Physiological and pathological phosphorylation of tau by Cdk5.
Front Mol Neurosci2014PMID:25076872medium
Supports
Interactions between Microtubule-Associated Protein Tau (MAPT) and Small Molecules.
Cold Spring Harb Perspect Med2017PMID:27940599medium
Contradicts
Evidence for a specific dual GSK3β-CDK5 maintenance loop after Aβ withdrawal is weak; some acute systems emphasize CDK5 more than GSK3β.
Contradicts
Rescue by kinase inhibition may reflect generic stress suppression rather than reversal of a dedicated tau-maintenance circuit.
📖 Linked Papers

No linked papers recorded for this hypothesis yet.

🏥 Translation

🧬 3D Protein Structure — MAPT

🧬 PDB 5O3L Click to expand

Experimental structure from RCSB PDB | Powered by Mol*

🧠 GTEx v10 Brain ExpressionJSON

Median TPM across 13 brain regions for MAPT,CDK5,CAPN1,GSK3B from GTEx v10.

Cerebellum209 Cerebellar Hemisphere199 Cortex152 Frontal Cortex BA9146 Anterior cingulate cortex BA24101 Hypothalamus86.4 Amygdala73.5 Nucleus accumbens basal ganglia72.2 Hippocampus72.1 Caudate basal ganglia64.7 Putamen basal ganglia58.1 Substantia nigra56.8 Spinal cord cervical c-149.2median TPM (GTEx v10)

💉 Clinical Trials

No clinical trials data linked to this hypothesis yet.

No curated ClinVar variants loaded for this hypothesis.

Run scripts/backfill_clinvar_variants.py to fetch P/LP/VUS variants.

🔍 Search ClinVar for MAPT,CDK5,CAPN1,GSK3B →

No DepMap CRISPR Chronos data found for MAPT,CDK5,CAPN1,GSK3B.

Run python3 scripts/backfill_hypothesis_depmap.py to populate.

💰 Estimated Development
Cost
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Timeline

🏆 Tournament

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📊 Market Indicators

7d Trend
Stable
7d Momentum
▼ 0.2%
Volatility
Low
0.0020
Events (7d)
2
Price History
▼7.4%

💾 Resource Usage

LLM Tokens
17,362
$0.0521
Total Cost
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🔮 Predictions

🔎 Predictions vs Observations2 predictions · 0 with recorded observations
PredictionPredictedObservedStatusConf
IF human iPSC-derived neurons expressing MAPT are transiently exposed to oligomeric Aβ42 (5 μM, 6 hours) followed by washout and subsequent CDK5 inhibition (roscovitine, 10 μM) at 24-48 hours post-witSignificant reduction in dendritic phospho-tau (AT8/PHF-1) fluorescence intensity in the CDK5 inhibition group compared to Aβ-withdrawal-only group, with effect— no observation —pending0.00
IF primary neurons from CDK5 conditional knockout (CDK5-floxed; CAMKIIa-Cre) mice are exposed to Aβ42 (5 μM, 6 hours) followed by washout, THEN dendritic missorting of phospho-tau will be prevented orSignificant reduction in dendritic phospho-tau accumulation in CDK5 knockout neurons relative to wildtype controls, with at least 50% lower AT8 immunoreactivity— no observation —pending0.00
🔮 Falsifiable Predictions (2)
pendingconf 0%
IF human iPSC-derived neurons expressing MAPT are transiently exposed to oligomeric Aβ42 (5 μM, 6 hours) followed by washout and subsequent CDK5 inhibition (roscovitine, 10 μM) at 24-48 hours post-withdrawal, THEN phospho-tau immunoreactivity at missorting-associated epitopes (AT8, PHF-1) in dendrit
Predicted outcome: Significant reduction in dendritic phospho-tau (AT8/PHF-1) fluorescence intensity in the CDK5 inhibition group compared to Aβ-withdrawal-only group, w
Falsification: CDK5 inhibition after Aβ withdrawal fails to reduce dendritic phospho-tau at missorting epitopes by >20%, OR equivalent reduction occurs with broad-spectrum kinase inhibitors (e.g., staurosporine) tha
pendingconf 0%
IF primary neurons from CDK5 conditional knockout (CDK5-floxed; CAMKIIa-Cre) mice are exposed to Aβ42 (5 μM, 6 hours) followed by washout, THEN dendritic missorting of phospho-tau will be prevented or reduced by >50% at 48 hours post-withdrawal even without CDK5 re-expression, compared to Aβ-exposed
Predicted outcome: Significant reduction in dendritic phospho-tau accumulation in CDK5 knockout neurons relative to wildtype controls, with at least 50% lower AT8 immuno
Falsification: Dendritic phospho-tau missorting occurs equivalently (difference <20%) in CDK5 knockout and CDK5-intact neurons after Aβ withdrawal, indicating CDK5 is not essential for maintaining the phospho-tau fe
Metadatasource: v1_phase_c_backfill · origin_type: debate_synthesizer
sourcev1_phase_c_backfill
origin_typedebate_synthesizer
_schema_version1
📊 Evidence Profile
Evidence Balance
+0%
Certainty
0%
Debates
0
Incoming
0
Outgoing
0
0 supporting 0 contradicting 0 neutral
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