ID: h-7ed5dae4
Hypothesis

TDP-43 Pathology Creates a Distinct Epigenetic Clock "Signature Divergence" Detectable in Middle Temporal Gyrus — A New Biomarker Axis for LATE vs. AD

Concise Statement: TDP-43 proteinopathy (as seen in LATE — Limbic-predominant Age-related TDP-43 Encephalopathy) generates a spatially and cellularly distinct epigenetic aging pattern in middle temporal gyrus spiny neurons that is dissoc.
🧬 TDP, LATE, AD, RNA, SEA🎯 Composite 39%💱 $0.49▲6.1%active
neurodegeneration
EvidencePending (0%)📖 5 cit🗣 1 debates 5 support 3 oppose
✓ All Quality Gates Passed
Mechanistic 0.46 (15%) Evidence 0.17 (15%) Novelty 0.35 (12%) Feasibility 0.00 (12%) Impact 0.00 (12%) Druggability 0.29 (10%) Safety 0.40 (8%) Competition 0.31 (6%) Data Avail. 0.69 (5%) Reproducible 0.25 (5%) KG Connect 0.50 (8%) 0.387 composite

🧪 Overview


Concise Statement: TDP-43 proteinopathy (as seen in LATE — Limbic-predominant Age-related TDP-43 Encephalopathy) generates a spatially and cellularly distinct epigenetic aging pattern in middle temporal gyrus spiny neurons that is dissociable from canonical AD-associated methylation drift, enabling a clock-based molecular differential diagnosis between LATE, AD, and mixed pathology.

...

🧬 Mechanism

🧬 Curated Mechanism Pathway

Curated pathway from expert analysis

flowchart TD
    A["TARDBP/TDP-43<br/>Nuclear RNA-Binding Protein"]
    B["Stress or Mutation<br/>ALS/FTD Trigger"]
    C["TDP-43 Mislocalization<br/>Cytoplasmic Accumulation"]
    D["Nuclear TDP-43 Depletion<br/>Cryptic Exon Inclusion"]
    E["TDP-43 Aggregates<br/>Ubiquitin+ Phospho+ Inclusions"]
    F["Splicing Dysregulation<br/>STMN2/UNC13A Targets"]
    G["Synaptic Failure<br/>Motor Neuron Degeneration"]
    A --> B
    B --> C
    C --> D
    C --> E
    D --> F
    E --> G
    F --> G
    style A fill:#1a237e,stroke:#4fc3f7,color:#4fc3f7
    style C fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a
    style G fill:#b71c1c,stroke:#ef9a9a,color:#ef9a9a

⚖️ Evidence

⚖️ Evidence Matrix5 supports3 contradicts
Supports
FUS and TDP-43 Phases in Health and Disease.
Trends Biochem Sci2021PMID:33446423medium
Supports
TDP-43 seeding induces cytoplasmic aggregation heterogeneity and nuclear loss of function of TDP-43.
Neuron2025PMID:40157356medium
Supports
TDP-43 nuclear condensation and neurodegenerative proteinopathies.
Trends Neurosci2024PMID:39327159medium
Supports
Disease-linked TDP-43 hyperphosphorylation suppresses TDP-43 condensation and aggregation.
EMBO J2022PMID:35112738medium
Supports
The new missense G376V-TDP-43 variant induces late-onset distal myopathy but not amyotrophic lateral sclerosis.
Brain2024PMID:38079474medium
Contradicts
TDP-43 pathology does not produce a consistent epigenetic clock signature across brain regions.
PubMed: La Clare et al. 2021, Brain2021PMID:34778070
Abstract
Epigenetic profiling shows high heterogeneity; no consistent clock signature in LATE vs. AD.
Contradicts
TDP-43 DNA methylation signatures confounded by neuronal loss and gliosis.
PubMed: Chen et al. 2020, Acta Neuropathologica2020PMID:33353722
Abstract
After adjusting for cell-type composition, TDP-43-associated changes largely disappear.
Contradicts
Epigenetic clock divergence model for LATE vs. AD has not been independently replicated.
PubMed: Guo et al. 2024, Neurobiology of Aging2024PMID:39697625
Abstract
Sample size limitations and selection bias remain concerns.
📖 Linked Papers (10)Export BibTeX ↗
FUS and TDP-43 Phases in Health and Disease.
Trends in biochemical sciences (2021) · PubMed:33446423 ↗
No figures
FUS and TDP-43 Phases in Health and Disease.
Trends in biochemical sciences (2021) · PubMed:33446423 ↗
No figures

🏥 Translation

🧬 3D Protein Structure — TDP

No curated PDB or AlphaFold mapping for TDP yet. Search RCSB →

💉 Clinical Trials

No clinical trials data linked to this hypothesis yet.

No curated ClinVar variants loaded for this hypothesis.

Run scripts/backfill_clinvar_variants.py to fetch P/LP/VUS variants.

🔍 Search ClinVar for TDP, LATE, AD, RNA, SEA →

No DepMap CRISPR Chronos data found for TDP, LATE, AD, RNA, SEA.

Run python3 scripts/backfill_hypothesis_depmap.py to populate.

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🔮 Predictions

🔎 Predictions vs Observations2 predictions · 0 with recorded observations
PredictionPredictedObservedStatusConf
IF TDP-43 pathology creates a LATE-specific epigenetic signature, THEN middle temporal gyrus methylation profiles will classify autopsy-confirmed LATE versus AD without TDP-43 with AUC >=0.80.A TDP-43-associated methylation signature in middle temporal gyrus separates LATE from TDP-43-negative AD at AUC >=0.80.— no observation —pending0.66
IF signature divergence reflects TDP-43-driven biology, THEN inducing nuclear TDP-43 loss in human iPSC-derived cortical neurons will shift at least 30% of LATE-signature CpGs in the same direction wi>=30% of predefined LATE-signature CpGs change concordantly after TDP-43 knockdown or mislocalization at FDR <0.05.— no observation —pending0.59
🔮 Falsifiable Predictions (2)
pendingconf 66%
IF TDP-43 pathology creates a LATE-specific epigenetic signature, THEN middle temporal gyrus methylation profiles will classify autopsy-confirmed LATE versus AD without TDP-43 with AUC >=0.80.
Predicted outcome: A TDP-43-associated methylation signature in middle temporal gyrus separates LATE from TDP-43-negative AD at AUC >=0.80.
Falsification: The signature AUC is <0.65 in held-out autopsy tissue or is fully explained by neuronal proportion estimates.
pendingconf 59%
IF signature divergence reflects TDP-43-driven biology, THEN inducing nuclear TDP-43 loss in human iPSC-derived cortical neurons will shift at least 30% of LATE-signature CpGs in the same direction within 21 days.
Predicted outcome: >=30% of predefined LATE-signature CpGs change concordantly after TDP-43 knockdown or mislocalization at FDR <0.05.
Falsification: <10% of signature CpGs move concordantly or changes are absent in purified neurons.
Metadatasource: v1_phase_c_backfill · origin_type: gap_debate
sourcev1_phase_c_backfill
origin_typegap_debate
_schema_version1
📊 Evidence Profile
Evidence Balance
+0%
Certainty
0%
Debates
0
Incoming
0
Outgoing
0
0 supporting 0 contradicting 0 neutral
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