ID: h-cross-synth-c9orf72-autophagy-lysosome
Hypothesis

C9ORF72 autophagy-lysosome collapse across ALS and FTD

Shared mechanism across ALS, FTD: C9ORF72 repeat expansion creates toxic RNA/dipeptide stress while also weakening vesicle trafficking, autophagy, and basal mitophagy.
🧬 C9ORF72🩺 multi🎯 Composite 82%💱 $0.53▲2.5%validated
neurodegeneration
EvidenceStrong (88%)📖 23 cit🗣 1 debates 3 support 1 oppose
⚠ Low Validation Senate Quality Gates →
Mechanistic 0.89 (15%) Evidence 0.83 (15%) Novelty 0.82 (12%) Feasibility 0.68 (12%) Impact 0.86 (12%) Druggability 0.00 (10%) Safety 0.00 (8%) Competition 0.00 (6%) Data Avail. 0.00 (5%) Reproducible 0.00 (5%) KG Connect 0.42 (8%) 0.816 composite

🧪 Overview

Shared mechanism across ALS, FTD: C9ORF72 repeat expansion creates toxic RNA/dipeptide stress while also weakening vesicle trafficking, autophagy, and basal mitophagy. The same upstream repeat biology can manifest as motor-neuron ALS, cortical FTD, or mixed ALS-FTD depending on cell-type stress thresholds.

Falsifiable prediction: Correcting C9ORF72 repeat RNA with ASO should restore basal mitophagy flux by at least 20% and reduce p62-positive autophagy backlog in both motor neurons and frontotemporal cortical neurons from the same carrier lines.

Proposed experiment: Generate paired motor neuron and cortical neuron cultures from C9ORF72 carriers; apply repeat-targeting ASO; measure RNA foci, DPR proteins, LC3/p62 flux, basal mitophagy reporters, TDP-43 mislocalization, and cell-type survival.

Cross-disease confidence rationale: Two independent discovery papers identify the ALS-FTD repeat, with newer mitophagy evidence.

Internal SciDEX support: SciDEX support query found 55 matching hypotheses across 5 disease labels, including 55 with debate_count > 0.

...

🧬 Mechanism

🔗 Mechanism from KG for C9ORF72

Auto-built from this analysis's top knowledge-graph edges.

graph TD
    h_cross_synth_c9orf72_aut["h-cross-synth-c9orf72-autophagy-lysosome"] -->|proposes shared me| C9ORF72["C9ORF72"]
    C9ORF72_1["C9ORF72"] -->|cross disease mech| ALS["ALS"]
    C9ORF72_2["C9ORF72"] -->|cross disease mech| FTD["FTD"]
    style h_cross_synth_c9orf72_aut fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style C9ORF72 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style C9ORF72_1 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style ALS fill:#ef5350,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style C9ORF72_2 fill:#4fc3f7,stroke:#333,color:#000
    style FTD fill:#ef5350,stroke:#333,color:#000

⚖️ Evidence

⚖️ Evidence Matrix3 supports0 contradicts
Supports
C9ORF72 GGGGCC repeat expansion causes chromosome 9p-linked FTD and ALS.
Supports
C9ORF72 repeat expansion is the cause of chromosome 9p21-linked ALS-FTD.
Supports
C9ORF72 repeat expansion produces toxic RNA foci that directly disrupt autophagic flux by sequestering essential RNA-binding proteins required for autophagosome-lysosome fusion.

🏥 Translation

🧬 3D Protein Structure — C9ORF72

No curated PDB or AlphaFold mapping for C9ORF72 yet. Search RCSB →

💉 Clinical Trials

No clinical trials data linked to this hypothesis yet.

No curated ClinVar variants loaded for this hypothesis.

Run scripts/backfill_clinvar_variants.py to fetch P/LP/VUS variants.

🔍 Search ClinVar for C9ORF72 →

No DepMap CRISPR Chronos data found for C9ORF72.

Run python3 scripts/backfill_hypothesis_depmap.py to populate.

🏆 Tournament

🏆 Arenas / Elo

No arena matches recorded yet. Browse Arenas →

📊 Market Indicators

7d Trend
Stable
7d Momentum
▲ 0.0%
Volatility
Low
0.0004
Events (7d)
1
Price History
▲2.5%

💾 Resource Usage

No resource usage or linked notebooks recorded for this hypothesis yet.

🔮 Predictions

🔎 Predictions vs Observations1 predictions · 0 with recorded observations
PredictionPredictedObservedStatusConf
Correcting C9ORF72 repeat RNA with ASO should restore basal mitophagy flux by at least 20% and reduce p62-positive autophagy backlog in both motor neurons and frontotemporal cortical neurons from the If this mechanism is real, then Correcting C9ORF72 repeat RNA with ASO should restore basal mitophagy flux by at least 20% and reduce p62-positive autophagy bac— no observation —pending0.83
🔮 Falsifiable Predictions (1)
pendingconf 83%
Correcting C9ORF72 repeat RNA with ASO should restore basal mitophagy flux by at least 20% and reduce p62-positive autophagy backlog in both motor neurons and frontotemporal cortical neurons from the same carrier lines.
Predicted outcome: If this mechanism is real, then Correcting C9ORF72 repeat RNA with ASO should restore basal mitophagy flux by at least 20% and reduce p62-positive aut
Falsification: Falsified if the experiment produces results more than 20% below the predicted effect size
Metadatasource: v1_phase_c_backfill · origin_type: cross_disease_synthesis
sourcev1_phase_c_backfill
origin_typecross_disease_synthesis
_schema_version1
📊 Evidence Profile
Evidence Balance
+0%
Certainty
0%
Debates
0
Incoming
0
Outgoing
0
0 supporting 0 contradicting 0 neutral
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