ID: h-a0c62d04e6
Hypothesis

BIN1-dependent trafficking defects determine whether post-Aβ tau missorting resolves or persists

Aβ initially perturbs tau localization, but persistence depends on BIN1-regulated membrane and endocytic trafficking that prevents tau re-entry into the axon and stabilizes dendritic retention.
🧬 BIN1,MAPT🩺 neurodegeneration🎯 Composite 46%💱 $0.50▲8.0%proposed
EvidencePending (0%)📖 0 cit🗣 1 debates 6 support 2 oppose
✓ All Quality Gates Passed
Mechanistic 0.50 (15%) Evidence 0.39 (15%) Novelty 0.63 (12%) Feasibility 0.64 (12%) Impact 0.34 (12%) Druggability 0.24 (10%) Safety 0.52 (8%) Competition 0.51 (6%) Data Avail. 0.39 (5%) Reproducible 0.40 (5%) KG Connect 0.50 (8%) 0.460 composite

🧪 Overview

Aβ initially perturbs tau localization, but persistence depends on BIN1-regulated membrane and endocytic trafficking that prevents tau re-entry into the axon and stabilizes dendritic retention. This is a useful genetic-modifier hypothesis, but currently the least supported as a primary mechanism.

🧬 Mechanism

🧬 Curated Mechanism Pathway

Curated pathway from expert analysis

flowchart TD
    A["A beta<br/>Perturbation"]
    B["BIN1 Membrane<br/>Trafficking Defects"]
    C["Tau Axonal<br/>Re-entry Blocked"]
    D["Dendritic<br/>Retention Stabilized"]
    E["Tau Missorting<br/>Persistence"]
    F["Tau Missorting<br/>Resolution"]
    A --> B
    B --> C
    B --> D
    C --> E
    D --> F
    E --> F
    style A fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a
    style E fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a
    style F fill:#1b5e20,stroke:#a5d6a7,color:#a5d6a7

⚖️ Evidence

⚖️ Evidence Matrix6 supports2 contradicts
Supports
BIN1 is a strong AD risk locus with links to tau biology and trafficking, supporting modifier-level relevance.
Supports
Dyadic Plasticity in Cardiomyocytes.
Front Physiol2018PMID:30618792
Supports
BIN1 regulates dynamic t-tubule membrane.
Biochim Biophys Acta2016PMID:26578114
Supports
BIN1 is reduced and Cav1.2 trafficking is impaired in human failing cardiomyocytes.
Heart Rhythm2012PMID:22138472
Supports
Bend it like BIN1: how a membrane-curving adaptor protein shapes cardiac physiology.
Am J Physiol Heart Circ Physiol2025PMID:40392240
Supports
Multilayered regulation of cardiac ion channels.
Biochim Biophys Acta2013PMID:23103513
Contradicts
The BIN1-tau relationship is complex and not straightforward, with sparse evidence that BIN1 controls post-Aβ persistence of missorting specifically.
Contradicts
Isoform- and cell-type-specific BIN1 biology makes simple causal interpretations in iPSC neurons uncertain.
📖 Linked Papers

No linked papers recorded for this hypothesis yet.

🏥 Translation

🧬 3D Protein Structure — BIN1

No curated PDB or AlphaFold mapping for BIN1 yet. Search RCSB →

🧠 GTEx v10 Brain ExpressionJSON

Median TPM across 13 brain regions for BIN1,MAPT from GTEx v10.

Spinal cord cervical c-1217 Cerebellar Hemisphere184 Cerebellum178 Hippocampus162 Substantia nigra152 Putamen basal ganglia144 Frontal Cortex BA9144 Cortex140 Hypothalamus132 Amygdala130 Nucleus accumbens basal ganglia126 Caudate basal ganglia117 Anterior cingulate cortex BA24108median TPM (GTEx v10)

💉 Clinical Trials

No clinical trials data linked to this hypothesis yet.

No curated ClinVar variants loaded for this hypothesis.

Run scripts/backfill_clinvar_variants.py to fetch P/LP/VUS variants.

🔍 Search ClinVar for BIN1,MAPT →

No DepMap CRISPR Chronos data found for BIN1,MAPT.

Run python3 scripts/backfill_hypothesis_depmap.py to populate.

💰 Estimated Development
Cost
$0
Timeline

🏆 Tournament

🏆 Arenas / Elo

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📊 Market Indicators

7d Trend
Stable
7d Momentum
▲ 0.0%
Volatility
Low
0.0140
Events (7d)
1
Price History
▲8.0%

💾 Resource Usage

LLM Tokens
17,362
$0.0521
Total Cost
$0.0521

🔮 Predictions

🔎 Predictions vs Observations2 predictions · 0 with recorded observations
PredictionPredictedObservedStatusConf
IF BIN1 is knocked down in human iPSC-derived neurons prior to Aβ42 oligomer exposure (100 nM, 6 hours), THEN tau will exhibit persistent dendritic and somatic accumulation rather than returning to axTau will remain mislocalized (pTau fluorescence intensity in dendrites >2x baseline, axonal/axonal initial segment intensity <50% baseline) at both 48 and 72 ho— no observation —pending0.35
IF BIN1 endocytic trafficking function is selectively enhanced via overexpression of the BIN1 long isoform with intact BAR domain (BIN1-001, NP_008905.3) in 5xFAD mice at 6 months of age, THEN the proSomatodendritic tau accumulation (measured by AT8+ or MC1+ immunoreactivity confined to soma and dendrites) will be present in ≥60% of CA1 neurons in 5xFAD/GFP — no observation —pending0.28
🔮 Falsifiable Predictions (2)
pendingconf 35%
IF BIN1 is knocked down in human iPSC-derived neurons prior to Aβ42 oligomer exposure (100 nM, 6 hours), THEN tau will exhibit persistent dendritic and somatic accumulation rather than returning to axonal localization within 72 hours post-Aβ washout, compared to neurons treated with non-targeting si
Predicted outcome: Tau will remain mislocalized (pTau fluorescence intensity in dendrites >2x baseline, axonal/axonal initial segment intensity <50% baseline) at both 48
Falsification: If tau localization resolves normally in both BIN1 knockdown and control conditions (no significant difference in axonal/dendritic tau ratio at 48 or 72 hours post-washout, p>0.05 by ANOVA with Bonfer
pendingconf 28%
IF BIN1 endocytic trafficking function is selectively enhanced via overexpression of the BIN1 long isoform with intact BAR domain (BIN1-001, NP_008905.3) in 5xFAD mice at 6 months of age, THEN the proportion of hippocampal CA1 neurons displaying pathological tau missorting into somatodendritic compa
Predicted outcome: Somatodendritic tau accumulation (measured by AT8+ or MC1+ immunoreactivity confined to soma and dendrites) will be present in ≥60% of CA1 neurons in
Falsification: If the percentage of CA1 neurons with somatodendritic tau accumulation does not differ significantly between BIN1-overexpressing and GFP-control 5xFAD mice (<20% difference, p>0.05 by chi-square test)
Metadatasource: v1_phase_c_backfill · origin_type: debate_synthesizer
sourcev1_phase_c_backfill
origin_typedebate_synthesizer
_schema_version1
📊 Evidence Profile
Evidence Balance
+0%
Certainty
0%
Debates
0
Incoming
0
Outgoing
0
0 supporting 0 contradicting 0 neutral
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