ID: h-c1d5dcbf48
Hypothesis

TBK1-OPTN-NDP52 Phospho-Cascade Coordinates Multi-Organelle Autophagy

TBK1-OPTN-NDP52 Phospho-Cascade Coordinates Multi-Organelle Autophagy starts from the claim that modulating TBK1, OPTN (TBC1D7), NDP52/CALCOCO2 within the disease context of neurodegeneration can redirect a disease-relevant process.
🧬 TBK1, OPTN (TBC1D7), NDP52/CALCOCO2🩺 neurodegeneration🎯 Composite 77%💱 $0.60▼22.3%proposed
EvidencePending (0%)📖 0 cit🗣 1 debates 5 support 3 oppose
✓ All Quality Gates Passed
Mechanistic 0.74 (15%) Evidence 0.78 (15%) Novelty 0.72 (12%) Feasibility 0.82 (12%) Impact 0.85 (12%) Druggability 0.88 (10%) Safety 0.68 (8%) Competition 0.70 (6%) Data Avail. 0.80 (5%) Reproducible 0.75 (5%) KG Connect 0.50 (8%) 0.772 composite
🏆 ChallengeSolve: TBK1-OPTN-NDP52 Phospho-Cascade Coordinates Multi-Organelle Autophagy$127K →

🧪 Overview

Mechanistic Overview


TBK1-OPTN-NDP52 Phospho-Cascade Coordinates Multi-Organelle Autophagy starts from the claim that modulating TBK1, OPTN (TBC1D7), NDP52/CALCOCO2 within the disease context of neurodegeneration can redirect a disease-relevant process. The original description reads: "Molecular Mechanism and Rationale The TBK1-OPTN-NDP52 phospho-cascade represents a sophisticated cellular quality control network that orchestrates selective autophagy across multiple organellar compartments. TANK-binding kinase 1 (TBK1), a serine/threonine kinase initially characterized for its role in innate immunity, functions as the central regulatory hub in this system. TBK1 directly phosphorylates optineurin (OPTN) at serine 177 (Ser177), triggering a conformational change that dramatically enhances OPTN's binding affinity for K63-linked polyubiquitin chains decorating damaged mitochondria. This phosphorylation event increases the binding affinity by approximately 10-fold, transforming OPTN from a weakly associating adapter to a high-affinity cargo receptor.

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🧬 Mechanism

🧬 Curated Mechanism Pathway

Curated pathway from expert analysis

flowchart TD
    A["TBK1, OPTN TBC1D7, NDP52/CALCOCO2<br/>Hypothesis Target"]
    B["Autophagy<br/>Cited Mechanism"]
    C["Cellular Response<br/>Stress or Clearance Change"]
    D["Neural Circuit Effect<br/>Synapse/Glia Vulnerability"]
    E["ALS<br/>Disease-Relevant Outcome"]
    A --> B
    B --> C
    C --> D
    D --> E
    style A fill:#1a237e,stroke:#4fc3f7,color:#4fc3f7
    style B fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a
    style E fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a

⚖️ Evidence

⚖️ Evidence Matrix5 supports3 contradicts
Supports
TBK1 phosphorylates OPTN Ser177 enhancing mitophagy
Supports
TBK1 mutations cause ALS with impaired mitophagy
Supports
NDP52 recruits autophagy to damaged mitochondria independently of parkin
Supports
OPTN mediates ER-phagy under starvation
Supports
TBK1 activity required for general selective autophagy
Contradicts
ER-targeting of receptors under disease conditions underexplored
Contradicts
TBK1 mutations show tissue-specific phenotypes, challenging 'global coordinator' model
Contradicts
Direct NDP52 engagement of ER vesicles lacks validation
📖 Linked Papers (9)Export BibTeX ↗
Multiple Sclerosis Pathology.
Cold Spring Harbor perspectives in medicine (2018) · PubMed:29358320 ↗
No figures
No figures
No figures

🏥 Translation

🧬 3D Protein Structure — TBK1

No curated PDB or AlphaFold mapping for TBK1 yet. Search RCSB →

🧠 GTEx v10 Brain ExpressionJSON

Median TPM across 13 brain regions for TBK1, OPTN (TBC1D7), NDP52/CALCOCO2 from GTEx v10.

Cerebellar Hemisphere11.6 Cerebellum10.0median TPM (GTEx v10)

💉 Clinical Trials

No clinical trials data linked to this hypothesis yet.

No curated ClinVar variants loaded for this hypothesis.

Run scripts/backfill_clinvar_variants.py to fetch P/LP/VUS variants.

