ID: h-SDA-2026-04-26-gap-20260426-002803-07-
Hypothesis

Integrated Blood Panel of sPDGFRβ, sTM, and Circulating microRNA-320 Predicts Preclinical BBB Dysfunction

No single biomarker fully captures the heterogeneity of early BBB dysfunction across neurodegeneration subtypes.
🧬 PDGFRβ, THBD, mir320a/b/c🎯 Composite 62%💱 $0.61▼5.3%proposed
neurodegeneration
EvidencePending (0%)📖 0 cit🗣 1 debates 4 support 4 oppose
✓ All Quality Gates Passed
Mechanistic 0.60 (15%) Evidence 0.40 (15%) Novelty 0.00 (12%) Feasibility 0.00 (12%) Impact 0.00 (12%) Druggability 0.00 (10%) Safety 0.00 (8%) Competition 0.00 (6%) Data Avail. 0.00 (5%) Reproducible 0.00 (5%) KG Connect 0.50 (8%) 0.625 composite

🧪 Overview

No single biomarker fully captures the heterogeneity of early BBB dysfunction across neurodegeneration subtypes. A composite scoring algorithm integrating sPDGFRβ (pericyte integrity), soluble thrombomodulin (endothelial damage, sTM), and blood microRNA-320 family members (regulators of pericyte-endothelial crosstalk and tight junction proteins) may establish a robust preclinical 'vascular impairment index.' This panel would be most informative in early/late mild cognitive impairment where intervention potential is highest. The multimodal approach reduces individual biomarker limitations but increases assay complexity and validation burden.

🧬 Mechanism

🧬 Curated Mechanism Pathway

Curated pathway from expert analysis

flowchart TD
    A["PDGFRbeta<br/>Platelet-Derived Growth Factor"]
    B["THBD (Thrombomodulin)<br/>Endothelial Marker"]
    C["Pericyte<br/>Stress Signal"]
    D["Circulating<br/>Microvesicles"]
    E["Blood-Brain Barrier<br/>Breakdown"]
    F["Neurovascular<br/>Uncoupling"]
    G["Neuroinflammation<br/>Progression"]
    H["Cognitive<br/>Decline"]
    A --> C
    B --> C
    C --> D
    D --> E
    E --> F
    F --> G
    G --> H
    style A fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a
    style B fill:#1a237e,stroke:#4fc3f7,color:#4fc3f7
    style H fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a

⚖️ Evidence

⚖️ Evidence Matrix4 supports4 contradicts
Supports
microRNA-320 dysregulation in AD plasma and brain tissue
Supports
sTM elevation in stroke and small vessel disease
Supports
Multiparametric MRI and biomarker approach to neurovascular unit dysfunction
Supports
Composite approach addresses single-marker limitations across pericyte and endothelial compartments
Contradicts
microRNA-320 quantification has high variability across platforms
Contradicts
Composite scoring requires extensive validation of each component and algorithm optimization
Contradicts
sPDGFRβ specificity concerns apply to this composite panel
Contradicts
No standardized composite index exists for validation against clinical endpoints
📖 Linked Papers

No linked papers recorded for this hypothesis yet.

🏥 Translation

🧬 3D Protein Structure — PDGFRΒ

No curated PDB or AlphaFold mapping for PDGFRΒ yet. Search RCSB →

🧠 GTEx v10 Brain ExpressionJSON

Median TPM across 13 brain regions for PDGFRβ, THBD, mir320a/b/c from GTEx v10.

Spinal cord cervical c-12.8 Substantia nigra2.2 Hypothalamus1.9 Nucleus accumbens basal ganglia1.7 Hippocampus1.6 Cortex1.6 Anterior cingulate cortex BA241.5 Cerebellum1.4 Amygdala1.3 Frontal Cortex BA91.3 Caudate basal ganglia1.3 Putamen basal ganglia1.3 Cerebellar Hemisphere1.2median TPM (GTEx v10)

💉 Clinical Trials

No clinical trials data linked to this hypothesis yet.

No curated ClinVar variants loaded for this hypothesis.

Run scripts/backfill_clinvar_variants.py to fetch P/LP/VUS variants.

🔍 Search ClinVar for PDGFRβ, THBD, mir320a →

No DepMap CRISPR Chronos data found for PDGFRβ, THBD, mir320a.

Run python3 scripts/backfill_hypothesis_depmap.py to populate.

🏆 Tournament

🏆 Arenas / Elo

No arena matches recorded yet. Browse Arenas →

📊 Market Indicators

7d Trend
Stable
7d Momentum
▲ 0.0%
Volatility
Low
0.0156
Events (7d)
1
Price History
▼5.3%

💾 Resource Usage

No resource usage or linked notebooks recorded for this hypothesis yet.

🔮 Predictions

🔎 Predictions vs Observations2 predictions · 0 with recorded observations
PredictionPredictedObservedStatusConf
IF we measure integrated z-scores of sPDGFRβ, sTM, and miR-320a/b/c in plasma from 200 early MCI participants and 100 cognitively normal controls, THEN the composite panel will discriminate cases fromComposite 'vascular impairment index' AUC ≥ 0.80 for early MCI vs controls; each single-marker AUC must be ≤ 0.65— no observation —pending0.55
IF we stratify 150 early MCI participants by high vs low composite panel scores and follow them with annual 3T MRI hippocampal volumetry and fluid cognition testing over 36 months, THEN high-score indHigh-score group: ≥0.9%/year hippocampal volume loss; Low-score group: ≤0.6%/year; Progression HR ≥ 1.8— no observation —pending0.45
🔮 Falsifiable Predictions (2)
pendingconf 55%
IF we measure integrated z-scores of sPDGFRβ, sTM, and miR-320a/b/c in plasma from 200 early MCI participants and 100 cognitively normal controls, THEN the composite panel will discriminate cases from controls with AUC ≥ 0.80, significantly outperforming each biomarker alone (DeLong test p < 0.05),
Predicted outcome: Composite 'vascular impairment index' AUC ≥ 0.80 for early MCI vs controls; each single-marker AUC must be ≤ 0.65
Falsification: Composite panel AUC < 0.70 OR no significant improvement over best individual biomarker (DeLong p > 0.05)
pendingconf 45%
IF we stratify 150 early MCI participants by high vs low composite panel scores and follow them with annual 3T MRI hippocampal volumetry and fluid cognition testing over 36 months, THEN high-score individuals will show ≥30% faster hippocampal atrophy rate and ≥40% higher incidence of progression to
Predicted outcome: High-score group: ≥0.9%/year hippocampal volume loss; Low-score group: ≤0.6%/year; Progression HR ≥ 1.8
Falsification: No significant difference in atrophy rate (t-test p > 0.05) OR progression HR not reaching 1.5 between high vs low panel score tertiles
Metadatasource: v1_phase_c_backfill · origin_type: gap_debate
sourcev1_phase_c_backfill
origin_typegap_debate
_schema_version1
📊 Evidence Profile
Evidence Balance
+0%
Certainty
0%
Debates
0
Incoming
0
Outgoing
0
0 supporting 0 contradicting 0 neutral
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