🔍 Search ClinVar for TBK1, OPTN (TBC1D7), NDP52 →

No DepMap CRISPR Chronos data found for TBK1, OPTN (TBC1D7), NDP52.

Run python3 scripts/backfill_hypothesis_depmap.py to populate.

💰 Estimated Development
Cost
$0
Timeline

🏆 Tournament

🏆 Arenas / Elo

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📊 Market Indicators

7d Trend
Falling
7d Momentum
▼ 1.7%
Volatility
Medium
0.0405
Events (7d)
4
Price History
▼22.3%

💾 Resource Usage

LLM Tokens
26,692
$0.0801
Total Cost
$0.0801

🔮 Predictions

🔎 Predictions vs Observations2 predictions · 0 with recorded observations
PredictionPredictedObservedStatusConf
IF NDP52 is knocked out via CRISPR in cells undergoing starvation-induced ER-phagy (amino acid deprivation for 4-6 hours), THEN ER-phagy will be significantly impaired only if NDP52 directly engages ENDP52 KO cells will show 30-50% reduction in ER-phagic flux as measured by ER cargo degradation (KDEL receptor loss, CLIMP-63 turnover) and loss of ER-LC3 coloc— no observation —pending0.65
IF TBK1 catalytic activity is acutely inhibited by BX795 in cells experiencing simultaneous mitochondrial and ER stress (using CCCP for mitochondrial damage and rapamycin for ER stress), THEN both mitCoordinated 40-60% reduction in both mitophagy and ER-phagy flux markers (LC3 lipidation, colocalization with cargo, degradation of cargo proteins) at 24h post-— no observation —pending0.75
🔮 Falsifiable Predictions (2)
pendingconf —
IF TBK1 catalytic activity is acutely inhibited by BX795 in cells experiencing simultaneous mitochondrial and ER stress (using CCCP for mitochondrial damage and rapamycin for ER stress), THEN both mitophagic and ER-phagic flux will be coordinately reduced in a dose-dependent manner, using TBK1-defic
Predicted outcome: Coordinated 40-60% reduction in both mitophagy and ER-phagy flux markers (LC3 lipidation, colocalization with cargo, degradation of cargo proteins) at
Falsification: If BX795 treatment impairs mitophagy but ER-phagy flux remains normal (or vice versa), this indicates TBK1 does not function as a universal coordinator of multi-organelle autophagy but instead acts se
pendingconf —
IF NDP52 is knocked out via CRISPR in cells undergoing starvation-induced ER-phagy (amino acid deprivation for 4-6 hours), THEN ER-phagy will be significantly impaired only if NDP52 directly engages ER-derived vesicles, using NDP52 KO HeLa or HEK293 cells expressing ER-targeted fluorescent reporters
Predicted outcome: NDP52 KO cells will show 30-50% reduction in ER-phagic flux as measured by ER cargo degradation (KDEL receptor loss, CLIMP-63 turnover) and loss of ER
Falsification: If ER-phagy flux is completely unaffected by NDP52 deletion (similar to wild-type cells), this would disprove the hypothesis that NDP52 directly participates in ER vesicle recognition and suggest it f

📖 References (5)

  1. Multiple levels of chemokine receptor regulation in the control of mouse natural killer cell development.
    ["Bernardini et al.. Frontiers in immunology (2014)
  2. [Surgical management of localized trichoblastic carcinoma of the conchal bowl by means of a retroauricular revolving door island flap].
    ["Cogrel et al.. Annales de dermatologie et de venereologie (2014)
  3. Association between asthma control test, pulmonary function tests and non-specific bronchial hyperresponsiveness in assessing the level of asthma control.
    ["Grzelewska-Rzymowska et al.. Pneumonologia i alergologia polska (2015)
  4. Complete Genome Sequence of Indian Race 4 of Xanthomonas oryzae pv. oryzae, the Causal Agent of Bacterial Blight of Rice.
    ["Mondal et al.. Molecular plant-microbe interactions : MPMI (2020)
  5. Influence of offspring on quality of life among cancer patients and survivors: results from the Korean longitudinal study of aging (KLoSA), 2008-2011.
    ["Kim et al.. Asian Pacific journal of cancer prevention : APJCP (2014)
Metadatasource: v1_phase_c_backfill · origin_type: debate_synthesizer
sourcev1_phase_c_backfill
origin_typedebate_synthesizer
_schema_version1
📊 Evidence Profile
Evidence Balance
+0%
Certainty
0%
Debates
0
Incoming
0
Outgoing
0
0 supporting 0 contradicting 0 neutral
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